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NOTHING MUCH WHEN COMPARED TO THE NEXT GLACIATION.Richard Greene“This planet supports more life when it is warmer, and that means warmer is good news. Consider all the good news — human progress –made during the intermittent warming since the 1690s.Past warming was good news but continued warming will be bad news?”New Climate Assessment Suggests No Dangerous WarmingThis reconstruction is of North America just 15,000 years ago.Laurentide Ice SheetDescriptionThe Laurentide Ice Sheet was a massive sheet of ice that covered millions of square kilometers, including most of Canada and a large portion of the Northern United States, multiple times during the Quaternary glacial epochs, from 2.588 ± 0.005 million years ago to the present. WikipediaWhat global warming, the earth is cooling as we are living in the middle of an ice age? You may say but the next glaciation is thousands of years away. Well we do not know, but at the moment we are living with all the conditions of an inter-glacial or deglaciation climate. We have a lot of history about what happens during deglaciation and the weather swings hot to cold in cycles and hot is much preferred as we learned from the Little Ice Age period up to 1850.WRITTEN BY VIJAY JAYARAJ AND CALVIN BEISNER ONDEC 14, 2020. POSTED IN LATEST NEWS“Healthy Polar Bears And Thriving Tigers Expose The Climate Lies(h/t Steve B.) Last year, the world applauded Greta Thunberg’s emotional “How Dare You!” speech at the UN summit in New York.The teenager famously said, “Entire ecosystems are collapsing. We are in the beginning of a mass extinction.”The mainstream media’s narrative is similar. Ecosystems are dying. Animals are going extinct. Our evil desire to consume fossil fuels is to blame!What do you think? Are species going extinct because of man-made global warming? Christians, who honor God as Creator, should care about these matters.But caring by itself isn’t enough. We also need truth, for “there is a way that seems right, though its end brings death (Proverbs 14:12).”Take two key species as examples. Polar bears have been climate alarmists’ mascots for years. Tigers are an important species in South Asian jungles.Tigers: No Longer CrouchingTo the dismay of climate doomsayers, tiger populations are on the rise!Tigers are a keystone species. The integrity of their ecosystems is crucial to their welfare. Thriving tiger populations are evidence of healthy ecosystems.So, what do you suppose is up with tigers?India’s tiger numbers have doubled since 2006. That’s despite the country’s ever-expanding cities, industries, and mines. India counted 2967 tigers in its latest census. That is more than double the number in 2006.Celebrating International Tiger Day, Indian Environment Minister Prakash Javadekar noted that “the country today has 70 percent of the world’s tiger population.”Two-thirds of these tigers live in forest zones categorized as tiger reserves. The remaining third is a testament to the safe habitations outside highly protected zones.Recent surveys affirm the healthy state of Indian forests on which tigers depend. Total forest and tree cover in India increased by 5,188 square km from 2017 to 2019. I witnessed the health of these ecosystems as a field ecologist in the buffer zones of a tiger reserve in the heart of India.The primary concern of tiger conservationists in India is unlawful encroachment, not climate change. Climate change in the past decade has impacted tiger populations positively.Tropical forest ecosystems in India are not dying. They remain healthy and are expanding. Tiger numbers benefit.Polar Bear Population Growth: UnmaskedPolar bears are the mainstream media’s climate doomsday mascot. They used a widely projected image of a starving polar bear to generate sympathy in 2019.The image first appeared in a video viewed by an estimated 2.5 billion people. It got the most views of any video ever on the National Geographic website.Scientists accused National Geographic of “being loose with the facts.” Videographer Cristina Mittermeier admitted that there was no evidence that the bear’s condition was due to climate change.