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If Donald Trump does not serve a second term in office, can things go back to how they used to be (not that they were amazing)?

I honestly don’t think so, no.First, from a domestic perspective, Donald Trump has driven a solid wedge into the already-existing left-right schism in American politics (in reality, from the perspective of just about any other developed country, this is a “center-far right” schism, since what passes for left in the United States is typically to the right of, or at least at the center of say, Europe, but that’s another story).Over my own lifetime, I’ve seen that shift, and having left the United States thirty years ago to live in France, it is perhaps even more striking… kind of like how you don’t notice your own kids growing as much, but their Aunt Sylvia, who only visits every year or so, is struck every time with how much they’ve changed.I think it wasn’t even Nixon that heralded the end of reasonable discourse and an expectable divide: when it became clear that he had switched to the dark side, most Republicans put honor before partisanship and called for his destitution before it became an irreducible Republican / Democrat thing. No, Reagan brought real ideology to the Republican party and began that divide, but it was GW Bush and the Iraq war that significantly accelerated it. Obama added to it too, largely because of who he was and his focus on healthcare and social issues, but while the below graph only goes through 2017, I think we’ll see that Trump will add to it as strongly as did GWB.In fact, we can see that before the end of his first year, Trump was already the source of an absolutely unprecedented gap in approval between voters of the two parties. It must be remembered as well that he was by no means the first choice of many who voted in the Republican primaries, yet they obviously have strongly gotten in line behind him, apparently on the basis of party affiliation.Love him or hate him, it is very hard to argue that Trump is not a populist. Populists are by nature divisive figures, and Trump plays on that strongly. He has directly attacked many of the traditional institutions that directly or indirectly provide checks on executive power in the United States, notably the media and the justice system. I’m tempted to give examples, but that is hardly necessary to anyone who is even capable of reading this far. Furthermore, he has specifically attacked mainstream media, i.e. moderate. I’m sure avid Trump fans will boil upon seeing that, and will cry out that the media is totally biased, but honestly, consider once again the oft-cited and remarkably cogent media bias chart:This chart is one of the more interesting and useful things I’ve discovered thanks to Quora. Note that Trump’s biggest enemies: the “Failing” New York Times (which actually is financially doing quite well, I’d add); the “Amazon” Washington Post, and CNN are measured as having a slight left bias, about the same level as the WSJ’s right bias. All of these (with the exception of CNN, which I too find to be a bit too sensationalist) are rated as being highly factual. Now, for my part, I get almost all of my US news from the Wapost, NYT, WSJ, Reuters and the National Review (in an attempt to stay objective). Personally, I find them all remarkable and informative. Trump has pretty much declared war against the first two of those sources, who have served as watchdogs for American democracy for decades, while strongly promoting Fox News, Breitbart and Infowars.Note those names down and take a look at that chart again.This is one of the principal reasons I think Trump has forever changed the United States. Implementing policy is one thing, but influencing how people form opinions is far more long-lasting and far more insidious. Putting that together with the partisan divide he is widening makes for deep, deep generational rifts.Secondly, from an international perspective, Trump has obliterated much of the trust the United States has built among its allies.Those who have read other posts of mine will be sick of hearing this, but I have worked in over fifty countries and been to more than that. I have a certain familiarity with the world’s nations. For my part, while they undoubtedly exist, I have yet to meet a Trump supporter outside the United States (note that I have not been to Russia or Poland since he was elected).With the invasion of Iraq, GW Bush took a hammer to the image of the United States and to international trust in its government, but interestingly, the real issue with him was that he was re-elected - in other words, having seen what he would do, Americans elected him again. And of course, for the most part he didn’t directly attack the existing treaties and international structures of which the United States was part. He simply was less likely to cooperate.Obama was much more appreciated abroad (at least among America’s allies), reaching levels similar to Clinton’s, but Trump has brought approval of US leadership down to under that of China.Furthermore, the decline is particularly strong among American allies:Russia, of course, is thrilled with him (despite the assertions of he and his supporters that he is somehow “hard” on Russia), as are a couple of Eastern-European nations, but that’s about it. Note as well, that these charts do not take into account recent events, such as the Helsinki meeting and the latest round of trade decisions.Trump supporters will point out that this is fine with them, that our allies were screwing us over or something, but I won’t even touch that issue (except to say that they’re wrong) because the question is whether “things can go back to the way they were”. Here’s the thing: many citizens of the United States’ traditional allies feel betrayed. There are treaties out there, cooperative agreements, international initiatives which in many cases the United States helped to create. The alacrity with which these are being negated by the Trump administration sows doubt about the country’s ability to make long-term commitments as well as quite simply generating an impression of betrayal… and no one likes to be betrayed.And what’s more, the Trump phenomenon is causing many people to take a look at exactly how politics is done in the United States, and believe me, it’s done like it is done nowhere else in the developed world. In thirty years of living in Europe I have never been asked so many questions about the American political process and never seen such levels of disbelief as people begin to understand the incredible amounts of money expended in political advertising (typically, highly limited by regulation in Europe) and the pitiful level of political discourse and debate.As an example: the United States and France had presidential elections within eight months of each other (November ‘16, May ‘17). Here’s a little table of my own making comparing campaign spending[1] [2]:The American campaigns spent a total of $7.23 per citizen, or nearly $12 per registered voter, whereas the French campaigns spent 51 cents per citizen (note too that both French campaigns came in under legally mandated maximum spending levels). Per-capita spending was more than 14 times higher in the United States.France is a pretty typical country in terms of campaign financing laws. Unless you have lived in both countries, though, you simply can not imagine the difference in the atmosphere around the election process.The point here is that many citizens in allied countries, shocked by the perceived betrayal of someone they mostly consider to be a grossly incapable and shocking president, are waking up to the incredible differences between their political processes and those in the United States, including the bizarre electoral college. They are beginning to think that even if Trump is defeated in the next election, someone like him could easily come again, given these differences and the perplexing and volatile American political system.For the first time, many traditional and staunch American partners are beginning to consider the risk of political instability in the United States and to question the solidity of US promises, commitments and even friendship.As such, while the populations gawk at Trump’s malapropisms, the diplomats look elsewhere, and do things like sign one of the most important international trade deals in recent history… between the EU and Japan[3], pointedly leaving the United States out of it, largely in reaction to a new unwillingness to deal with the country, with or without Trump.In summary, I think that Trump has driven the domestic political schism into new, largely irrational territory - feeding on hate and dismantling trust in voices that have traditionally been reasonable for all their (slight) bias, in order to favor those who stoke dissension — one does not come back from this brink easily. At the same time, he has not only dismantled traditional alliances and cooperative endeavors but has introduced doubt in the minds of allies about the very trustworthiness of the United States as he helped to shine a light on the more bizarre and unhealthy facets of its political system. This has led them to look elsewhere… you might have long known that your lover was eccentric but when he betrays you, sleeps with your enemy, and starts complaining about imaginary spiderwebs on his face you may well turn to someone else — at that point, the relationship will never be the same, even if he does start taking his meds.Footnotes[1] How much money is behind each campaign?[2] Présidentielle 2017 : publication des comptes de campagne. En bref[3] Largest Bilateral Free Trade Agreement: Japan, EU Conclude Bilateral Economic Partnership Agreement

