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Is GA a red or blue state?

Since the 1980s, and especially the 2000s, the Republican Party (red) has been associated with the American South.In 1972, 1984, 2000 and 2004, the Republican party won all of the Southern states, or the states in red.In the 1984 and 1988 elections, Republicans had landslide wins in Georgia.In the 1990s, Georgia seemed to have been a swing state with the southern moderate Bill Clinton on the ticket. He even won GA in 1992 narrowly and narrowly lost it 4 years later.2000 is when GA really started to become red on the presidential level again. The southern moderate Bill Clinton wasn’t on the ticket. It was Al Gore.George W. Bush won GA by 11.7%In 2004, Bush crushed John Kerry by 17% in Georgia.Even in 2008, when the financial crisis and George W. Bush had such an effect on voters that Barack Obama won every swing state, including Florida, along with the red state of Indiana and the then red states in the South, Virginia and North Carolina. All three, especially Indiana, went for Bush by large margins in 2004. Obama also came very close to winning Missouri and Montana, both very red states.John McCain won Georgia by 5.2%, a larger margin than he won by in Missouri and Montana, largely because McCain won 77% of the white vote and the suburban vote in Georgia.In 2012, Obama didn’t expect to win Georgia and didn’t campaign there at all. That, coupled with him losing every poll conducted in GA in 2012, Obama decided that defending Virginia, North Carolina and Florida would be a better use of his resources.Obama lost by around 7.8%.Obama lost North Carolina in 2012 but by a much smaller margin in comparisonObama also kept Virginia and Florida in his column.In 2016, Trump won every state in the South except Virginia, a rapidly blue trending state. Despite Hillary’s loss to Trump both in Georgia and nationwide, the Democrats regained hope.Why, you may ask?The Atlanta suburbs had flipped in 2016, with Hillary winning Henry, Cobb and Gwinnett Counties, which had been solidly republican since the 1980’s.Despite this, Hillary lost by 5%. But unlike in 2008, when Georgia was lost by 5%, in 2016 it was 7 points to the right of the nation, not 12 in 2008 or 14 in 2004.This phenomenon of the suburbs flipping can be seen in 2018, when the Democrats gained GA-6, Newt Gingrich’s former district, with Lucy McBath defeating Incumbent Karen Handel in a very close race.And in another race in the 7th congressional district, another suburban Atlanta district, where it was extremely close.And in the 2018 gubernatorial race between Stacy Abrams and Brian KempDespite Kemp’s win, out of the suburban counties won by Hillary in 2016, Stacy Abrams increased her margins of victory. It can be argued that Kemp won since he expanded upon Trump’s support in rural GA.Ultimately, Georgia, only 8 years ago a very red state, seems to be a red leaning swing state now.What changed?It is similar ish to the past trends in Virginia, now a borderline solid blue state, where the suburbs of a major city (DC) flipped. The Atlanta suburbs are battleground but are slowly flipping towards Democrats.From GA 6th congressional district (above).From GA 7th.Ultimately, it is a red leaning swing state now.The polls for 2020 have also been quite close. Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump Jr have taken visits there recently, which indicates its ever swinging status and the fact that Trump needs to defend it.The senate seats, both of which are up seem to be a tossup too.Watch Georgia on election night.

Do you think the Democrats will be happy with Pence once Trump is gone?