“Perhaps we made a mistake in not telling the full story,” she said. “…that we were looking for a picture that foretold the future and that we didn’t know what had happened to this particular polar bear.”People get sick, grow weak, and die. So do polar bears.Still, climate alarmists use polar bears to win public empathy. But if you think polar bear populations are declining, you’ve been misled.Global polar bear numbers have risen spectacularly in the last sixty years. From around 5,000 in the 1950s, they rose to 8,000–10,000 in the 1970s, 20,000–25,000 by 2005, and an estimated 22,000–31,000 by 2015.You might think environmentalists would cheer. Think again. They and the mainstream media have remained largely silent.The polar bear problem in the Nunavut province of Canada is a testament to their growing population.Recently the Nunavut people pressured the Canadian government to allow increased culling. Why? Because their growing numbers threatened Nunavut communities.In a 2018 report, leading polar bear biologist Susan Crockford wrote:The people of Nunavut are not seeing starving, desperate bears—quite the opposite. Yet polar bear specialists are saying these bears are causing problems because they don’t have enough sea ice to feed properly.The facts on the ground make their claims look silly, including the abundance of fat bears. Residents are pushing their government for a management policy that makes the protection of human life the priority.It’s a Myth—Don’t Fall for ItPolar bears and tigers are many thousands of miles apart. But they share the same common myth: that climate change is destroying their habitats and their numbers are dwindling. In reality, their habitats are improving and their numbers are rising.It is easy for celebrity climate activists to make sensational claims about species extinction and ecosystem collapse. The mainstream media project their speeches as authoritative. Instead, they are merely activist scare stories.”Healthy Polar Bears And Thriving Tigers Expose The Climate LiesThe planet is cooling fear another Little Ice Age not global warming.Also new research is reconstructing our current deglaciation or inter glaciation with a new title, THE HOLOCENE TEMPERATURE CONUNDRUM because it shows ‘GLOBAL COOLING. The ABSTRACT says, “This global cooling is puzzling because it is opposite from the expected and simulated global warming .”Hmm. this could get nasty as we waste trillions fearing warming when the climate goes into glaciation level cooling and only fossil fuels have any hope for us to survive.More below -Dr Patrick Moore shows the benefits of global warming. He is the ‘sensible environmentalist.’https://youtu.be/UFHX526NPbEThe correct description of our climate is not global warming. It is either deglaciation or to be more precise, we are living in the Holocene Optimum inter glacial. Why does this matter? Surely, after deglaciation comes the brutal glaciation climate well documented by our climate history.THE SCIENCE OF THE SEASONS MATTERSAlso new research that shakes up alarmism about CO2 shows in the late Holocene (our time) the “cooling mode is determined by changes in the seasonal cycle of Arctic sea-ice that are forced by orbital variations and volcanic eruptions.” The cause if the science of the seasons. See ABSTRACT below.Why does CO2 lag temperature?Deglaciation certainly saves us from being destroyed by glaciation as happened just 18,000 years ago.Our Holocene Optimum deglaciation with rapid warming 12,000 years back, sadly is now called the Holocene Conundrum because temperatures are falling and the weather is cooling rising fears that either a new Little Ice Age is developing or full out glaciation.Does this weather look like global warming to you, especially when most alarmist scientist predicted the end of snow? No, this weather with brutal snowy winters looks like the Holocene Conundrum to me.[As an aside the above photo is from Canada which happens to be the coldest country in the world with winters recently as early as September but our PM Justin Trudeau just increased the useless carbon tax in the vain hope to make Canada colder according to the fraudulent Paris Accord.]Research on the Holocene Conundrum out of China concludes the models showing that the rise of CO2 will cause a retreat of ice and more rapid warming need reexamination. They say “this global cooling is puzzling.” Yes I would rather say this global cooling refutes the theory of CO2 causing global warming!“The Holocene temperature conundrum”Zhengyu Liu, View ORCID ProfileJiang Zhu, Yair Rosenthal, Xu Zhang, Bette L. Otto-Bliesner, Axel Timmermann, Robin S. Smith, Gerrit Lohmann, Weipeng Zheng, and Oliver Elison TimmPNAS August 26, 2014 111 (34) E3501-E3505; first published August 11, 2014; The Holocene temperature conundrumEdited by Mark A. Cane, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, and approved July 15, 2014 (received for review April 21, 2014)Article Figures & SI Info & Metrics PDFSignificanceMarine and terrestrial proxy records suggest global cooling during the Late Holocene, following the peak warming of the Holocene Thermal Maximum (∼10 to 6 ka) until the rapid warming induced by increasing anthropogenic greenhouses gases. However, the physical mechanism