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What are the underlying reasons for the recent ambush in Manipur?
The Manipur attacks-The Attack-The Manipur ambush is the most recent attack in the troubled northeastern parts of India. The responsibility for the attack was assumed by the Nationalist Socialist Council of Nagaland or NSCN (K) and the Kanglei Yawol Kanna Lup (KYKL). These militants are presumed to have multiple bases of operation in Myanmar. 18 soldiers died in the assault and 11 were badly wounded, when IED's (improvised explosive devices) caused heavy damage to their vehicle and the militants attacked the survivors with heavy weapons.The Present and the past, The genesis of the crisis-The Northeastern region of India is a highly volatile zone and has been the crucible of a lot of violent attacks. Before we try to understand the genesis of the insurgency in the northeastern states known as the Seven Sisters, it would be prudent to identify the reason and causes which engulfed the proud people of this region in a human conflict resulting in so much destruction.Some call it exploitation of the have not's and a tampering with ethnicity. These are not the only reasons. These are certain irreversible causes, which have historical and geographical perspectives. In addition, political, economic, social, ethnic, and cultural reasons give a fillip to existing inadequacies, encouraging a movement to start and growThe Northeast was always a very secluded region of India. It had very limited influence in the National movement. The nationalist feelings that the movement inspired throughout India was not felt very strongly here.Partition further accentuated the problem. A psychological and physical barrier was created. The creation of East Pakistan deprived the region of geographical contiguity with the rest of India. North East India had a land link only through the Siliguri corridor, 200 km long and 21 to 65 km wide. This is called as the chicken's neck. All our communication lines pass through this narrow corridor. The only port of Chittagong which hitherto serviced the entire Northeast also fell prey to the misdeeds of partition. The entire region had become virtually landlocked. The lifeline of the Northeast states was now extended to over 1,600 km. Earlier, the distance between Calcutta and Agartala (Tripura) was a little over 400 km. This is one single factor that has very seriously affected the economy. This was another master stroke of the British which would fester into the sore that is insurgency, today.Another obvious problem was various ethnic tribes living in the area. They viewed each other with a great deal of suspicion and were unwilling to form governments with the parties of other tribes. They were even more wary of outsiders, especially Bengalis who migrated to the northeast. Furthermore, economic development in the early years after independence was lackluster in most of the northeastern regions. These sentiments led to feelings rising among the certain tribes that they would be better off in their own country.After the independence of India a large number of insurrectionist movements sparked up in the region due to secessionist sentiments among a few tribes. A section of the Nagas rose up in rebellion in 1956 and the United National Liberation Front (UNLF) in Mizoram demanded secession from India in 1964. Diplomacy failed and the Indian army was called in to secure the region. After bitter fighting the regions were finally secured. The Armed special forces act was imposed on them.The AFSPA act worked for a period of time. Militancy was toned down significantly but now in the recent months it seems to be coming back with a vengeance. A 14 year pact with the rebels came to a end this year and the rebels groups have joined hands to wreck havoc again.The problem -The problem here is that an iron hand can only choke, not revive nor build.Tackling insurgency with missile gunships and balaclava clad commandos sounds like a really heroic method to gain the upper hand but this plan is impossible for any extended period of time. The Americans tried that in Iraq and Afghanistan and failed miserably. To end insurgency we must identify and destroy the root of the problem. The solution to insurgency is 10% military force and 90% economic reform. Both must be achieved to defeat back the opponents. The major flashpoints and some possible solutions are given below.1. Alienation and The Economy- The primary cause of strife in this conflict is the total feeling of alienation felt by the northeast. Think about it in this way- Your left hand is very important to you, right? But however you prefer to work out only you right arm while totally ignoring the left. What you end up with is a overexercised right arm and a feeble left arm. The difference is just too glaring to ignore. Won't it be better for you, if you had exercised both arms?The same applies to the northeast in a grand scale. We must talk about progress of our nation not only Gujarat or Haryana or Punjab. And guess what? The northeast is included in that list too. To quell rebellions we must make sure that there are no sparks which can turn into infernos. The primary cause of rebellion is a lack of progress and a deep rooted feeling of inequality. This is the root of the problem which we must face. In India we treat our northeastern brethren with great disdain and pass ugly remarks like 'chinki' or 'chinni'. This must stop.India's quest to "Act East" and enhance its trade with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries through the land route will also remain a non-starter unless durable peace returns to the north-eastern region. For the progress of our nation we must tackle this problem.Despite official efforts at policy formulation to cater to the development needs of the Northeastern states, nothing significant has yet come out during the last several years. In fact, the steady flow of central funds into the hands of the local elite has indirectly discouraged local initiatives, which could have been otherwise harnessed to raise the financial resources of the different states in the region . Moreover in many cases it has given rise to a political leadership