To be happy with Pence insinuates that Pence is better than Trump across the board. Since Trump has set the bar so low, "better" doesn't mean much, if anything.Sure, Pence wouldn't throw temper tantrums - he'd act in a mature and measured way.However, Pence is the most conservative Vice President (and running mate) since 1976: [1][1][1][1]His average score, 60, is higher (more conservative) than any other Republican vice-presidential nominee since 1976.Additionally, it’s higher than any of the other candidates that Trump was supposedly choosing among:Gingrich averaged a 49Christie a 22Pence has described himself as being: [2][2][2][2]“a Christian, a conservative and a Republican, in that order.”Why is that concerning?It's concerning because it shows how Pence makes decisions:He has often put faith first in his political decision-making.Christian conservatives cheered when he:signed one of the strictest abortion laws in the United Statesrooted for him as he defended a religious freedom law that companies across the country decried as a gateway to discrimination against LGBT people.Pence places his religious beliefs before the U.S. Constitution - Pence has more in common with theocrats than he does with western leaders (prime ministers, Presidents, etc).The fact that Pence does not believe that in a separation of church and state brings up a variety of issues:Anti-Science: [3]Pence wants creationism taught in schools.Climate Change Denier: [4]Tried to block various EPA regulationsMike Pence’s “faith” also does harm to women and the LGBTQ community, which is covered below.Here's a brief summary of Pence's career/background: [5][5][5][5]Pence is a movement man, with a personal agenda.Two years after finishing law school at Indiana University, he was campaigning for Congress.And losing.And losing.After those 1988 and 1990 defeats for a House seat that combined rural and urban counties and was then represented by Democratic Congressman Phil Sharp, Pence attached himself to the “state-based free-market think-tank movement” that corporations and the Koch brothers have used to advance their agenda.As president of the Indiana Policy Review Foundation, Pence was associated with the State Policy Network that has sought to develop what Ronald Reagan allegedly referred to as “something like a Heritage Foundation in each of the states.”That gig gave the ambitious but unsuccessful congressional candidate the connections he needed to become a right-wing talk-radio host—The Mike Pence Show was syndicated across Indiana at a time when Rush Limbaugh and other stars of conservative media were making talk radio the dominant means of communications for a new and more rigid right.To this day, Pence is a Limbaugh loyalist…Pence declared, “I don’t believe Rush Limbaugh has a racist bone in his body. If you’re suggesting that his statement had a racist element in it, I commend you to a greater understanding of the positions he’s taken. He’s a man about opportunity of all Americans, regardless of race, creed, or color. That’s why he’s so admired and appreciated across America.”Always on the make, Pence parlayed his “think-tank” and talk-radio connections into a Republican nomination for Congress in 2000, won the seat, and quickly began angling for positions of authority in the House.He was a steady vote for the foreign and domestic policies of President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney.Pence bid for the post of House minority leader in a 2006 race with eventual Speaker John Boehner, but earned only 27 votes from social-conservative stalwarts and other hardliners.In 2009, Pence was elected to the third-ranking post in the House, Republican Conference chairman. But he quickly began making noise about running for an Indiana US Senate seat.Then he repositioned himself for a 2012 gubernatorial bid, which he won.A single controversy-plagued term has seen Pence promoting:religious-right agenda itemsincluding a “Religious Freedom Restoration Act”designed to permit discrimination against members of the LGBTQ community that provoked widespread outrage and had to be rewrittenpicking on:refugeesimmigrantslabor unionslocal schoolstrying, without success, to set up a taxpayer-funded state-run news servicecritics described as “the Pence News Service”one Indiana editor dismissed as “antithetical to the idea of an independent press.”Pence is anti-women: [6][6][6][6]Pence cut budget funding for Planned Parenthood in Indiana - this didn't just hurt women.Defunding Planned Parenthood forced five Planned Parenthood clinics to closeThose five clinics that closed provided HIV testingA HIV epidemic ensuedThe CDC investigated the epidemicfound that the fact that needle exchange programs in Indiana were illegal was contributing to the spread of HIVPence refused to legalize needle sharing state widePence only allowed the county experiencing the biggest HIV epidemic to have onethe other counties have to go through a rigorous process to get permission to have a needle exchange programmany of these counties simply didn't have the funds to do so.If planned parenthood hadn't been defunded, they could have helped prevent much of the HIV epidemic.Pence said the following about Planned Parenthood: [7]If Planned Parenthood wants to be involved in providing counseling services and HIV testing, they ought not be in the business of providing abortions.As long as they aspire to do that, I’ll be after