responsible for this global cooling has remained elusive. Here, we show that climate models simulate a robust global annual mean warming in the Holocene, mainly in response to rising CO2 and the retreat of ice sheets. This model-data inconsistency demands a critical reexamination of both proxy data and models.AbstractA recent temperature reconstruction of global annual temperature shows Early Holocene warmth followed by a cooling trend through the Middle to Late Holocene [Marcott SA, et al., 2013, Science 339(6124):1198–1201]. This global cooling is puzzling because it is opposite from the expected and simulated global warming trend due to the retreating ice sheets and rising atmospheric greenhouse gases. Our critical reexamination of this contradiction between the reconstructed cooling and the simulated warming points to potentially significant biases in both the seasonality of the proxy reconstruction and the climate sensitivity of current climate models.”The Holocene temperature conundrumThe cooling Holocene unusual deglaciation continues apace.Published: 18 September 2020New research published by the prestigious NATURE COMMICATIONS finds two modes warming and cooling and that the Holocene cooling mode takes over in the late Holocene because of “the seasonal cycle of Arctic sea-ice that are forced by orbitral variations and volcanic eruptions.” NB nothing to do with CO2 or human activities.“Global temperature modes shed light on the Holocene temperature conundrumJürgen Bader, et al.Nature Communications volume 11, Article number: 4726 (2020) Cite this articleAbstract“Reconstructions of the global mean annual temperature evolution during the Holocene yield conflicting results. One temperature reconstruction shows global cooling during the late Holocene. The other reconstruction reveals global warming. Here we show that both a global warming mode and a cooling mode emerge when performing a spatio-temporal analysis of annual temperature variability during the Holocene using data from a transient climate model simulation. The warming mode is most pronounced in the tropics. The simulated cooling mode is determined by changes in the seasonal cycle of Arctic sea-ice that are forced by orbital variations and volcanic eruptions. The warming mode dominates in the mid-Holocene, whereas the cooling mode takes over in the late Holocene. The weighted sum of the two modes yields the simulated global temperature trend evolution. Our findings have strong implications for the interpretation of proxy data and the selection of proxy locations to compute global mean temperatures.”The disagreement between the expected global warming from increasing greenhouse gases and retreating ice sheets and the cooling shown by the Marcott reconstruction is called the ‘Holocene temperature conundrum’5.“….Here, we contribute to such understanding by showing that a spatio-temporal analysis of annual temperature variability during the Holocene using data from a transient high-resolution (about 200 km) climate model reveals that both a global warming mode and a cooling mode coexisted. We show that the sum of these two modes explains the long-term development in the global mean temperature and provide a physical mechanism for the cooling mode.“The warming and cooling modeThe simulated centennial to millennial mean temperature variability during the Holocene is dominated by a warming and a cooling mode (Fig. 2) that together explain most of the long-term trends (explained variance about 99%; see Fig. 3b).…. Decreasing summer insolation from the mid-Holocene to the late Holocene causes an increase in Arctic sea-ice cover, in particular during late summer and early autumn, because of a reduction in summer Arctic sea-ice melt (Fig. 4c–e). The increasing Arctic sea-ice cover has two main effects that lead to near-surface cooling. First, it reduces the incoming solar radiation at the surface because of an enhanced surface albedo (Fig. 4e). The albedo cooling effect is strongest during late summer and early autumn because the large albedo enhancement goes along with relatively strong insolation during these months (Fig. 4d). Previous studies have demonstrated that changes in precession have an influence on the annual mean high latitude absorbed insolation and the sea-ice coverage, because of changes in the timing of seasonal insolation and its interactions/feedbacks with the sea-ice cover fn15. Second, the ocean in the high latitudes warms the atmosphere less because of the increased Arctic sea-ice-cover. The sea ice between the atmosphere and the ocean has an insulating effect by reducing the latent and sensible heat fluxes from the ocean to the atmosphere fn16,17. Therefore, the larger Arctic