The real surprise of the second term of Narendra Modi Government is the inclusion of "S.Jayasankar" as the probable external affairs minister, what is your opinion about this development?

MeritocarcyAfter ma’am, Sushma Sawaraj commedable work in Ministry of External Affairs, he was the one who could fill in the shoes of the ma’am.SUBARAMANIYAM JAYASANKAR-He had previously served as Indian Ambassador to the United States (2014–2015), China (2009–2013) and the Cezch Republic (2001–04), and as High Commissioner to Singapore (2007–09).In 2019 Jaishankar was conferred with Padma Shri the fourth highest civilian award of the country.On 30 May 2019, he sworn in as a cabinet minister in the Modi Government 2.0Major Achievements——-Major involvement in solving Doklam issue between India and ChinaIndo-US nuke dealIndo-japan ties, after Pokhran 2, relations become sore, S. Jayashankar help them to revive and made a good relation with Shinzo Abe.In Singapore, he helped India to land comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement.

Is China afraid of the United States?

Is China afraid of the United States?There is no need. This is not to say that China and the United States have a relationship of mutual fear. The United States is a superpower in the current international system, and all countries have the conditions to show respect for the United States, because the United States is the maker and the first beneficiary of this international order.Through the United Nations and the Bretton Woods system, the United States has mastered the global political and economic hegemony. Through its strong military strength, the United States has also mastered military hegemony.Since the United States seized the world hegemony, as Chinese, we have been looking at the US control of the world pattern from a pragmatic perspective. In fact, we need a more rational, more leadership America, just as the United States has been doing.Yet the trump administration is consuming the hard won leadership and global prestige of the United States.During his term in Oval office, we saw many counter trend measures, such as withdrawing from the Paris climate agreement, the Iran nuclear agreement, the World Health Organization, and a series of international mechanisms.The U.S. Government and the World Health OrganizationThe US politician‘s commitment is often inconsistent with reality.To be honest, as Chinese, we don't have to be afraid of the United States, and we don't need to be afraid of the United States. In the face of the United States, we will use a more rational perspective and thinking instead of following the logic of a few American politicians and haters to go crazy.China and the United States had a clear confrontation in the Korean War. We don't say who wins or loses, but these are normal historical and existing facts. In 1979, the people's Republic of China and the United States resumed the establishment of diplomatic relations, which shows that communication and mutual understanding are the correct way to interact, both in the historical sense and in terms of the national interests of the two countries.At present, the Trump administration and Pompeo are only trying to achieve their own political goals by destroying the bilateral relations between China and the United States, which are both cooperative and struggling.We are not afraid of the United States because the United States is not a terrible country, but an international political reality that the Chinese must face.

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