them.I'm sure this is no surprise, but Pence tried to defund Planned Parenthood in its entirety even though the federal government doesn't not provide one dime for abortions: [8]Representative Mike Pence of Indiana, a Republican and a longtime foe of abortion who is the chief sponsor of a House bill to cut off financing for Planned Parenthood, said that the organization had “a pattern of apparent fraud and abuse” and that “the time has come to deny any federal funding to Planned Parenthood.”These calls to completely defund Planned Parenthood from Pence were based on the now infamous edited video that the anti-choice group “Live Action” put together.Pence said this about Roe vs. Wade: [9]I long for the day that Roe v. Wade is sent to the ash heap of history.Pence voted against: [10] [11]The Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act (equal pay for women) 2 times (2007)The Paycheck Fairness Act once (2009)Paid parental leave 4 timesthe U.S. is one of the three countries that doesn't provide some kind of paid parental leave, according to UN data. [12]What countries don't provide paid parental leave besides the U.S.? Oman and Papua New GuineaPence tried to re-define rape so he could restrict women's access to abortions. [13]In fact, Pence believes that rape and incest aren't even reasons that abortions should be legal.To top it all off, here is one of the most ridiculous quotes from Pence about women: [14]Pence is anti-LGBTQ: [15]Pence said in his speech, "societal collapse was always brought about following an advent of the deterioration of marriage and family."Pence also called being gay a choice and said keeping gays from marrying was not discrimination, but an enforcement of "God's idea."The Employment Non-Discrimination Act would have banned discrimination against people based on sexual orientation.Pence voted against that law in 2007 and later said the law "wages war on freedom and religion in the workplace."Pence said this about Marriage Equality (from his 2000 campaign website): [16]Congress should oppose any effort to put gay and lesbian relationships on an equal legal status with heterosexual marriage.Congress should oppose any effort to recognize homosexuals as a “discreet and insular minority” entitled to the protection of anti-discrimination laws similar to those extended to women and ethnic minorities.Conversion Therapy: [17]During his first run for Congress, Pence suggested that federal money used to fund research on HIV/AIDS should instead be diverted to programs that "provide assistance to those seeking to change their sexual behavior."So-called "conversion therapy" is a controversial procedure that attempts to change the sexual preferences of gay and lesbian individuals. It is a practice that has been called out by the American Psychological Association as having no basis in medical fact, adding there is "insufficient evidence to support the use of psychological interventions to change sexual orientation."Several states have already moved to ban the practice.Pence’s long history of opposition to the LGBTQ community shows a scary trend: [18]Pence has staunchly opposed LGBT rights since the 1990s, when he was a board member for the Indiana Family Institute (IFI), which advocates for “religious liberty” and opposes what it calls “so-called same-sex ‘marriage.’”Pence is still closely connected to IFI and regularly speaks at the group’s events. During his 12-year tenure in Congress, Pence opposed:workplace nondiscrimination protections based on sexual orientationefforts to expand the definition of a hate crime to include crimes based on sexual orientationchampioned a federal constitutional amendment defining marriage as the union of a man and a womanopposed the end of “don’t ask, don’t tell.”Pence is pro - mass incarceration: [19][19][19][19]In the spring, Pence signed into law an Indiana House bill imposing 10-year mandatory minimum prison terms for people convicted of second offenses for crimes involving methamphetamine or heroin.The legislation was opposed by the Indiana State Bar Association’s Criminal Justice Section, the Indiana Judicial Conference, and the Indiana Public Defender Council, which all argued that legislation to combat drug use should focus on treatment rather than harsher punishment.Pence is bad for the economy in Indiana & Worker rights. [20][20][20][20]“Trickle down” economics:In March 2014, Pence followed the lead of other Republican governors around the country by passing a package of supply-side corporate and income tax cuts that he claimed would increase business activity and economic growth in the state.Similar trickle-down economic models “collapsed” after being implemented by Govs. Sam Brownback (R-KS) and Bobby Jindal (R-LA) and failed to produce discernible results for Gov. John Kasich in neighboring Ohio.As was the case in Ohio and elsewhere, Pence’s tax cuts effectively redistributed the state’s tax burden onto local governments that were stripped of nearly $1 billion in annual revenue.Minimum Wage:2013, Pence mustered Republican State House opposition to a proposal that would have increased Indiana’s minimum wage to $8.25 per hour despite national support for raising the wage to $9.According to The Times of Northwest Indiana, Pence had previously signed legislation “prohibit[ing] local governments from requiring businesses [to] pay a higher minimum wage, or offer any working condition or benefit, such as