sea-ice cover in late summer and early autumn reduces the surface heat fluxes and thereby cools the atmosphere (Fig. 4f). The change in the seasonality from the mid-Holocene to the late Holocene not only dominates the annual signal, but also prevails on the millennial time-scale in the Arctic region. The course of the summer Arctic insolation change from the mid-Holocene to the late Holocene imposes the time evolution of the cooling mode (see Fig. 4 b, e). The cooling mode is substantially amplified in our simulation that includes volcanic and solar irradiance forcing (Supplementary Fig. 6). The most prominent effect comes from volcanic eruptions and previous studies fn 18,19 have shown that clusters of eruptions can lead to long-lasting Northern Hemisphere cooling sustained by sea-ice/ocean feedbacks.REFERENCESFootnotes for above.15.Tabor, C. R., Poulsen, C. J. & Pollard, D. Mending Milankovitch’s theory: obliquity amplification by surface feedbacks. Clim. Past. 10, 41–50 (2014).Google Scholar16.Serreze, M. C. & Barry, R. G. Processes and impacts of arctic amplification: a research synthesis. Glob. Planet. Change 77, 85–96 (2011).ADS Google Scholar17.Fischer, N. & Jungclaus, J. H. Evolution of the seasonal temperature cycle in a transient holocene simulation: orbital forcing and sea-ice. Clim. Past. 7, 1139–1148 (2011).Google Scholar18.Sigl, M., Winstrup, M., McConnell, J. R., Welten, K. C. & Plunkett, G. et al. Timing and climate forcing of volcanic eruptions for the past 2,500 years. Nature 523, 543–549 (2015).ADS CAS PubMed Google Scholar19.Miller, G. H., Geirsdóttir, Á., Zhong, Y., Larsen, D. J. & Otto-Bliesner, B. L. et al. Abrupt onset of the little ice age triggered by volcanism and sustained by sea-ice/ocean feedbacks. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39, L02708 (2012).”ADS Google ScholarGlobal temperature modes shed light on the Holocene temperature conundrum“Research article10 Jan 2014“Mending Milankovitch's theory: obliquity amplification by surface feedbacksC. R. Tabor 1, C. J. Poulsen 1 , and D. Pollard 21 Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA2 Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA, USAPublished: 10 Jan 2014Abstract. Milankovitch's theory states that orbitally induced changes in high-latitude summer insolation dictate the waxing and waning of ice sheets. Accordingly, precession should dominate the ice-volume response because it most strongly modulates summer insolation. However, early Pleistocene (2.588–0.781 Ma) ice-volume proxy records vary almost exclusively at the frequency of the obliquity cycle. To explore this paradox, we use an Earth system model coupled with a dynamic ice sheet to separate the climate responses to idealized transient orbits of obliquity and precession that maximize insolation changes. Our results show that positive surface albedo feedbacks between high-latitude annual-mean insolation, ocean heat flux and sea-ice coverage, and boreal forest/tundra exchange enhance the ice-volume response to obliquity forcing relative to precession forcing. These surface feedbacks, in combination with modulation of the precession cycle power by eccentricity, help explain the dominantly 41 kyr cycles in global ice volume of the early Pleistocene.How to cite: Tabor, C. R., Poulsen, C. J., and Pollard, D.: Mending Milankovitch's theory: obliquity amplification by surface feedbacks, Clim. Past, 10, 41–50, Mending Milankovitch's theory: obliquity amplification by surface feedbacks, 2014.”Extreme Weather GSM“100-YEAR-OLD COLD RECORDS SMASHED IN RENO, NEVADANOVEMBER 9, 2020 CAP ALLONAn Arctic chill descended as far south as Nevada over the weekend, delivering a record breaking snowstorm Saturday night into Sunday.The valley saw up to 6 inches (15.2 cm). Carson City got around 3.5 inches (8.9 cm). While Mt. Rose Ski received 8 inches (20. 3 cm). Places near Echo Pass and South Tahoe even reported lake effect snow Sunday afternoon.Conditions conspired to break a couple of records.A total of 4.5 inches (11.4 cm) of snow fell at the Reno Airport this weekend, with 3.8 inches (9.7 cm) of that accumulating on Sunday alone — this comfortably eclipsed the old record for Sunday set exactly 100 years ago, in 1920, by 1.3 inches.In addition, Reno smashed a daily low-max temperature record.The city’s Airport struggled to a high of just 34F (1.1C) on Sunday — the coldest Reno has ever been on this date, busting the old record of 38F (3.3C) also set exactly 100 years ago, in 1920.”Arrhenius relied on incorrect data about greenhouse gases and CO2 but his view that warming is beneficial continues to be spot on.Global temperatures looking back to 1700 at the time of the LIttle Ice Age show no increase.