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Was the release, to the EU, of the UK test data of the AZ vaccine delayed in order to allow initial production to be directed entirely to the UK while delaying anger in the EU?

Pfizer/BioNtechReleased their data to the U.K. on 1 October 2020, was authorised by the U.K. on 2 December, vaccinations started 8 December 2020.Released their data to the EU on 1 December 2020, was authorised by the EU on 21 December, vaccinations started 27 December in EU.AstraZenecaReleased their data to the U.K. September - December 2020 under a rolling review with full data release 24 December 2020, authorised on 29 December 2020, vaccinations started 4 January 2021Released their data to the EU 6 October 2020 - 12 January 2021 under a rolling review, approval given 29 JanuaryModernaAuthorised by the EU, 6 January 2021, first deliveries 11 January 2021Authorised by the U.K. 8 January 2021, first deliveries expected April (U.K. not kicking off like tiny tantrum tot then)The U.K. took the decision early on to waive civil liability for the pharmaceutical companies and went for a ‘as best as’ approach, this was reflected in the data they were willing to accept in order to grant approval.The EU wanted a gold plated solution and expected the pharmaceutical companies to accept full civil liability and demanded a higher order of data before they would grant approval, that takes a lot more data and more time. With every vaccine the progression through to Phase 3 trials and the data takes longer for the EU because of their demands, any ‘delay’ is not the pharmaceutical companies’ fault, it is not the nasty U.K.s fault, that is just the way it is. That is why the German BioNtech took an additional two months to release the final data to the EU than it did for the U.K. The EU took another three weeks to evaluate the final data even though it had been released on a rolling basis and the final data for the U.K. had been available. The U.K. approved the BioNtech vaccine for use 7 days after the release of the final data, the EU took 20 days to approve the German BioNtech vaccine, the U.K. approved the AstraZeneca vaccine 5 days after the final data was released and the EU took 17 days.The German BioNtech and it's US distribution partner Pfizer were not producing solely for the EU, other countries got the Pfizer/BioNtech vaccine whilst the EU was considering the contract and data.The Swiss Moderna via its US plants were delivering its vaccine 21 December in the US, 12 January in the EU and first deliveries scheduled for April for the U.K.Novavax submitted the results of its U.K. Phase 3 trials on 28 January, pending approval.The EU started its rolling revue of Novavax on 3 February.EMA starts first rolling review of a COVID-19 vaccine in the EU - European Medicines AgencyEMA starts first rolling review of a COVID-19 vaccine in the EUhttps://www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/ema-starts-first-rolling-review-covid-19-vaccine-euEMA starts second rolling review of a COVID-19 vaccine - European Medicines AgencyEMA starts second rolling review of a COVID-19 vaccinehttps://www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/ema-starts-second-rolling-review-covid-19-vaccineEMA starts rolling review of Novavax’s COVID-19 vaccine (NVX-CoV2373) - European Medicines AgencyEMA starts rolling review of Novavax’s COVID-19 vaccine (NVX-CoV2373)https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/ema-starts-rolling-review-novavaxs-covid-19-vaccine-nvx-cov2373The German newspaper Der Spiegel’s opinionEurope's Vaccine Disaster: Commission President Ursula von der Leyen Seeks to Duck ResponsibilityEuropean Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is trying to get out of the firing line as anger grows over the EU's botched vaccine rollout. It's not the first time in her career that she has sought to evade responsibility.https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/europe-s-vaccine-disaster-commission-president-ursula-von-der-leyen-seeking-to-duck-responsibility-a-1197547d-6219-4438-9d69-b76e64701802Europe Can’t Afford to Alienate the UK in Post-Brexit NegotiationsWith its tough and defiant approach to the United Kingdom, Europe is partly responsible for the country’s departure from the EU. But as it enters a post-Brexit era, it can’t afford to keep Britain at a distance.https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/europe-can-t-afford-to-alienate-the-uk-after-brexit-a-6884d32f-d36d-40fa-bf1c-d74a7eb632f2

Why did the EU try to impose a vaccine blockade on the UK even though its disagreement was with a commercial multi-national corporation?

