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No.Brexit is as undeliverable as the hundred-year-old rotten eggs covered in chocolate by chef Willy Rovelli in Fort Boyard. it STINKS….Boris Johnson, like Chef Rovelli, has disguised something rotten and very unpleasant in sweet chocolate, and given it to you to eat…Brexit is about to make EVERYONE who remotely touches it or gets a sniff of it Vomit terribly…Rotten fish, such as Willy Rovelli's fermented rotten “Leffotten kippers” in tins, also stink and make you vomit….why “fish” you ask? read on….Brexit sounds “nice” doesn't it, but once you take a bite….ARGHHHH it's DISGUSTINGBut rules of Brexit, like in Willy's TV kitchen, mean you MUST eat all of it, or else you receive a second helping….Brexit will just taste from BAD to EVEN WORSE over the Months leading up to Christmas Day 2019.An EU and UK serious trade and Industry Recession is now looming and will become unavoidable once Brexit has been passed on October 31st.Both the Tory Uk Economy (post-Brexit third country economy) and the EU will have a recession, but the UK is going to suffer by far the worst, and longest from it, being four times worse than the 2008 to 2012 Credit Crunch recession, the last major Tory “boom-bust” recession.Carney from the bank of England warns that Britain faces the very worst Recession after Brexit. Regardless of Deal or no Deal Modelling.Mark Carney said the Bank of England is prepared for the worst possible Brexit and that the U.K. faces the steepest economic slump since at least World War II if it crashes out of the European Union without a deal.The stark warning from the governor sees the economy shrinking by 8 percent within a year and property prices plunging almost a third under a worst-case scenario, with Prime Minister Theresa May and then her desperate successor Boris Johnson, failing to get her Brexit plan past lawmakers. For context, the peak-to-trough drop in U.K. GDP in the financial crisis was just over 6 percent.House prices in the UK will FALL by 30% in real terms.The UK Pound will Plunge in value.Our job is not to hope for the best but to prepare for the worst,” Carney said in a press conference in London. “If there is one thing that you take from an avalanche of papers and numbers and the discussion today, it’s that the core of the U.K. financial system is ready for Brexit, whatever form it takes.”In a no-deal scenario, questions about the credibility of the U.K. would send sterling into a tailspin, forcing the central bank forced to hike interest rates sharply to combat inflation.Here are the main points in the “disorderly” or Hard Brexit “No Deal” Brexit scenario:GDP drops 8%House prices fall 30%Commercial property prices plunge 48%Sterling falls 25% to below parity with the dollarUnemployment rises to 7.5%Inflation accelerates to 6.5%BOE benchmark rate rises to 5.5% and averages 4% over 3 yearsBritain goes from net immigration to net outflow, reducing labour supplyThe BOE analysis, carried out in response to a request from a committee of lawmakers, is the latest to highlight the dangers from having no new trade arrangements in place by the time Britain leaves the EU on March 29.While the pound rose about 0.5 percent against the dollar as Carney spoke, that was because Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell simultaneously gave a speech that investors considered dovish. Powell also said the Fed was prepared for a full range of Brexit outcomes.The BOE’s scenarios are likely to draw the ire of Brexit supporters who said the central bank was too gloomy before the 2016 referendum on Brexit. It warned then that there was a risk of recession in the months following a vote for Leave. The economy kept growing.Former BOE policymaker Andrew Sentance tweeted that the analysis is “highly speculative and extreme” and will “add to the view that the Bank is getting unnecessarily involved in politics.”But with a Johnson Government, and a No-Deal Brexit now looming, quite frankly, who isn't getting involved in politics again?Her Majestys Treasury also gave a strong warning of Recession if a hard Brexit went Ahead. Since then, the scenario has deepened and worsened, with the Pound plunging way below parity with the US Dollar.And UNEMPLOYMENT in England passing 7%. or around five Million Unemployed in the UKUK Economic growth is forecast BELOW 2 percent. of GDP; Historically, if GDP falls below 2 Percent, i.e, NO growth, then this signals Recession.Brexit and the very aggressive American trade deal, which will financially “screw” Britian and leave it indebted and fully under USA control as the 51st star on the US Flag of states, an American Satellite State, will set the clock back in Britain a hundred years.Britain is set to de facto become an American Satellite State.Over the Channel in Europe, Britain may get the blame for their own looming Recession, fuelled and inflated by Brexit. And in Britain, they will all be blaming the EU…Worsening relations between France and other nations, wanting to Fish in previously fish rich Uk waters, and their country's Ministers wanting to naturally