more interested in grabbing funds coming from the centre than in actually using them to uplift the economy of the states. The prevailing economy also, in many ways through its backdoor channels make the insurgencies possible and infact sustains them. Many would say that for all practical purposes inspite of the elaborate anti insurgency political establishment running the state administration, it is the insurgents that run the local economy. In such a case it is well imaginable how the entire politico economic setup is lopsided in favour of insurgencies. As has been argued above , in the absence of any healthy sustainable economic activity in the region , the expanding class of neoliterates feel it immensely remunerative to join the insurgent movement because it offers them material prospects.Insurgency has become in many ways the only sustainable, expanding industry in the whole of the North East. An industry with great promise and less risk. As a consequence of poor developmental performance of local and central governance, insurgency has now become the cause of the economic backwardness of the region. Infact no entrepreneur, whether local or from outside would like to invest in the region home to such firmly rooted insurgency. It is as such unwise to approach the problem in the North East as a sheer law and order problem nor it can be handled as a political one. The roots lie deep in the fundamental economic dynamics of the insurgency movement. Any solution to the crisis in the north East has to begin with an effort to draw the insurgent leadership into the political mainstream . If they have determined the course of economy of the region and have a stake in the economic backwardness of the region, they have to be made accountable to the people. In a high security atmosphere , these elements find an occasion to be irresponsible and they thrive on the sense of insecurity that accompanies such an environment. Only by giving them an opportunity to participate in the political process can one hope to put a lid on the current turmoil. It is a tall order but since the central government has started expressing its readiness to have a open talk with the insurgents, the journey in the right direction might have just begun .With the increasing intensity of the emergency in the North East, there is a deep need to devise long-term, sustainable solutions for the region. A large part of the emergence arises from economic need, and hence the solution lies in economic (and social) development of the region. However, for economic development to take place, several key players need to step up and take initiative in the region.The government will have to facilitate an ecosystem where business practices can occur smoothly and without hassle. Despite several attempts by the Government and Planning Commission to enhance local development, the current strategy has led to a distribution-oriented, politically-led economic process and not the efficiency-led process envisioned. This has resulted in natural resources and savings moving away from the region to other high productivity regions. The dependence on the Central Government for both funds and employment has led to a passive attitude towards development in the States. The onus should be shifted to the local government agencies for a sense of responsibility and ownership over economic activities to develop.Also, business and social entrepreneurs should take the lead in building enterprise which involves the local community. For the self-sustained growth of a region, there needs to be a thriving entrepreneurial ecosystem which is able to take business strategies, contextualize them for local needs, and create systems of demand and supply for the area.There also needs to be the existence of a market – where entrepreneurs can target their goods and services and consumers can find the things that they need. By focusing on economic factors (but not ignoring political and cultural factors) like labor cost, comparative advantages, technology, and efficiency, such a market can be developed within the North East.The government should also initiate more Infrastructure development in these regions. The Northeast can be a good site to build factories which will be the workhorse of India's Make in India Project. These factories can be used to produce various goods which can be supplied to Bangladesh which is the beneficiary of a $2 billion line of credit. This will create jobs which is effectively quell the problem. You see militants look for young,rebellious, desperate, poor and unemployed youths to include in their militias. Remember the idle mind is the devil's workshop.By opening up a large number of jobs we can alleviate this problem of unemployment and cut down on militancy. We will also be helping in the progress of our country. We can kill two birds with one stone.2. Surgical strikes-To treat a wound we use a scalpel not a sword.Tackling terrorists by imposing a draconian law is not the thing a democratic country like ours should do. To bring peace and end this reign of terror we must take down the kingpins once and for all.We must hunt down their leaders and destroy their camps and marshaling grounds. To do this we need Special forces. The Indian Army has finally taken the initiative and stuck back hard at the militants at their own base. I feel happy that the Para Commandos have taken due vengeance for the horrific ambush on our troops. More such surgical strikes are required to dissuade the militants from further attacks and to bring them back to the table.Basically the prey must become the predator.3. More effective police forces - The army is supposed to be utilized to defend the borders from our enemies. The army is made up of recruits from different regions. These men are usually unfamiliar with the area and are hence ill suited to maintain peace.To know the foe we must first know our friends. The problem is that the AFSPA give soldiers who are unfamiliar with the populace have an unimaginable amount of power in their hands.They are Technically " The judge, jury and executioner".As eloquently put by uncle Ben from spiderman - " With great power comes great responsibility."Like it or not, power corrupts even