Because the EU Commission President is an incompetent, vindictive twat would be a simple answer.Modena (Swiss) and Pfizer/Biontech (German/USA) told the EU that forecasted deliveries would be reduced in the short term whilst product lines are reconfigured to increase output significantly, Pfizer/Biontech also exports vaccine around the world. AstraZeneca told the EU the same thing and they have gone ballistic.The EU vaccine procurement and rollout has been a bit of a shambles Commission President Ursula von der Leyen - Seeks to Duck Responsibility for Europe's Vaccine Disaster Read this, it is not the Daily Mail but Der Spiegel.I mean for goodness sake, even the Guardian and the BBC are being critical of the EU .. I never thought I would see that.The U.K. government had an agreement with AZ to supply 30 million doses by September, Funding and manufacturing boost for UK vaccine programme and eventually to supply a total of 100 million doses. AZ were unable to do that because of production problems which now seem to have been ironed out in the U.K. plants. Does anyone recall the U.K. government going apeshit over that?The redacted contract between AZ and the EU does not have such a schedule, merely that AZ will will apply “best reasonable effort” … “..for distribution within the EU ##Redacted - number of doses?## (the “Initial Europe Doses”) … “ Can anyone see any dates or schedule of delivery? The EU also had the same clause in their agreements with Modena and Pfizer. Modena and Pfizer have also told the EU that deliveries will be reduced whilst they reconfigure to increase output. I don’t see the EU trying to blockade Switzerland or the USA EU introduces border controls on vaccines to NISo AZ contracted to supply a redacted amount of doses as the initial supply of doses but there is no date. In other words ‘ we will deliver x amount of doses as the initial batch but can’t promise anything y’know but we will try reasonably hard to do that but as you are not asking us to give any guarantees it all depends like’ - the EU had the same clause with Modena and Pfizer.Note 1.9 (b) … ‘ … the activities and degree of effort that governments would undertake or use in supporting their contractor ..’So what ‘best reasonable effort did the EU’ make to support the contractor? It screwed them down on price and demanded that AZ have complete product liability. The U.K. is paying $3 dose for the AstraZeneca vaccine, the US $4, the EU got their dose at $2.15. So the EU lost 3 months in signing contracts for the sake of 85c - really.Covid-19: Countries are learning what others paid for vaccinesA string of revelations about vaccine prices has focused attention on a practice considered normal in the drug industry but often frowned on elsewhere: charging different prices to different customers for the same product. South Africa’s government found itself on the defensive this week after a senior health official revealed that 1.5 million doses of the Oxford and AstraZeneca vaccine just purchased for use among health workers would cost $5.25 (£3.84; €4.32) a dose, more than twice what the European Union is paying at $2.15. The EU figure is known because Belgium’s budget secretary inadvertently revealed the EU’s negotiated prices for every major vaccine on Twitter last month.1 The EU had undertaken to keep the prices confidential in return for discounts. South Africa’s deputy director general of health, Anban Pillay, said his government had been told that $5.25 was the set price for a country classified by the World Bank as upper-middle income. “The explanation we were given for why other high-income countries have a lower price is …https://www.bmj.com/content/372/bmj.n281Put yourself in AZ’s position. They have a firm contract with the U.K. government, agreed in May 2020 in which it was tied down to a schedule of delivery. It failed to meet that term of the contract. AZ could have had the arse sued off them but U.K. government realised ‘shit happens’ and suing AZ would be an act akin to the scorpion stinging the frog .. look it up … and only a moron would do that. Production hiccup resolved in U.K. plants as they ramped up and to full speed in the U.K. In the meantime, an undisclosed amount of AZ doses were shipped from plants in Europe, my guess is probably not a huge amount as AZ are now at the same point as the U.K. plants in switching to a higher yield.Both the