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Well that would depend on what these new countries look like.If each 34 provinces become it’s own fully independent protectionist state then hell no. Only a very small few of these new countries will survive without smooth trade of resources between each other.If however each region form federations in order to freely trade with another then it’s possible, though some will be more prosperous than others. Whether they will on average become more prosperous than if they had remained together as Indonesia is impossible to predict with accuracy due to the socio and geopolitical ambiguity in predicting such a scenario.In any case, most of the provinces are likely to form a union or even a unified state if they are looking for a realistic chance to develop and progress. This i imagine is how it will more or less look like.Aceh DarusalamPopulation: 5,000,000GDP PPP per Capita: USD7,536per Capita Ranking and Country Equivalent: #111, MoroccoKey Industries: Oil & Gas, Fisheries, AgricultureAnalysisThis was what they were fighting for. If Indonesia were to split there is a very low chance that Aceh will submit to being part of another state.Few years ago, they probably could have become a rich independent state. Aceh is sitting on what is speculated to be one of the largest oil and gas reserves in the world. They have a relatively low population to look out for too. All they need is to strike a fair deal with one of the major oil companies, and they will become a rich welfare state similar to, though maybe not as prosperous as Brunei.But time’s certainly have changed. Oil remains a low margin business at today’s prices and with the progress of renewable energy, the future is highly uncertain. And Aceh does not have much in terms of second options for their economy. They will probably get by with Agriculture and Fisheries. But major catastrophes and droughts will certainly put the country in trouble.Much depends on the future of oil for Aceh.Growth Prospect: Very Low to Very HighSumatera and Riau IslandsTerritories: South Sumatera, Riau, Riau Islands, Jambi, Bangka Belitung Islands, North Sumatera, West Sumatera, Lampung, BengkuluPopulation: 50,000,000GDP PPP per Capita: USD11,995per Capita Ranking and Country Equivalent: #88, IndonesiaKey Industries: Mining: Aluminium, Coal, Oil & Gas, Plantation: Palm Oil, Rubber, Coffee, Agriculture, Industrial Manufacturing, Property and Development, TourismAnalysisSumatera is definitely where i would put my money if Indonesia were to split. They have all the ingredients to rapidly industrialize. Diversified natural resources from coal, oil and gas for energy. Land that can be used to pretty much plant and grow anything. They are also in the early stages of industrialization and have sufficient population to push forward and develop.Due to politics, Sumatera’s full potential have never really been tapped into by the historically protectionist Indonesia. If Sumatera were to become it’s own independent state however, there’s no reason why it wouldn’t take advantage of it’s massive strategic advantage; it’s location in the middle of the busiest trade route in the world, The Strait of Malacca.Expect Sumatera to implement more liberal trade policies which has long been denied by the Indonesian government. If it’s smooth and successful, foreign manufacturing firms from around the world are likely to rapidly industrialize this new nation.Growth Prospect: HighBorneoTerritories: East Kalimantan, North Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, West KalimantanPopulation: 13,000,000GDP PPP per Capita: USD17,813per Capita Ranking and Country Equivalent: #61, MexicoKey Industries: Oil & Gas, Mining: Coal, Gold, Precious Stones, Plantation: Palm Oil, RubberMany perhaps will be surprised to know that Kalimantan has the highest wealth per capita in Indonesia. But that certainly does not mean it will be blue skies and smooth sailing into the sunset if they were to become an independent nation.Their demographics will prove to be a headache for them. It isn’t large enough to build an effective industrialized nation, but it also isn’t small enough to hang on to a commodity based welfare economy. It would be quite a challenge for them to effectively develop and distribute the wealth from the highly prosperous East Kalimantan to the rest of the rural and undeveloped regions alone.A likely scenario is that this country will initially serve as sort of a satellite state and be highly dependent to the industrialized Sumatera and Java. While slowly modernizing and educating their population in hopes that one day it has the skilled workforce and infrastructure to jump to an advanced sector economy (high tech industries and banking to complement their rich commodities).Growth Prospect: Medium to LowGreater Javanese Islands UnionTerritories: DKI Jakarta, East Java, Bali, Banten, West Java, Central Java, Yogyakarta, West Nusa Tenggara, East Nusa TenggaraPopulation: 160,000,000GDP PPP per Capita: USD10,939per Capita Ranking and Country Equivalent: #94, EgyptKey Industries: Property & Development, Services: Banking, Transport, E Commerce, Industrial Manufacturing, Food Processing, Agriculture, TourismAnalysisJava would probably be the region with most to lose if Indonesia were to separate.Sure they are the most developed region and have the most advanced