paid sick leave, if it's not mandated by state or federal law.”On May 6, 2015, Pence continued his campaign against living wages by repealing a law guaranteeing that “prevailing wages” be paid to workers on publicly funded construction projects.Right to Work:Since being revived in Indiana, anti-union “right-to-work” laws have spread throughout Republican-controlled statehouses around the country.Pence’s support for legislative crackdowns on worker rights and collective bargaining date back to at least 2003, when he was an initial co-sponsor of the National Right-to-Work Act.In June 2016, Pence promoted his state’s experience with the law while praising Republican gubernatorial candidate Bill Cole in union-heavy West Virginia.Conservative media outlets have intensely promoted “right-to-work” since it re-emerged on the national stage in 2012 as a means of boosting wages and economic activity, but research by the Economic Policy Institute (EPI) has consistently shown that the supposed gains never actually materialize.These are just some of the reasons why Pence scares me no less than Trump scares me.Trump is like a blubbering drunk that is terrifying because he doesn't care who he kills on the road; if he plows people over it makes no difference to him.Pence is a different kind of danger.Pence wants to plow you over when he's stone cold sober. Trump doesn't avoid it, but Pence aims.Trump is a parasitic evil, Pence is a calculating one.Trump is a gross bug, Pence wants to squash you like a bug.Trump has no depth, intellect or ability to think critically, but Pence thinks critically on how to make marginalized groups less free.Trump is reckless because he only cares about his narcissistic supply being refilled, but Pence wants to eliminate equality for those who are not white, heterosexual, cisgender men because Pence thinks doing so is ethical.Trump doesn't care about morality, but Pence genuinely believes that he is fulfilling “god’s” work by annihilating the progress oppressed groups have made in the U.S.In other words, Pence views equality as a threat and he will stop at nothing to destroy his perception of that threat.This makes Pence a very scary evil indeed.Footnotes[1] Mike Pence Is A Really Conservative And Mostly Unknown VP Pick[1] Mike Pence Is A Really Conservative And Mostly Unknown VP Pick[1] Mike Pence Is A Really Conservative And Mostly Unknown VP Pick[1] Mike Pence Is A Really Conservative And Mostly Unknown VP Pick[2] By picking Mike Pence, Trump sends conservative evangelicals a mixed message[2] By picking Mike Pence, Trump sends conservative evangelicals a mixed message[2] By picking Mike Pence, Trump sends conservative evangelicals a mixed message[2] By picking Mike Pence, Trump sends conservative evangelicals a mixed message[3] Fact Check: Science And The Trump Administration[4] What Media Should Know About Trump’s Reported VP Pick, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence[5] Trump Pick Pence Is a Right-Wing Political Careerist Who Desperately Wants Out of Indiana[5] Trump Pick Pence Is a Right-Wing Political Careerist Who Desperately Wants Out of Indiana[5] Trump Pick Pence Is a Right-Wing Political Careerist Who Desperately Wants Out of Indiana[5] Trump Pick Pence Is a Right-Wing Political Careerist Who Desperately Wants Out of Indiana[6] As Indiana Governor, Mike Pence's Health Policy Has Been Contentious[6] As Indiana Governor, Mike Pence's Health Policy Has Been Contentious[6] As Indiana Governor, Mike Pence's Health Policy Has Been Contentious[6] As Indiana Governor, Mike Pence's Health Policy Has Been Contentious[7] Pence's war on Planned Parenthood[8] Planned Parenthood Funding Is Caught in Budget Feud[9] Meet Trump’s apparent VP pick, a ferocious warrior against reproductive rights[10] Mike Pence's Positions on Women's Rights[11] Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States (and President of the Senate)[12] US Is Still Only Industrialized Nation Without Paid Maternity Leave[13] Elections Matter: Why Pence Is A Scary Option For Women And Public Health[14] Mike Pence in 1999 op-ed: Disney's "Mulan" is liberal propaganda[15] Here's What Mike Pence Said on LGBT Issues Over the Years[16] Mike Pence for Congress[17] Here are some of Mike Pence's most controversial stances on gay rights, abortion, and smoking[18] What Media Should Know About Trump’s Reported VP Pick, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence[19] What Media Should Know About Trump’s Reported VP Pick, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence[19] What Media Should Know About Trump’s Reported VP Pick, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence[19] What Media Should Know About Trump’s Reported VP Pick, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence[19] What Media Should Know About Trump’s Reported VP Pick, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence[20] What Media Should Know About Trump’s Reported VP Pick, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence[20] What Media Should Know About Trump’s Reported VP Pick, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence[20] What Media Should Know About Trump’s Reported VP Pick, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence[20] What Media Should Know About Trump’s Reported VP Pick, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence

Is it really true that there is virtually no voter ID fraud during elections?