the most honest of men. This can lead to gross violations of rights. There have been allegations that some soldiers, who are a total disgrace to the noble ideals that the Indian Army aspires to, have committed various nefarious acts. These acts by some miscreants led people to believe that the entire army, who are their guardians are actually their jailers. Instead of feeling safe they feel trapped and choked.Most Courts are also quite unsympathetic to their plight and snub them. Desperation leads to violence as these people extract revenge by taking matters into their own hands.To tackle a complicated internal problem like insurgency, several broad changes must be made.The police must be better trained and better equipped to fight insurgents. The police men would be men of the same region and hence would be more sympathetic to the problems presented.The Greyhounds police unit in Telengana and Andhra has enjoyed great success in wiping out the naxalites in the jungles of AP. In a matter of years they have turned the tide of violence. They have coordinated themselves brilliantly with the villagers and tribals in the region, won their trust and turned back the Maoists. They are truly some the best special forces in India.The same must be done in the Northeast. The police forces must be reorganized and trained. Special units must regularly conduct sweeps and patrols to crack down on the insurgents. This will free up the Army to better patrol the borders.4. Porous Borders- The Indian army has succeeded in wiping out terrorists camps in India to a great extent. However the insurgents are easily able to cross the porous border between India and Myanmar. The army can be freed up by arming and revamping the structure of the police forces. They can hence patrol the borders better stopping the flow of insurgents into India.5. Better connectivity- The government can do a lot of progress in this area. This won't help much in combating insurgency, but better connectivity will greatly lesser the fear of isolation and alienation felt by some of our northeastern friends. Connectivity is extremely poor with the rest of India.However I must admit the Modi government has done a brilliant job of reconnecting many cities by bus services passing through Bangladesh. Further routes and services need to be opened to finally integrated the northeast closely with India. The vast travel times to the Northeast usually prevent people from other states, setting up industries and other services in that area. Better connectivity will encourage these people to open businesses and expand in the northeast.In Conclusion-Combining these 5 Strategies, We can stamp out this crisis that threatens to embroil the Northeast. This will open up the way to progress of the region which will in turn contribute greatly to the nation's progress. Tied in with the Look East policy, The Northeast could easily become one of the most prosperous zones of India. I have faith in the Government and I hope it can tackle these problems effectively.Reference for the blockquoted text -http://www.idsa-india.org/an-apr-5.01.htmSuggestions are most welcome.
What are some economics blogs I, as a non-economist, should follow?
Here are a few of the more prominent ones (sourced from Seeking Alpha) -Angry Bear http://angrybear.blogspot.com/was named among the top twenty independent financial blogs on the net by 24/7 Wall St. in 2010. The blog includes half a dozen professionals, including a tax law expert, a historian, PhDs in economics, business consultants and financial professionals provide perspectives on the financial world. Despite their expansive coverage of economic issues, their articles are as deep as their coverage is extensive. Topics include world trade, industrial production, U.S. Government programs, and major regulatory issues.Argmax http://www.argmax.com/mt_blogcontains economics news, data, and analysis. It's written by John Irons, currently a Senior Economic Research and Policy Analyst and Staff Economist at OMB Watch, a Washington DC nonprofit organization, where he tracks federal tax and budget issues. Previously he was an economics professor at Amherst College.The Becker-Posner Blog http://www.becker-posner-blog.com/index.htmlis a class act. The authors are Gary Becker, University Professor in the Department of Economics and Sociology and Professor in the Graduate School of Business in the University of Chicago, and Judge Richard Posner, Senior Lecturer in Law at The University of Chicago Law School. Professor Becker, born in 1930, has an 8 page CV (PDF) which covers an illustrious academic career. Judge Posner has an equally rich resume (Word doc), culminating in his role as Chief Judge, United States Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit. The blog consists of elegantly-written and carefully argued short essays by the two authors, with one often responding to the other. Subjects tend to be highly topical, such as terrorism, spam, estate taxes, China's economy, Medicare and Social Security. The blog has been operating since December 2004 with roughly one interchange plus comments per week.The Anti-Becker-Posner Blog http://www.anti-becker-posner.blogspot.com/is a response to The Becker-Posner Blog and a study in contrasts, down to the style and color scheme. The anonymous administrator wants it to be "a community blog... Anyone who catches any mistake or omission in any post by Becker or Posner is invited to comment..." So far there is only one author - the administrator, whose own comments are short and pithy responses to the Becker-Posner posts. Anonymity is justified on the following grounds: "You should judge my arguments by their content, not by my identity... I'm not claiming any special knowledge, and I see no need for you to have them [sic] to judge the claims and conclusions on this blog. My biases should be fairly clear from the title and content." That's a suspect argument since anonymity, particularly in blogs and message boards, often encourages a lack of courtesy that would never be expressed if the author was face to face with the people he was criticising. The tag line for the blog, for example, is "A Blog devoted to correcting the mistakes, omissions, and