composition of industries. But that also means Java is closer than anyone else to their ceiling. While also facing some serious problems.Most importantly, their population demographics, specifically income. It’s true the richest Indonesians today are based in Java, but consider that there will be 160 million people in this “Greater Java” region. That means that not only will the region have the most amount of poverty, but the most extreme cases of poverty will also be in Java.They need to find a vehicle for growth in order to have enough resources to redistribute this wealth but as mentioned earlier, they are not that far from their ceiling. This growth is much easier to achieve for Indonesia today as they can focus on developing other less deveped regions for wealth creation and immigration will eventually take it’s natural course. But in this scenario, that is no longer possible. Much has been said about Indonesia having lots of potential, much of that potential though lies on the less developed regions surrounding Java. With them gone, so goes the potential.Arguably the most important factor that Java will lose is Sumatera who has control over The Strait of Malacca. Think about it this way, while Indonesia and this hypothetical Sumateran country have control over the trade channel that connects major economies such as China and East Asia to India and the Middle East, Java will only control channels between Kalimantan, Sulawesi and Papua, that’s if they have any control at all. It’s a whole level of downgrade.For this new Greater Java country to thrive, they need to maintain good relations with their new neighbours and push for as liberal of free trades as possible. Oh and absolutely no room for poor governance cause that 160 Million population will not be happy if their Government is anything less than perfect.Growth Prospect: LowSulawesi and the MoluccasTerritories: South Sulawesi, North Sulawesi, Southeast Sulawesi, Central Sulawesi, West Sulawesi, Gorontalo, North Maluku, MalukuPopulation: 25,000,000GDP PPP per Capita: USD7,327per Capita Ranking and Country Equivalent: #112, PhillipinesKey Industries: Agriculture: Rice, Forestry, Fishery, Mining, TourismAnalysisThe chances of Moluccas accepting to be part of the Sulawesi union is 50–50. But for the sake of argument let’s assume they unite. This new country would resemble a mini Phillipines as they have similar GDP PPP per Capita while majority of the area rural and undeveloped with a few urban centers.Honestly speaking it’s unclear how this region would look like going forward. There’s a bit of industrialization going on in the south around Makassar. But a huge chunk of the land is used for rice farming which is the key component of this region’s economy (Sulawesi produces the most rice in Indonesia).Trade is also modest around the region which further adds to the uncertainty, at least for now. This region must consider more liberal free trade policies, specifically with Greater Java and the Phillipines. Allowing investments to enter and propel industrialization to feed the 25 million strong population.Growth Prospect: Medium to LowPapuaTerritories: West Papua, PapuaPopulation: 5,000,000GDP PPP per Capita: USD10,490per Capita Ranking and Country Equivalent: #96, NamibiaKey Industries: Mining: Copper, Gold, ForestrySimilar to Aceh, Papua will not surrender their sovereignty to another state if Indonesia were to separate. They also have very similar levels of population and are both resource rich. The only difference being Papua is rich in ores such as copper and gold while their Islamic counterparts are loaded with Oil and Gas.But that difference may turn out to not be much of a difference afterall. The future of Gold is equally uncertain. Many high profile economists are starting to question the practicalities of Gold and it’s intrinsic value. Sure it is still a commodity used as a store of wealth. But it’s long term future right now is anyone’s guess. Papua however can at least rely on copper which has industrial uses and its demand will be undisturbed, but it’s not without it’s problems.As a newly born state with small population and little in terms of development opportunities, Papua will have very little leverage to negotiate a favorable deal with the mining companies. Even Indonesia, a country with a large population and decently diversified economy gets continuously ripped off.It’s not these mining companies’ obligation to look out for the welfare of Papuan citizens. Their obligation is to their shareholders, in which case they will milk every single drop of money in the negotiation table. Papua currently still do not have much in terms of other economic opportunities and will be pressed to accept a deal that will most likely be unfavorable, but what can they do? They need the tax money. This was what happened to Papua New Guinea. Where the prospects of the country is very bleak and no signs of improving. Half the population in poverty, a government that has no money to develop and modernize. Inability to deal with droughts and famines.I’m not saying Papua will not be able to pull it off, i’m saying all the evidence surrounding them suggests that the odds are (perhaps unfairly) stacked against them.Growth Prospect: Very LowIn retrospect majority of Indonesians would probably have more to lose if Indonesia were to separate so, Bhinneka Tunggal Ika.