enough, protect their Fishing Rights that pre-existed before, and to renegotiate or maintain those rights, and protect their fleets, will risk seeing GUN BOATS DEPLOYED by European countries to escort their fishing trawlers, reminiscent of the “Cod War” of the 1970s. Only three times more inherently dangerous.Boat of French gendarmerie of Police.Below. French Fishing boats attacking English boats with smoke bombs in Scallop fishes.France and England have long ago now announced an Agreement to stop Scallop Fishing wars. But a wider application of Brexit could potentially lead to Political disputes, boiling over into repeats of ugly dangerous scenes such as this happening.What will Brexit mean for Fishing?It means boats from one country can fish in another's seas. When the UK leaves the EU, barring any new agreements, those waters will exclusively become the UK's again, under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea. ... Greenland initially held all the quotas for its exclusive seas but effectively sold off some. Nov 21, 2018The family's Peterhead-based Lunar Fishing Company owns or controls 8.9% of theUK's quota holdings (739,153 FQAs), making it the biggest quota holder in the UK. Robert Tait and family are ranked 980 on the Rich List (estimated worth: £115m). Oct 10, 2018Fishing rights may refer to. Exclusive economic zone of a sovereign state within which it may control fishing. Fishing license, providing a person with the right to fish at a specific time and place. Indigenous land rights, may include the right of indigenous people to fish from land not owned by them.The limits that are set for commercial fisheries are called individual fishing quotas, or IFQs. ... Each share represents a percentage of the total allowable catch for the species and region, called a fishery. Many times the quota share for a particular vessel will be based on the catch from the previous year.Cod, haddock and bass are all common examples of round fish. The majority of these fish species can be found in relatively shallow water; as a result they are regularly caught by sea anglers across the UK.Iceland applied to join the European Union on 16 July 2009 and formal negotiations began on 27 July 2010. However, on 13 September 2013 the Government of Iceland dissolved its accession team and suspended its application to join the EU.Norway and the EU has a long-standing tradition of cooperating with the management of fisheries and trade in fish and fish products. The EEA Agreement does not comprise Norwegian fisheries policy and management. ... Norway and the EU shares the responsibility for the management of fish stocks in the North Sea. Jul 10, 2018Individual fishing quotas (IFQs) also known as "individual transferable quotas" (ITQs) are one kind of catch share, a means by which many governments regulate fishing. The regulator sets a species-specific total allowable catch (TAC), typically by weight and for a given time period.These businesses employed 24,000 people and contributed £1.4 billion to the UK economy in terms of Gross Value Added (GVA – a measure similar to GDP). In 2016, the fishing and fish processing industries accounted for 0.12% of the all UK economic output.Dec 6, 2017As a result, EU countries have taken action to ensure the European fishing industry is sustainable and does not threaten the fish population size and productivity over the long term. The CFP was first introduced in the 1970s and went through successive updates, the most recent of which took effect on 1 January 2014.A Brexit “No Deal” without Agreement, as proposed and being pursued by Boris Johnson now, gives great worry and uncertainty, to french fishermen and their families. Fishing boats in Normandy, rely 30% upon being able to Fish in English waters under existing agreements. if Brexit fails to take place with an agreement, this may then be stopped. No agreement has yet been officially signed to replace the one about fishing.French and other European vessels currently have access to British waters as part of the EU Common Fisheries Policy (CFP), which sets quotas for member states active in shared European exclusive economic zone waters.While deals between Britain and France as well as other EU countries to fish in shared waters predate the CFP, the nature of their evolution during the UK’s membership in the EU mean that shared access would effectively end with Brexit.The UK parliament’s second rejection of the separation deal between London and Brussels has thus prompted French Agriculture Minister Didier Guillaume to start considering there will be no new deal in place if Brexit enters into effect as planned on 29 March.“It is possible that a ‘no deal’ may stop European fishers from going into British territorial waters,” Guillaume said. “That would be a tragedy because many of our fisheries use these waters and they do not have the possibility to go elsewhere. Therefore, we have started considering social protection in the event that boats stop going out.”Fishing access would end with no-deal BrexitFrench and other European vessels currently carry out as much as 60 percent of their activity in British territorial waters, which far outweighs how much UK activity takes place in waters of other member states.