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Given that young people are overwhelmingly against Brexit is it likely that in 20 years' time they will reverse Brexit when they are running the country?I wouldn’t think it very likely. In no particular order, these are a few possible factors:The EU may not exist in anything like a recognisable state. The Euro is unstable, and it could easily bring down the whole EU, or trigger a massive reform. If the EU did somehow return to just a free trade area, with a massively reduced political dimension, that would make rejoining far more likely.The UK may not exist in a recognisable state. Clearly Scotland or Northern Ireland leaving the union are non-negligible possibilities, so changing the country. For Scotland, it leaving would remove the most pro EU part of the country, so making any rejoin for the rest less likely.It assumes that peoples attitudes won’t change over time. This is a very weak assumption to be made without direct evidence supporting it. Note how the generation who supported EEC membership in 1975 strongly rejected it in 2016. So a person born in 1950, was a young person of 25 in 1975, and was 66 in 2016. Their attitudes changed, and not in favour of the EU.Rejoin will not be on the same terms as remain. The EU that exists in 20 years time will not offer the UK the same terms as now. There will be no rebate, and Euro membership will be non-negotiable. Many other things would also be part of the acquis communautaire, the rules that exist when a new member applies, and are obliged to accept.The Common Fisheries policy provides a good example of this. the 1957 EEC did not have a common fishers policy, but in 1970, when Ireland, the UK and Norway, all countries with rich fishing grounds were about to apply for membership the EEC passed a common fisheries policy a few hours before the applications were received, therefore making it a pre -existing rule that would have to be accepted. Norway sensibly said no, and declined to be a member.Who knows what other policies will be in place in 20 years time, and the UK would be obliged to accept?Overall, barring massive reform of the EU Into a less political entity, the longer the UK is outside it, the lower the chances of rejoin are.To my mind, the only possibility would be if the next 5 years are an utter catastrophe for the UK, and very good for the EU, and 2024 sees a competent set of opposition parties (including the SNP, having failed/chickened out on independence again) run on a rejoin platform, with the support of the EU in the form of public promises of easy and non-punitive rejoin terms.The longer the UK is out, the more divergence there will be, and the harder rejoin will be.

Seventeen years ago I had an account with Hollywood Video, a movie rental chain (if anyone remembers those). When I signed up for the membership I was married, so I listed my wife as an authorized renter on my account. We had two adult roommates so I listed both of them as well, even though I was pretty sure they had their own accounts. One of the roommates had a little brother who came to live at our house for a while as well, but he was not listed on the account since he was only fourteen.One day the little brother got a hold of his sister’s card (the one attached to my account) and went to Hollywood Video and rented a PlayStation game and two movies. As part of the rental transaction he had to sign the receipt, and a copy was given to him inside the case of one of the movies. Standard stuff.I didn’t know that he had rented the movies until they were a week or so overdue, at which point I collected them and returned them to Hollywood Video. The late fees amounted to $17.00 and some change, which I paid with a check. This is where things get interesting.My wife at the time was big into - I don’t even know what it’s called. She had a bunch of plaster molds, she would pour clay into the molds and let it set, then she would take the castings and put them in her kiln and fire them, and then we would have a new set of coffee mugs, or a new ceramic figurine, or a wall hanging. She did a lot of this, and sold her pieces at craft fairs and such. We had an entire section of our basement dedicated to her kiln and all of her plaster molds, many of which she had made herself.Well, the day after I paid that late fee, she went to a local craft store to buy a few extra molds. The total cost came up to just under $500. She gave the clerk her check card, and the clerk ran it through the machine. It beeped that it didn’t go through, so they ran it again. And again. And again. On the fifth try it finally went through. Or at least, that’s what we thought.What had actually happened was that the machine had run the card all five times, pulling almost $2500 out of our bank account. We didn’t discover the error until two days later when our mortgage payment bounced, our car payment bounced, a check to our grocery store bounced…and the check to Hollywood Video bounced.We went back to the craft store, and they instantly refunded our money. The owner of the store also wrote a letter to each of the four business that had gotten their checks bounced because they emptied our account, explaining that the problem was on their end, that we were not at fault, and asking that the creditors either waive any bounced check fees or send those fees to the craft store instead.The bank that we paid our mortgage and car payment to accepted the letter and waived the fees. The grocery store accepted the letter and said they would send a request for the fee to the craft store. Then we went to Hollywood Video, where we were informed by the store manager that bounced checks were automatically turned over to their legal department to handle. They refused to accept payment for the check, and refused to even look at the letter. We were going to have to fight it in court.On the day we went to court, the lawyers from Hollywood Video met us outside the courtroom and offered us a deal. We could pay $250 and they would drop the suit. If we declined to pay that amount, we were “guaranteed to pay up to as much as $1200” because of the court costs and associated fines that we agreed to when we signed up for service. I guess this was a tactic that they used to scare people into paying ten times the amount of the original check, and it might have worked on me in different circumstances. I had an ace up my sleeve that they weren’t prepared for, however.Our turn came, and they got to go first. They kept it simple - we had signed a contract when we created the account, we knew what the penalties were for bouncing a check, and we shouldn’t have kept the movies as long as we did if we couldn’t afford to pay the late fees. Then it was my turn.I had three documents that I asked to be allowed to enter into evidence. The first was the letter from the craft store, indicating that the check bouncing was their fault and not ours. The second was the receipt from the original rental, showing that the rental form was signed by the little brother, and that the two movies were both R Rated movies. The third was a copy of the little brother’s state ID (he was too young for a learner’s permit or driver’s license) showing that the signatures were the same, and that he was 14 years old. Then I made my statement, where I basically said that the store had rented the videos to a person who was not listed as an authorized renter on my account, they had rented R Rated movies to a minor, and that when presented with the letter explaining that the check had bounced due to an error at the craft store they refused to accept it because they preferred to waste the court’s time rather than allowing us to fix the problem.The judge asked the lawyers if they had a copy of my original membership application, and they indicated that they did. I guess they were expecting me to say that I didn’t know about the penalties for bouncing a check and had brought it along to show that I had signed something saying that I had been advised. The judge looked at the page where it listed my authorized renters, looked at the copy of the little brother’s ID, then made his statement. He stated that the store had violated the contract by renting to someone whom I had not given them authorization to allow to use my account, thus rendering the contract null and void. Not only was the ruling in my favor, but he also found that they had no claim to charge me the original late fee. He also “urged” the lawyers to remind their clients that they should not be renting R Rated movies to minors.

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