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Undoubtedly, the ongoing trade war between the US and China has just created a small “gap” on the world market, where smaller countries like Vietnam can easily step inside and take it as a great opportunities. As one of the fastest growing economies of Asia-Pacific, during the last 9 months of 2018 the economy of Vietnam is estimated to achieve the growth rate of 6.98% as the fastest nine-month growth since 2011 [1].In my opinion, during the period of 2018–2020, Vietnam MUST ensure the social stability and the healthy growth of the economy as well as to avoid being a part of the current Sino-American geopolitical conflict, in terms of both political and economic aspects.First of all, Vietnam must keep going on its industrialization and modernization road map at least until 2020. Heavy industries will help strengthening the power of the country and consolidate the self-reliance stance of Vietnam on the world map. Important heavy industrial projects as well as major infrastructure modernization programs must be completed on time. For example, Nghi Son Petrochemical Refinery must start their commercial operation by the end of this year [2], while the construction of 4 MTPA Dung Quat Steel Production Complex of Hoa Phat Group have to be finished during 2019.Figure 1: Nghi Son Refinery in Thanh Hoa Province, with the designed capacity of 10 million tons of crude oil per year [3].Secondly, Vietnam must welcome all foreign investment sources as well as FDI partners, especially high-tech companies for investment and technology transfers. At this moment, due to the negative impacts of the trade war, numerous international companies have moved their production lines from China into Vietnam as a part of the changes in global supply chains. Hence, this is the great time for Vietnam to have their presences.Figure 2 & 3: Camso, a Luxembourg-based manufacturer of tires and also a FDI company, recently opened a new plant at Vietnamese - Singapore Industrial Park II (VSIP II), Binh Duong Province [4].Thirdly, Vietnam must focus on automation technology of this 21st century by utilizing the technology transfers from developed countries. In recent years, SCADA and HMI are a must criteria for every water and wastewater treatment plants to effectively control the processes. Furthermore, a lot of big manufacturing companies are also working on upgrading their automation levels from II to III. Meanwhile, ERP system has been widely applied to control every activities of the factory.Figure 4: Inside the control center for casting strand of Southern Steel Company, Ltd., which was built by Danieli Centro Met, a sub-company of Danieli Group (Italy) [5] .Fourthly, at this period (2018–2020), Vietnam must upgrade its national infrastructures, including highways, airports, ports and railway systems rapidly. Good infrastructure is definitely a must criteria to receive further foreign investments.Figure 5: The Tram Overpass 2 Intersection which connects the Hanoi Highway and National Highway 1A, Ho Chi Minh City [6] [7].Finally, Vietnam must not forget to strengthen its national defense to ensure not only internal securities of Vietnam itself but also help settling down major international problems. The US-China trade war might not be limited in terms of economics only. In worst case, it will definitely become a new Cold War between the two giants. When the freedom of navigation of East Sea has been limited by the provocative acts of several countries and the threats of “color revolutions” are still existing, Vietnam must rapidly improve the fighting capabilities of its armed forces and they must always be put in combat readiness even during the peace time - “Si vis pacem, para bellum”.Figure 6: In a unit of Vietnamese Naval Infantry.Hope my short answer above will satisfy the curiosity of readers about the position of Vietnam throughout the China and US trade war.Footnotes[1] Vietnam expects Jan-Sept economic growth to be strongest in 7 years[2] Nghi Son refinery starts commercial operation in November[3] Nghi Sơn Refinery - Wikipedia[4] Camso inaugurates best-in-class Vietnam solid tire manufacturing… | Camso[5] VNSTEEL – SOUTHERN STEEL COMPANY LTD., VIETNAM, ORDERS NEW CASTING STRAND TO DANIELI[6] Những công trình giao thông hiện đại TP.HCM nhìn từ trên cao | Báo Giao thông[7] Photos: Four intersections that change the face of Saigon’s gateways

The reality is that what you propose will never happen! But if it did here is how it might evolve.China would have to rely on its own domestic market and it would be fine after a few years of readjustment.The nations you mention would have to start building the necessary infrastructure for all the manufacturing that would be needed, have to realign supply chains and that would take a while, would be costly, would see prices for an incredible number of products rising significantly until all of the changes had been made - can I suggest a minimum of 3 to 4+ decades? One does not build an Empire in just a few years.But what do you think China will be doing all that time? Sitting drinking tea? Both of us know that is NOT what will happen. China will find another way to continue its growth, improving the quality of life of its people, improve the level of education of its young people, continue to build some of the most amazing