“About six times the fishing effort takes place in the UK zone by EU vessels as by UK vessels fishing in the UK zone,” explains Barrie Deas, chief executive of the National Federation of Fishermen’s Organisations in the UK.“There’s a big disparity there which reflects this principle of equal access, and post-Brexit that access would not be automatic,” he says. “If there’s a no deal crash out, automatic access to the EU zone and EU vessels to the UK zone would end there and then.”The French government’s proposal would concern those vessels suddenly unable to access the waters where they are accustomed to fishing, but it would offer little in the way of a permanent solution.“Fishing companies do not want to just stay stopped and wait,” says Roxane Boullard of the regional committee of fisheries in Normandy, where some fishers conduct up to 30 percent of their activity in UK waters.“We don’t really know what to expect. What is proposed now as an emergency measure in the event of a no-deal Brexit.”French access and British exports key issuesIt is logical that the French government would sound signals of protection after British MPs voted down the deal negotiated between the UK and the EU a second time on Tuesday.“If the deal had been agreed, it would have been right for French fishers, because we could still have the access we have today until we could do up a new deal specific to fisheries with Britain.”While the French are most concerned about access, the British industry’s main concern is in the future of its exports to the continent, especially in the event of a no-deal Brexit and defaulting to World Trade Organization rules.“There’s a tariff issue, but there’s more concern about whether the customs arrangements would cause delay, and with a perishable commodity such as fresh or live fish, particularly shellfish, there is concern,” Deas says.“But I think equally, there are businesses that depend on that trade on both sides of the Channel, and they’d be very keen to ensure that trade continues.”Keeping good relations in everyone’s best interestDeas also says the UK is keen to leave the CFP, whose quota shares are “asymmetric, essentially exploitative and have been at the UK’s severe disadvantage for 40 years.“Although there are some concerns about the market dimension especially in the short term, the departure of the UK from the EU is seen as an opportunity to right those wrongs,” he says.With some exceptions, namely the flaring up of a long-standing feud over scallops last year, both French and British players describe relations as being mostly cordial, and whatever happens with Brexit, there will inevitably be a future negotiation over both access and trade.“I think fishers know it is in their best interest to try to keep good relations, but of course there is always some contention because this whole situation is so uncertain,” says Boullard.“The only thing we are certain about is that, for now, we are really worried and have much uncertainty. That’s all we can say for sure.”A few days later, the following article appeared from France.British cannot close off fishing waters post Brexit, says France'Fishing For Leave' campaign group sign about Brexit on a boat in the harbour in Brixham, southern England, in October 2018. Photo: AFPFrench Minister of Agriculture Didier Guillaume said Thursday it was "not possible" for Britain to close its waters to French and other EU fishermen after Brexit."We do not accept that... that is not what we want," Guillaume told a meeting of fisheries professionals in the Channel port of Boulogne."Nobody would understand why, because of Brexit, the British would close off their territorial waters".Britain is set to leave the European Union in just a week's time on March 29 unless London wins an extension to its scheduled departure.READ ALSO:OPINION: Why French fishermen SHOULD be allowed to fish in UK waters after BrexitPhoto: AFPGuillaume stressed London and the EU would have to agree on future fishing cooperation in the English Channel but insisted "we are confident" and "we arecombative because we are resolutely out to defend French fishing and French fishermen".The minister added that French fishing boats should continue to fish as normal but warned that in the event of restrictions in British waters "we shall use all state means at our disposal... to achieve compensation."We shall leave not one fisherman in difficulty ... because of Brexit," concluded Guillaume, stressing that the French fishing industry should not suffer as a result of Britain's departure from the bloc.March 22, 2019.Brexit also seriously affects Scottish fishing rights in terms of catches. Scottish fishermen LOSE access to Eu waters (unless of course, Scotland opens Eu membership RETENTION for itself with the Eu).And what will happen if Englands third country makes safe passage for Scottish fishing boats to reach EU waters “a problem”???? is uncooperative over access or sailing to Eu waters