U.K. and the EU knew AZ had orders from different governments, both the U.K. and the EU knew AZ had plants in the U.K. and the EU and that the geographical location of those plants were immaterial to the fulfilment of their contacts; it went like this:U.K. places orders in May 2020 with a firm schedule for the initial 30 million doses by September.EU places orders in August with no schedule other than ‘best reasonable effort’.U.K. says U.K. government will waive civil liability for AZ to speed development and delivery.EU make no such undertaking, AZ had to accept full liability.Now AZ are pretty confident in their vaccine but if they are going to screwed by the EU if there are any problems I might want to get a million or so vaccinations in the bank in the U.K. to see if there are any problems before accepting this huge liability. Just thinking out aloud there 🤔November 2020, the delivery timetable for Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine slips, as have all vaccine producers. To make up for not being able to supply 30 million doses by September 2020, AZ maximised its (U.K. and EU) plant to meet their obligation with the hope to have 4 million doses available to the U.K. by the end of the year (2020). AZ (U.K. plants) hits 1 million doses per week in the first week of January before scaling up to 2 million per week by the end of January.2 December 2020, U.K. approves BioNTech / Pfizer vaccine.8 December 2020, U.K. starts vaccination programme.21 December 2020, EU approved BioNTech/Pfizer vaccine only after pressure from Germany to get things moving27 December, EU starts vaccination programme EU ambition is to have 200 million citizens (44% of EU population) with first dose by September 2021 an average of 18 million a month EU preparing first shipment of COVID-19 vaccines15 January, AZ announced that delays in upscaling production in European plants means that 31 million doses rather 80 million doses will be delivered to the EU in the first quarter. That’s 3% of the EU population, with the other vaccines then they are still able to achieve 20% vaccination by the end of the quarter.22 January BioNTech/Pfizer announce similar delays whilst upscaling Frustration in Europe, North America over Pfizer vaccine delaysAZ, presumably satisfied that its U.K. plant production is up to speed to satisfy customers who didn’t quibble on price, released the final specs to the EU who eventually approved the vaccine today 29 January.EU, after making a series of disastrous errors in its vaccine rollout is threatening to block exports of the BioNTech/Pfizer vaccine (like it did with PPE) and being beastly with both AZ and BioNTech/Pfizer and threatening to sue. Moreover they are demanding that AZ diverts vaccine for U.K. plants to the EU - not going to happen.AZ still complied with the EU in ‘making best reasonable effort’ to fulfil their contract and encountered similar problems with upscaling. This is not unusual. It doesn’t mean that AZ have to divert output from anywhere else, the EU negotiated on the ‘fit us in when you can’ clause.Individual countries within the EU threaten to sue .. tough, they aren’t parties to the contract. If the EU want to sue .. here is the contract .. 20 days for informal dispute resolution first by which time AZ (and BioNtech/ Pfizer) will probably be up and running at max capacity. If the EU carries out an extra-judicial action without going through the informal dispute resolution process then the business world will take note.‘.. full of sound and fury signifying nothing…’Anyway, that is the run up …The President, without consulting or telling the Irish Prime Minister or the U.K. Prime Minister (or indeed by all accounts anyone else) invokes Article 16 of the Good Friday Agreement, effectively putting in hard border EU introduces border controls on vaccines to NI.Not unsurprisingly, the Irish and Northern Irish leaders and the U.K. PM are mightily pissed off with this and it is then withdrawn. She/the EU then puts in place measures to control export of COVID-19 vaccines by imposing a ban on exports to the USA, Canada, Russia, Turkey and the U.K.I reckon we should give 50,000 doses to the Irish Republic just to piss off the EU.

The EU is apparently 'warning' Astra Zeneca over the covid-19 vaccine and the amount of doses than might be available, yet this vaccine is not even approved in the EU yet. What might the EU do?

