Iowa 60: Fill & Download for Free

First, I will say that this is a shift in favor of Democrats, but not a huge shift. The correct interpretation isn’t that Democrats are overwhelming favorites but that they are slight favorites. The election won’t be run 100 times. It will be run only once. Republicans’ chances of retaining the Senate, if things don’t dramatically change, are about the same as one’s odd of rolling either a 1 or a 2 on a single roll of a die. These were about the odds Trump had of winning on the eve of the 2016 election.Still, this constitutes an improvement in Democratic fortunes since since mid September.So, what’s changed?The short answer is Iowa And Maine.Let’s start with Iowa.3 weeks ago, the Democrat’s chance of winning for 40%.Now? It’s 50%.This is the reverse of the situation in Maine, where Democratic chances went from 50% to 60%.There is something else worth of mention: fewer and fewer people are splitting their votes. This means that lower polling numbers for Trump translate into lower chances for Republicans. And here’s what we see with Trump’s numbers against Biden.Specifically, this is what you see in Iowa and North Carolina respectively:Biden is still lagging, but Trump’s advantage is shrinking in Iowa.Meanwhile, Biden is pulling further ahead in North Carolina:And the sexting scandal doesn’t seem to be hurting Cal Cunningham at the time of this writing.So, all in all, you have slight moves in favor of Democrats in 2 Senate races coupled with better numbers for Biden in all swing states. This means that the single most likely outcome for the Senate election has gone from 50–50 (with Kamala Harris as a tiebreaker) to 51–49.Again, these are not huge chances, but they’re better than the alternative.

Not sure what detail “memory” includes. Who can remember the weather on their first birthday party? Who can recall what they had for dinner on the day Kennedy was shot? Who remembers everyone in their third grade class?Here’s a test: Can you remember the name of your first grade teacher? Can you remember any playmates?Are there no “early memories” that stand out?As far as retrieving early memories, try to see if you have any mementos, pictures, that make you think of someone in your childhood. Look at the faces that you can recall in your memory (our brain is prewired to recognize faces although it’s unclear how it does that.)Here’s an example: I was in a department store at the checkout counter buying something in Kansas City. As I stood there waiting to pay, a guy came in and stood by me at the counter. I thought to myself, “This guy reminds of someone I knew in elementary school in Waverly Iowa 60 years ago.”Not wanting to ask him who he was, I said causally to my wife standing next to me “Elaine, did I ever tell about BARRY FRENCH?”This guy looked at me and said, “How do you know my name??? I said, “Oh Come on, Barry! You don’t remember me? It’s only been 60 years.” I acted hurt.His name really was Barry French and I wish he would contact me, but that’s probably not going to happen. 60 years! (Are you out there, Barry?)They say we can remember a face we saw once 20 years later (See O Henry’s story, http://faculty.tnstate.edu/lpowers/Short%20Story/ohenry.pdf.) You’ve heard people say “I never forget a face” — well, apparently neither does anyone else!Now if you asked me what grade school I attended…Well, I guess I can remember that, too, — but I can’t tell you what the topic was in my reading class on the 4th day of school in first grade; all I can remember it was something about “Jim and Judy” and their loving dog.You should know that memory for most people gets worse with age. (See How Human Memory Works .)PS. It’s amazing to me that you can remember what you remembered decades ago!

Hello!I have the answer for you, based on facts and sadly, on numbers too…More and more increasingly angry farmers and ranchers are blaming Trump for the tariffs.Not China! Farmers are angry over crop reports, broken ethanol promises, tariffs, crop reports, Trump, and mounting debt.Minnesota Farmers Union President Blasts TrumpMinnesota Farmers Union President: "At the beginning we spoke out that we supported the president looking at trade agreements. Maybe we can do things better, no disagreement with that at all...We've gone on for over a year. We've lost markets, we lost the China market." pic.twitter.com/kBbgrHQqqS— The Hill (@thehill) August 19, 2019Iowas Farmers Accuse Trump of Breaking PromisesIn Iowa, Angry Farmers Say Trump Broke Ethanol Promises.Iowa farmers are pushing back after President Trump reneged on a promise to review a national program that gives waivers to small refineries that don’t add ethanol to their gasoline.The president had promised corn farmers he would review the exemption program after a June trip to Iowa, but a recent Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) decision to issue new waivers to fuel producers signaled an end to the administration’s study.But the decision creates tension between two groups Trump views as supporters and may threaten the patience of farmers who have already been hit hard by the tariffs of Trump’s trade war.Rep. Cindy Axne (D-Iowa) has requested an EPA Office of Inspector General investigation of the program and whether it violates renewable fuel laws, but at a press conference in Iowa on Wednesday, farmers directed their anger more at Trump than the EPA.“Right now what we’re seeing from this administration is a dogged approach to allow the biggest fossil fuel players an opportunity to put more money in the back pockets of their large shareholders and take that money out of the pockets of hardworking farmers right here in Iowa,” she said.Reuters reports Farmer's Threat Prompts U.S. Agriculture Department to Pull Staff from Crop Tour.The U.S. Agriculture Department said on Wednesday it had pulled all staff from an annual crop tour after an employee was threatened, and three sources said the threat of violence was made during a phone call from an angry farmer.Tour organizers said in a statement the threat was taken “very seriously.”U.S. farmers have complained this month that a government crop report did not reflect damage from historic flooding this spring. They are also frustrated about unsold crops due to the trade war with China, falling farm income and tighter credit conditions.Corn future prices posted their biggest drop in three years after the USDA estimated a bigger-than-expected crop on Aug. 12, despite floods that slowed planting. USDA’s reports have long been a key reference for global commodities markets.James McCune, a farmer from Mineral, Illinois, who was not on the tour, said he understood the anger.“Any farmer who talked to the USDA guy who made the crop report would probably say something derogatory to him,” McCune said. “I don’t know anybody that agreed with that stuff.”The Trump administration has also been scrambling to stem rising anger over its decision this month to allow numerous oil refiners to mix less corn-based ethanol into their gasoline.Debt MountsFinally, please consider the Average U.S. Farm Is $1,300,000 In Debt, And Now The Worst Farming Crisis In Modern History Is Upon UsWe haven’t seen anything like this since the Great Depression of the 1930s. Leading up to this year, farm incomes had been trending lower for most of the past decade, and meanwhile farm debt levels have been absolutely exploding. So U.S. farmers were desperate for a really good year, but instead 2019 has been a total disaster.As a result, we are facing the worst farming crisis in modern American history, and this comes at a time when U.S. farms are drowning in more debt than ever before. In fact, the latest numbers that we have show that the average U.S. farm is 1.3 million dollars in debt.If the horrific weather and endless flooding wasn’t enough, about a week ago the Chinese government announced that they would be ending all “purchases of U.S. agricultural products”, and that was a devastating blow for farmers all over the nation.In particular, soybean farmers are going to see demand for their crops absolutely collapse. In recent years, China has purchased approximately 60 percent of all U.S. soybean exports.And even if a trade deal is eventually reached, it is unlikely that all of that demand is ever going to come back. Right now, the Chinese are spending enormous amounts of money “to build transportation infrastructure to ship soybeans grown in what used to be rain forests” in Brazil. They aren’t going to abandon all of that just because Trump suddenly changes his mind.This is not a pretty picture for US farmers.There is no way for farmers to pay back the money they owe.Farm bankruptcies are already on the rise. This year may break many of them.This answer is attributed to: Twitter. It's what's happening. The Hill - covering Congress, Politics, Political Campaigns and Capitol Hill , Business & Financial News, U.S & International Breaking News | Reuters and End Of The American Dream