from its (wrongly!!!) perceived “English” territory in Scotland, I don't want to frighten people, but someone had to point this out and ask a question about this. I'm not saying it WILL happen, but I am saying it is worth checking out …..And on top of all this, delays delivering fresh shellfish could destroy fragile tight margin businesses over customers fears their fish might not arrive fresh…Scotland’s small fishermen see little benefit from BrexitMany are concerned about losing access to EU waters rather than seeking to increase catchKenneth MacNab chairman of the Clyde Fishermen's Association has expressed his dismay © Raymond Hosie/FTMure Dickie in Campbeltown FEBRUARY 28, 2019Scotland’s biggest fishing lobby says Brexit and the end of EU influence over UK waters will create a “sea of opportunity” for the industry. But that is not how it looks to many fishermen plying their trade among the estuaries and islands of Scotland’s inshore waters.“It’s only a sea of opportunity for a few. It’s not a sea of opportunity for the west coast inshore fleet,” said Kenneth MacNab, chairman of the Clyde Fishermen’s Association, whose family has fished for generations in the waters off Tarbert in Argyll and Bute.Forty miles down the Kintyre peninsula in Campbeltown, skipper Andrew Harrison was blunter. “It’s a shambles,” he said.Such dismay is common among skippers of the smaller boats that fish inshore waters of Scotland’s west coast rather than further out at sea. Many believe that the Scottish Fishermen’s Federation lobby group, which claims to represent the whole industry, has prioritized the interests of bigger players in its vocal support for Brexit.Damage to inshore fishing could have far-reaching consequences. About three-quarters of Scotland’s 2,000 active fishing vessels fish primarily in inshore waters, defined as up to 12 nautical miles from the coast. Many are based on economically fragile west coast and island communities with relatively few other sources of employment.Skipper Andrew Harrison described Brexit as 'a shambles' © Raymond Hosie/FTThe SFF focuses on the potential gains of leaving the EU’s Common Fisheries Policy, which it says should lead to cuts in the share of the catch from UK waters allocated to boats from elsewhere in Europe.But post-Brexit fishing arrangements are yet to be negotiated. The EU has already linked future access to UK fishing grounds to access to the bloc’s market for UK seafood products, suggesting that any increase in quotas for UK boats could come at the price of new barriers to trade.And a “no-deal” Brexit could throw seafood exports into chaos by causing border delays that would quickly render high-value lorry loads of live and fresh fish worthless.Smaller fishermen and seafood companies say they could be wiped out if a post-Brexit deal brings tariffs or border checks for exports to vital markets in France, Spain and Italy or if a no-deal departure from the EU causes significant short-term disruption.“We haven’t got the fishing opportunities to gain out of Brexit. We’ve got a hell of a lot more to lose,” said Mr Harrison in an interview on the Campbeltown quayside.Inshore waters are mainly regulated by the Scottish government rather than the EU. And many fishermen who work in them say that without changes to the way the Scottish government allocates fishing rights, any increase in the overall UK catch is likely to mainly benefit owners of bigger offshore vessels on Scotland’s east coast.Bertie Armstrong, SFF chief executive, said his group was trying to seize Brexit opportunities and that “the potential doubling of economic activity connected with fishing is a tide that will lift all boats and the shoreside industry in turn”.Fishermen and processors say catches of live langoustines would be highly vulnerable to any border disruption © Raymond Hosie/FTBut Mr MacNab dismissed claims by keen Brexiters that fast-growing but distant markets such as China can make up for any loss in trade with Europe.“You’ve got numpties turning around and saying ‘there’s plenty [of] market in the Far East’,” he said. “It’s as if we were just going to just switch a light out in the EU and switch one on in the Far East . . . It doesn’t work like that.”Inshore fishermen and processors say vital west coast catches such as live langoustines would be highly vulnerable to any border disruption resulting from a no-deal Brexit or if future UK-EU trade arrangements make exporting more expensive or difficult.