Opt-in rates vary with industry and topic. In a report a few years ago, Marketing Sherpa noted that the B-to-B opt-in rates varied from 55% for home page signups, 44% for a homepage link to signup, 35% for order form checkbox, and lower for others types.For any internet marketing endeavor, including emails, key factors will include the legitimacy of the business, the brand value of the business, the quality and relevance of the website/form, and the perceived value of the opt-in.Hope this helps,Casey S. McClurecaseySmcclure.com

US government has included Huawei and its subsidiaries in the “list of entities” to prohibit Huawei from obtaining components and related technologies from US companies without the approval of the US government. This action by the Trump administration is undermining the US credit system and the established global technology industry chain. The Trump Government has irritated all Chinese, and American politicians have never expected the Chinese government's counterattack to be so determined and tough.1. Two inevitable questionsFirst of all, why do computer manufacturers all over the world use Intel chips, why do mobile phone manufacturers all over the world use Qualcomm chips?This issue involves the division of labor and cooperation between the global ICT industry chains and supply chains. As computer manufacturers and smartphone manufacturers around the world know that Intel and Qualcomm's general-purpose chips can be purchased at any time, they do not have to spend a long time and huge funds to repeat the long term and frustrating doing research and assembling factories. Buyers do not have to worry that the United States will meddle the chip businesses. This is long-term cooperation formed by the trust-based global industry chain and supply chain division and cooperation.When Intel has gained an advantage in fierce competition with Qualcomm, global buyers have lost the vigilance in maintaining backups, a large number of customers were provided with unreserved supply due to the trust of Intel and Qualcomm. This mechanism enabled Intel and Qualcomm to provide a reliable source for global customers, which has also enabled Intel and Qualcomm to accumulate huge amounts of capital, and it has also saved a large amount of money for their customers in researching their own chips.Secondly, why are Qualcomm and Intel so strong? I think it is not how good Intel and Qualcomm are, but the fact that the whole smartphone and computer industry is centered on chip manufacturers. The labor is highly cooperative and independent in the industry, and the industry pushed the two chip manufacturers for over half a century. This is Moore’s Law, a simple and common explanation to Moore’s law is that the performance of integrated circuit doubles every 18 – 24 months.As the semiconductor scientist has said “Moore's Law is really a thing about human activity, it's about vision, it's about what you're allowed to believe. Because people are really limited by their beliefs, they limit themselves by what they allow themselves to believe about what is possible.”Moore’s law is more than just a miracle, it is also a product of cooperation inside the industry around the world. It has shown significant potential in technology, and the trust given by the chain of labor into Intel and Qualcomm. Otherwise, no enterprises at all would risk all their businesses with two American companies to achieve such a miracle.2. The "ban" against Huawei is breaking the US science and technology environment, Intel was not the only US CPU manufacturer. After achieved technology leadership, it showed full openness, which won the trust of customers and suppliers, its customers supported Intel with unreserved order forms. The upstream and downstream manufacturers have no reservation. The cooperation and integration have created the miracle of the American chip monarch.After the previous ZTE incident and the current Huawei incident, companies around the world (not just China) suddenly discovered that the Trump government is destroying the US technology credit system and the US technology supply chain ecosystem that has been in existence for nearly half a century. The fact has told the world that it is not money that buys technology, especially chips. In the future, even if civilian chips are selling if you want to buy them. In that future of no credibility in sustain supply of chips, no one would risk their businesses.The US ban on China's Huawei will cause global supply chain stakeholders to distrust to US-centric technology products, and catastrophically affect the chip and smart product industry.The writer believes that the trade war launched by the United States is only a veil. Unveil the trade war is a competition between China and the US. The essence of the Sino-US trade war is a game between two countries. The United States attempts to curb the rise of China by restraining China's scientific and technological progress. Don't simply think it is Trump's problem. Even if Trump stepped down, the US successor president will continue to strategically rank China as the number one enemy. It is a proven fact that any easing of Sino-US relations is a temporary strategy. Sino-US relations will be confronted for a long time. The United States is an inevitable strategy to curb China after wave after wave. Because Sino-US relations are a structural conflict between a dominant country and a rising power, and this conflict cannot be compromised.The most worrying enterprises affected by the blockade of Huawei are Huawei's providers and customers in the technology industry chain created by Huawei in the States, and the two major chip manufacturers, Intel and Qualcomm. The market for China's imports of ICT products and services from the United States is magnificent. According to the statistics of the General Administration of Customs, by the end of October 2018, the import value of China's integrated circuits is amounted to 1,190.8 billion, while China's crude imports in the same period were only 607.8 billion. China’s spending on chip imports is nearly twice that of crude. According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, by the end of October 2018, China’s smartphone production has reached 1.238 billion units, it is almost 70% of the global production.Politicians are facing the same dilemma as American companies like Intel and Qualcomm. The US government is giving a terrible start which disappoints the world. The industry of chips and related components have formed a stable global industrial chain. This is the chain that the people of the world have enjoyed for half a century, and now American politicians are breaking the basis of the industry chain without any integrity, not to mention other industries.3. The "ban" cannot change the highly integrated industrial chain between China and the United States.Recently, Jeffrey Sachs, a professor, and director of the Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University said that “China is not an enemy. It is a nation trying to raise its living standards through education, international trade, infrastructure investment, and improved technologies. In short, it is doing what any country should do when confronted with the historical reality of being poor and far behind more powerful countries. Yet the Trump administration is now aiming to stop China’s development, which could prove to be disastrous for both the United States and the entire world." But the Trump government’s current goal is to stop China's development, which is likely to cause a disaster for not only the United States, the whole world too.American politicians’ ignorance of the national legal system and the international rules, business rules of enterprises and the supply chain of enterprises, is destroying the technology-based industries environment at its core. The high-tech ecological supply chain is being disintegrated by politicians.After the US "ban" against Huawei, there will soon be two results: Huawei's chip technology and other key core technologies rise rapidly; or, the US chip industry and downstream technology industry will be in a state of fading. The principle is very simple. The industrial chain between China and the United States is highly integrated and highly complementary. In particular, China's market is huge. There is no winner in trade and technology warfare. The trade and technology between China and the United States have formed a highly integrated supply chain relationship. This kind of industrial chain formed in the last 50 years. This is not the US government can change by a single "ban”.