Yes. I know of no [contemporary] election that was swayed by voter id fraud. The size of a conspiracy to rig voting through id fraud is just not worth it, not when you need hundreds, thousands, or millions of votes to change an electoral result. The logistics of this would just be maddening. If such a massive fraud were attempted to be perpetuated, it should have been detected easily by current safeguards, without voter ID. And there is no such case.You would need to go to different polling stations, so the poll workers wouldn't recognize you voting again. Or you would need to disguise yourself, in the way old time political machines urged their supporters to vote early, and OFTEN. It's far easier to just register new voters who will likely support your aims and values and get them to vote. i.e., drive them to the polls.And there is no guarantee of success, even after all this effort. Laws and politicians change all the time, yet the political process is complex enough that sometimes that doesn't matter for whatever outcome you want.Voter ID laws are like closing a barn door where a dozen "bad" animals are inside, and a thousand animals you also are responsible for are wandering around on the pasture, and the dozen animals wouldn't harm anything anyway if left outside. Oh and also, you locked some of the good animals inside too, without access to water or feed. That's an analogy to some elders in rural areas and other ID non-possessing people who will now be disenfranchised.And to address your new point of absentee ballot fraud, that is one of the easiest to detect. It is the same for ballot initiative petition fraud. You compare addresses and signatures for the voter that you have on file. If they don't match, you investigate. If the town clerk is lazy and doesn't do this for anomalous numbers of or suspicious absentee ballots, they will also be lazy about checking voter ID, if there is such a law in your state. Our current system is not broken. If there are bad actors, it's easy to remedy, if people care.I have also reviewed the articles you linked (those who have no interest shouldn't read, it's more of the SSDD):Report points to possible voter fraud in NC: Possible is such a useful/useless term. This is journalism at its worst. Look what's buried at the bottom, "That means of the nearly 7 million votes cast, voter fraud accounted for 0.00174 percent of the ballots." Let's just round that down, shall we? The part where hundreds of thousands of people are also registered out of state? That's no crime, I know of no one who de-registered themselves when moving. The state should have kept up w/ voter census annually.Here's what's important: "Another 765 voters with an exact match of first and last name, date of birth and last four digits of their Social Security number were registered and voted in the 2012 general election in North Carolina and another state." But that's minuscule for a presidential election. I also cannot understand how people vote in both states. What a hassle... Also, voter ID laws wouldn't prevent this. If the right person is registered in two places, but the clerk/registrar failed to properly purge her rolls, that's on the government office responsible.Board of Elections voter audit: How above said state fixed their system, including taking a photo of voters at the poll place, to compare to DMV files or previous voting photos. No photo ID necessary.Indiana election probe launched "(here they actually found fraudulent ballots that were tossed)" [your words, not mine]: No actual evidence of fraud was given in this article. Oh, lo and behold, it is about absentee balloting, as I had predicted above. There is nothing stating the invalid ballots found were actually fraudulent: "a recent vote fraud trial that found some absentee ballot votes invalid but did not overturn Pastrick's win." The article mentions that a fraud inquiry was opened to see if invalid absentee ballots could have been fraudulent. But nothing stating if the results found fraud. Absentee ballots can be invalidated for a myriad of reasons; wrong post-mark date, no signature, address was improper (like ballot was forwarded by postal service, and wasn't proper to election guidelines). That doesn't mean there was fraud. And the system worked, candidates challenged close results, and the court did their work. And voter ID laws don't help w/ absentee ballots.4 Indiana Dems charged with election fraud in 2008 presidential race (This link takes you to Fox news, which I understand is a extremely questionable source. However, that's ultimately an ad hominem. ): Ah, good old petition fraud. Easily detected, as I mentioned above, and here is the proof. Not thwart-able by voter ID laws.Madison elections supervisor among 8 arrested in voting scheme: More absentee ballot fraud. And again, it was easily detected. The system's integrity was maintained. An elections supervisor should have known better. That she didn't, all the better that she is no longer in the election department's employ.NAACP leader imprisoned for voter fraud, diluting legal votes: Absentee ballot fraud, yet again! Easily detected. I feel like I've become repetitive. You get the idea.Daytona Beach Commissioner Arrested On Fraud Charges: Absentee ballot fraud, ad nauseam. "Volusia County Supervisor of Elections Ann McFall requested an investigation into irregularities in absentee ballot requests coming into her office. McFall brought her concerns to the Volusia County Sheriff’s Office in August, prompting the Sheriff’s Office and the State Attorney’s Office to immediately launch a joint investigation that ultimately led to the filing of a dozen felony charges against Henry and Robinson." Seems like it was easily detected.Please, no more of these. I mean no disrespect, but this is tedious. Surely you noticed this pattern of easily detectable fraud yourself?

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