highways, trains, cities, improving medical care, installing 5G (thanks to Huawei) all across China, and will still surpass the rest of the world in a host of areas.What so many do not know is that China is already number one in a wide array of vital technologies and measures of progress.Here’s a short list of a few of what I consider the more important ones:Top 20 Country Total Patent (Invention) History (1980-2017) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mQ6q5s2ha7M - Patent Applications. The nation with the most patents will become the technological leader of the world. Check the year 2011 in the animation and see what happened back then. PS China also has more of its patents accepted than does the US. This animation ends in 2017 so can I suggest that China will probably be applying for around 3 - 4 times more patents than the USA today?Top 20 Country GDP (PPP) History & Projection (1800-2040) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4-2nqd6-ZXg&feature=youtu.be - GDP (PPP). This is a measure of how much the average wage in a country can buy with that wage. Maybe scroll forward about 3/4 of the way or you will be waiting for a long time before it gets interesting. China surpassed the US in 2017 and the average wage earner in China can buy more with that wage than can your average American.World's Richest Countries in the Future (2020-2100) https://youtu.be/0YCPh2fv0HQ - Future forecasted GDPWorld's Top 10 highest manufacturing countries | Country Growth https://youtu.be/gsZWQinHapk - Manufacturing capacityTrademark application by nation. China surpassed the US in 2001. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dG5wGZAIAdMExports of the top 15 nations in the world. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q2WeWOoTbag) - In 2013 China eclipsed the US in total value of exports.Number of phones - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AIGq723SZU8Renewable Energy Production - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rugrDueew1QExports of Goods and Services - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oakFGVWtP74There is also this:“China is not dependent on US imports. Quite the opposite. America is an import led economy with a weak industrial and manufacturing base, heavily dependent on imports from China.“Made in China” is the backbone of retail trade in the USA which indelibly sustains household consumption in virtually all major commodity categories from clothing, footwear, hardware, electronics, toys, jewellery, household fixtures, food, TV sets, mobile phones, etc.Importing from China is a lucrative multi-trillion dollar operation, which could be disrupted by the coronavirus pandemic. It is the source of tremendous profit and wealth in the US, because consumer commodities imported from China’s low wage economy are often sold at the retail level more than ten times their factory price.Production does not take place in the USA. The producers have given up production. The US trade deficit with China is instrumental in fuelling the profit driven consumer economy which relies on Made in China consumer goods.A dozen designer shirts produced in China will sell at a factory price FOB at $36 a dozen ($3 dollars a shirt). Once they reach the shopping malls, each shirt will be sold at $30 or more, approximately ten times its factory price. Vast revenues accrue to wholesale and retail distributors. The US based “non-producers” reap the benefits of China’s low cost commodity production. (Michel Chossudovsky, The Globalization of Poverty and the New World Order, Global Research, 2003).Chinese policy makers are fully aware that the US economy is heavily dependent on “Made in China”.And with an internal market of more than 1.4 billion people, coupled with a global export market, these veiled threats by President Trump will not be taken seriously in Beijing.Michel Chossudovsky, May 20, 2019, updated February 16, 2020,”Trump's Trade War with China: Imagine What Would Happen if China Decided to Impose Economic Sanctions on the USA? - Global Researchand this:“The number one reason why we like to be in China is the people. China has extraordinary skills. And the part that's the most unknown is there's almost 2 million application developers in China that write apps for the iOS App Store. These are some of the most innovative mobile apps in the world, and the entrepreneurs that run them are some of the most inspiring and entrepreneurial in the world. Those are sold not only here but exported around the world.”and this“China has moved into very advanced manufacturing, so you find in China the intersection of craftsman kind of skill, and sophisticated robotics and the computer science world. That intersection, which is very rare to find anywhere, that kind of skill, is very important to our business because of the precision and quality level that we like. The thing that most people focus on if they're a foreigner coming to China is the size of the market, and obviously it's the biggest market in the world in so many areas. But for us, the number one attraction is the quality of the people.”Apple CEO Tim Cook: This Is the Number 1 Reason We Make iPhones in China (It's Not What You Think) - from Tom Cook, the CEO of Apple!-If you can find anything that can counter these please reply with your info/data. Thank you.

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