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Yes and no.No as technically Germany was doomed after failing to prevent evacuation of industrial facilities to Central Asia and Siberia and reaching for the Caspian oil fields.And yes, Moscow was always been one of the industrial centers of USSR and had huge psychological value to Russian people. So successful Defense of Moscow was a beginning of liberation of the country.

If we boil it down to one single reason: both powers were in need of a common border with each other.Liberation MarchThe Nazis could not get to the Ukrainian bread basket and Caspian oil without busting Poland first. Stalin needed to get Poland out of the way for his great Anti-Fascist Liberation march to Europe. We tried walking over them in 1920, and it just didn’t go.Doing it again would mean uniting France, Britain and Germany against us—and together they could get us by attacking from the Baltics (still independent in 1939) and Finland. Leningrad would fall pretty soon, and then it would be game over for Moscow within weeks after that.First strikeBoth Germany and the USSR built their entire military strategy on a massive and devastating strike deep in the enemy’s territory based on maneuverability never seen before in history. The Gleiwitz and Mainila incidents demonstrated that both thought perfectly in parallel about finding a casus belli for starting the war at the time of their choosing.Both parties assumed that the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact put themselves in the perfect position to strike first. Hitler had a very vague idea about the scale of the Soviet military machine and the number of our battle-ready troops. The Great Purge in the Red Army and our dismal performance in the Finnish war made him think we were just pathetic pushovers.Stalin, on his part, believed that taking on Poland would pin down Hitler along with the Allies in a WW1-like war of attrition. In the meantime, he would have enough time to absorb new territories and prepare the ground for an epic Dolchstoß.French disappointmentIt was a high-stakes game where Hitler overwhelmed Stalin completely. With Poland still between us, the annihilation of the Red Army in 1941–42 wouldn’t have happened. The history of 1941 showed it would have taken 6 weeks for the Second Strategic echelon to move to the “Stalin’s line”—approximately the time needed for the Germans to grind down the Polish resistance and reach our pre-WW2 border.It was the French who thwarted Stalin’s plans by losing too soon. After Dunkirk, Stalin was visibly trapped in the illusion that Hitler won’t strike before he got an armistice with the Brits. At least 20 million of us paid with their lives for his blunder.Below, a Red Army and a Wehrmacht soldier taking a selfie in front of the captured Polish troops.

Considering the looming bankruptcy of the Nazi Reich that pushed Hitler into WW2, he couldn’t possibly make it without the war. But he needed a few wiser decisions at some inflection points. Compiled as an executive memo sent back to Hitler from the post-WW2 future, it would be like this:After Dunkirk , drop immediately any preparations for the Sea Lion madness. Offer to return the bodies of all fallen Brits, to exchange all PoWs. Start peddling to Churchill plans of carving Africa and the Middle East into colonial spheres. Offer exchanging intelligence about the Japanese plans in the Far East. Send that idiot Hess to London as a hostage to manifest your goodwill. Figure a way to neutralize Denmark and Norway so that it won’t make the Brits feel threatened.If Churchill rebukes all offers of peace and cooperation, DO NOT ATTACK AMERICAN SHIPS carrying British cargo. Under no circumstances declare war on the US. Offer compensation for occasionally sunk ships, send feelers about cooperation against the Japanese.When Mussolini gets sucked into the Greek adventure, do not get involved. Let the Brits, Greeks and Italians wallow in the Mediterranean mess. Promise the Brits the Middle East if they let you have the Romanian and Caspian oil, the Ukraine, and the Baltics. Let them occupy Iran, promise not to go to Central Asia once you reach the Volga River.Upon the attack on the USSR begins, do not split your forces in diverging directions.Do what you can to prevent Japan from attacking the US. Make the Japanese think you’re getting in bed with the Americans in case they attack Pearl Harbor. Offer to them the entire Far East of the USSR. In summer-fall 1941, convince them to attack Mongolia, so that they tie up Stalin’s Siberian divisions, without directly engaging them.If nothing of this works by the end of 1941, find a Luger, lock the door and blow your brains out. You die a hero, the six million Jews stay alive, and someone else becomes the pathetic loser who bungled the war you started so brilliantly. Order the court historians to immortalize you as “the Nazi ruler who died too early to have prevented the Holocaust”.