A couple of observations.The U.K. government had an agreement with AZ to supply 30 million doses by September, Funding and manufacturing boost for UK vaccine programme and eventually to supply a total of 100 million doses. AZ were unable to do that because of production problems which now seem to have been ironed out in the U.K. plants. Does anyone recall the U.K. government going apeshit over that?The redacted contract between AZ and the EU does not have such a schedule, merely that AZ will will apply “best reasonable effort” … “..for distribution within the EU ##Redacted - number of doses?## (the “Initial Europe Doses”) … “ Can anyone see any dates or schedule of delivery?So AZ contracted to supply a redacted amount of doses as the initial supply of doses but there is no date. In other words ‘ we will deliver x amount of doses as the initial batch but can’t promise anything y’know but we will try reasonably hard to do that but as you are not asking us to give any guarantees it all depends like’ - the EU had the same clause with Modena and Pfizer.Note 1.9 (b) … ‘ … the activities and degree of effort that governments would undertake or use in supporting their contractor ..’So what ‘best reasonable effort did the EU’ make to support the contractor? It screwed them down on price, and demanded that AZ have complete product liability.Put yourself in AZ’s position. They have a firm contract with the U.K. government, agreed in May 2020 in which it was tied down to a schedule of delivery. It failed to meet that term of the contract. AZ could have had the arse sued off them but U.K. government realised ‘shit happens’ and suing AZ would be an act akin to the scorpion stinging the frog .. look it up … and only a moron would do that. Production hiccup resolved in U.K. plants as they ramped up and to full speed in the U.K. In the meantime, an undisclosed amount of AZ doses were shipped from plants in Europe, my guess is probably not a huge amount as AZ are now at the same point as the U.K. plants in switching to a higher yield.Both the U.K. and the EU knew AZ had orders from different governments, both the U.K. and the EU knew AZ had plants in the U.K. and the EU and that the geographical location of those plants were immaterial to the fulfilment of their contacts; it went like this:U.K. places orders in May 2020 with a firm schedule for the initial 30 million doses by September.EU places orders in August with no schedule other than ‘best reasonable effort’.U.K. says U.K. government will waive civil liability for AZ to speed development and delivery.EU make no such undertaking, AZ had to accept full liability.Now AZ are pretty confident in their vaccine but if they are going to screwed by the EU if there are any problems I might want to get a million or so vaccinations in the bank in the U.K. to see if there are any problems before accepting this huge liability. Just thinking out aloud there 🤔November 2020, the delivery timetable for Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine slips, as have all vaccine producers. To make up for not being able to supply 30 million doses by September 2020, AZ maximised its (U.K. and EU) plant to meet their obligation with the hope to have 4 million doses available by the end of the year (2020). AZ (U.K. plants) hits 1 million doses per week in the first week of January before scaling up to 2 million per week by the end of January.2 December 2020, U.K. approves BioNTech / Pfizer vaccine.8 December 2020, U.K. starts vaccination programme.21 December 2020, EU approved BioNTech/Pfizer vaccine only after pressure from Germany to get things moving27 December, EU starts vaccination programme EU ambition is to have 200 million citizens (44% of EU population) with first dose by September 2021 an average of 18 million a month EU preparing first shipment of COVID-19 vaccines15 January, AZ announced that delays in upscaling production in European plants means that 31 million doses rather 80 million doses will be delivered to the EU in the first quarter. That’s 3% of the EU population, with the other vaccines then they are still able to achieve 20% vaccination by the end of the quarter.22 January BioNTech/Pfizer announce similar delays whilst upscaling Frustration in Europe, North America over Pfizer vaccine delaysAZ, presumably satisfied that its production is up to speed to satisfy customers who didn’t quibble on price, released the final specs to the EU who eventually approved the vaccine today 29 January.EU, after making a series of disastrous errors in its vaccine rollout is threatening to block exports of the BioNTech/Pfizer vaccine (like it did with PPE) and being beastly with both AZ and BioNTech/Pfizer and threatening to sue. Moreover they are demanding that AZ diverts vaccine for U.K. plants to the EU - not going to happen.AZ still complied with the EU in ‘making best reasonable effort’ to fulfil their contract and encountered similar problems with upscaling. This is not unusualIndividual countries within the EU threaten to sue .. tough, they aren’t parties to the contract. If the EU want to sue .. here is the contract .. 20 days for informal dispute resolution first by which time AZ (and BioNtech/ Pfizer) will probably be up and running at max capacity.‘.. full of sound and fury signifying nothing…’UPDATE .. seems like the EU is sidestepping the contract .. EU adopts measure to control export of COVID-19 jabsIt seems that Germany for one is mightily sick of Commission President Ursula von der Leyen - Seeks to Duck Responsibility for Europe's Vaccine DisasterUnbelievable! After all the EU rhetoric about not imposing a ‘hard border’ between Ireland and Northern Ireland, the EU hasn’t even lasted a month without imposing one themselves EU introduces border controls on vaccines to NI

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