“We can’t have any delays,” said Jonathan Scott, operations manager at Tarbert-based shellfish exporter Loch Fyne Seafarms. Tight margins mean the business would not be able to survive any increase in costs or the loss of confidence among its customers that their shellfish would arrive healthy, he said.The stupid suggestion that Scottish Fishermen have “markets in the Far East” is worthy of the crackpot nature of the Tory Brexit under Boris johnson. It is not as “simple” as that….Above. Royal navy UK Gunboat chasing the Spanish gunboatThe above near Act of War incident with Spain came amidst rising Political fears Spain will use the Rock of Gibraltar as Leverage during Brexit talks….Certainly, regional high seas tensions are set to increase once fishing rights with France, Spain Norway and Iceland are affected after Brexit. And Scotland who depends upon its own fishing fleet could also risk getting caught up in some of this high seas fishing tensions…Spain has been accused of an act of war after one of its gunboats was chased out of British waters off Gibraltar amid rising tensions over the peninsula in the lead up to Brexit.The Infanta Christina ship sailed past the coast of the British territory at around lunchtime in what Gibraltar said was an illegal incursion and was pursued by a British naval vessel patrolling the Rock until it left.The armed ship sailed into British waters just hours after Spanish foreign minister Alfonso Dastis told Britain to 'calm down' following Lord Howard's suggestion Theresa May would go to war over Gibraltar.This ugly incident, hopefully, an isolated one, happened several years ago on the run up over Brexit negotiations.It's worth repeating that the risk of armed aggression or confrontation on the high seas could risk escalation into war if the wrong things are done and things go too far amongst angry fishermen…Heres the “sort of ugly scene” that could start to happen….officialCoastguardPublished on Mar 22, 2013If Brexit fails to make fair or proper provision over fishing rights, it could seriously endanger lives at sea.Here is the press release from this incident. At a hearing 30/05/2011 at Southampton Magistrates, the Officer of the Watch of a fishing vessel pleaded guilty to one safety charge brought under Section 58 of the Merchant Shipping Act 1995. He was fined £1,700 plus costs of £6,435. On the 20th August 2010 the Andrea had finished fishing and was returning to port in the Netherlands. The skipper and rest of the crew were below leaving Jan Baarssen alone on the bridge in sole charge of the vessel. The Andrea is a 36.5 metre beam trawler registered in the UK but is based in the Netherlands The Alexander von Humboldt was returning to Germany after a training voyage with a crew of fifty nine (59) consisting of thirty three (33) trainees and twenty six (26) full time crew. She is a large three masted sail training vessel registered in Germany. The visibility on the day was good (10 Km +), wind was southerly force 5-6 with weather being grey and overcast. During the afternoon of the 20th August 2011 the Alexander von Humboldt detected the Andrea on a steady bearing on its port side. The Andrea was not fishing and was the give way vessel. The Alexander von Humboldt started sounding its whistle. The Andrea failed to give way. The Alexander von Humboldt also tried to contact the Andrea by VHF radio but had no response. The Andrea claims to have gone hard to starboard and when within 15-20 metres of the Alex von Humboldt, the Andrea was seen to go full astern. The Andrea struck the port quarter of the Alexander von Humboldt. It was a fairly low speed collision. Apart from some scratched paintwork, the Andrea was undamaged. The Alexander von Humboldt was lucky to suffer only some dented shell plating with associated damage to internal wooden bulkheads and deck planking together with bent or buckled handrails. It was very fortunate that no harm came to the crew of the Alexander von Humboldt and that its rigging and watertight integrity remained intact. Mr Jan Baarssen, 51, of Urk, Netherlands pleaded guilty for conduct endangering ships or persons. He was finerd£1,700 plus costs of £6,435 In passing sentence the Magistrates stated that it was fortunate that they were no injuries especially among the sail training crew. Mr David Fuller O.B.E., Principal Fishing Vessel Surveyor for the Eastern Region of the MCA stated:"This is yet another incident occurring on the return of a fishing vessel to harbour. Fishermen are reminded of the requirement to keep a good lookout at all times. Also that that the trip is not over until the vessel is safely tied up in port. We would like to thank the German and Netherlands Police for their assistance in this matter"This incident involved a Norwegian fishing boat…there have been “others”….Deteriorating Anglo-French fishing disputes could also risk the Residency rights and settlements previously Decreed under No Deal by Edward Phillipe and Emmanuelle Macron, to protect UK ex EU citizens rights to live in France. It is therefore essential to PROTECT the one Million plus UK Citizens living in Europe from the risk like this from happening.But Boris Johnson refuses to accept the agreement over the Irish border, and backstop, and so leaves them ALL potentially at risk.Claims made on the UK Gov web site that the UK Government takes citizens rights very seriously are quite frankly, bullshit….Below, the situation for EU, EU Recession Warning Imminent. Made worse by American Interference in trade with the Eu and other countries, including Britain.I remember the “Winter of Discontent” in the 1970s….Brexit “Winter” Political phenomena are going to be far worse than that….Merry Christmas Boris, you old…******d…..