downright nonsense on the Becker-Posner-Blog." Charming. A better principle is: If you're not comfortable being associated with what you write, you probably shouldn't be writing it. Launched in May 2005 with timing of posts determined by the Becker-Posner Blog. Prof Becker and Judge Posner, by the way, had the class to link to The Anti-Becker-Posner Blog themselves.Brad DeLong http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/movable_type/is Professor of Economics at the University of California at Berkely. He writes frequently (twice daily?) on topics including the business cycle, labor economics, monetary and fiscal policy, health care, the Internet, employment and unemployment and development economics. His posts are often lengthy and detailed.The Capital Spectator http://www.capitalspectator.com/written by James Picerno, describes its focus as "Money, oil, economics and the search for the bottom line". Postings are freqent (often daily), detailed and well written, and the blog has an outstanding set of categorized links.The Conspiracy to Keep You Poor and Stupid http://www.poorandstupid.com/is written by Donald Luskin, Chief Investment Officer of Trend Macrolytics, an independent economics and strategy firm serving institutional investors, and former Vice Chairman of Barclays Global Investors. The blog is highly political; Donald describes it as follows: "When media, politics, academia and business collide on the battlefield of economic thought, the result is a conspiracy to keep you poor and stupid... The blog is dedicated to exposing the conspiracy."Dear Economist http://www.timharford.com/deareconomist/is the agony aunt of economics blogs. Tim Harford writes a column in the Financial Times "answering readers' personal problems with the tools of Adam Smith"; this is the online repository of that column.The Eclectic Econoclast http://www.the-econoclast.blogspot.com/is John Palmer, Professor of Economics at the University of Western Ontario, Canada. He's taught there for 34 years, published prolifically, and received citations and a couple of teaching awards. His posts deal primarily with economic analysis of current events with a "definitely pro-market, anti-interventionist" slant. But Prof. Palmer is also an actor, musician and artist, and about a third of his posts are what he describes as "diverse, with a humourous or challenging edge to them". The tag-line of The Eclectic Econoclast is an indicator of what you'll get here: Economics and the mid-life crisis have much in common: Both dwell on foregone opportunities. Started in November 2004, 2-5 posts every day, though "I tell my wife that I try to limit my postings to three per day".EconLog http://econlog.econlib.org/is written by Arnold Kling. He received his Ph.D. in economics from MIT in 1980, was an economist on the staff of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System from 1980-1986, and a senior economist at Freddie Mac from 1986-1994. In 1994, he started Homefair.com, which was sold in 1999 to Homestore.com. Kling is the author of Under the Radar: Starting Your Internet Business without Venture Capital.Financial Rounds http://financialrounds.blogspot.com/is hard to classify since it ranges over a wide swath of finance and economics topics. It's included in the Economics section here since many of the posts focus on economics, and the blogroll features numberous other economics blogs. The author, who refers to himself as The Unknown Professor is a finance professor with a PhD in finance at an East-Coast state university who has taught courses about personal finance, corporate finance, and financial markets, and previously worked as a financial planner. The blog was started in February 2005; posts are usually daily. Blogs are great tools for exchanging ideas and enhancing academic reputations, so hopefully the author will join the large number of academic economists who write under their real names.General Glut's Globblog http://globblog.blogspot.com/(an abbreviation of Globalization Weblog)is described by its author as "an economic blog written from the actualleft, not the center-left or center and not (primarily) about politics;definitely not "liberal" in any way". It's written by a professor ofPolitical Science at a liberals arts college in the Northeastern US,and analyzes current economic news, emphasizing deflation andoverproduction. Its theoretical bent is broadly Marxist or leftKeynesian.Institutional Economics http://www.institutional-economics.com/is written by Steven Kirchner, a graduate student at Australia'sUniversity of New South Wales. It provides an Australian perspective onthe U.S. and global economy.Knowledge Problem http://www.knowledgeproblem.com/is written by Lynne Kiesling, director of economic policy for the libertarian Reason Foundation in Chicago. It contains daily commentary on oil prices, hydrogen power and the state of the electrical grid.Marginal Revolution http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/is co-written by Professors Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok. Tyler Cowen is professor of economics at George Mason University and at the Center for the Study of Public Choice, and Director of the James Buchanan Center and the Mercatus Center in Fairfax, Virginia. Alex Tabarrok is associate professor of economics at George Mason University, research director for The Independent Institute and a research fellow with the Mercatus Center. Marginal Revolution is lively, stimulating and well-written. It covers current events, economic policy, links to other economics blogs and quick thoughts on practically anything ("A woman's genetic make-up accounts for at least a third of her ability to climax during sex, say researchers"). Posts, which often quote views of other economics bloggers, are short, readable and light on academic jargon. And there's humor: in a discussion of how to reform economics graduate education, Tyler Cowen concludes that "My recipe for George Mason, my own school, is different. Most of the graduate students simply need to work harder." Launched in March 2005, multiple posts per day, good categorization of articles.Market Musings http://alhambrainvestments.com/blog/is written by Joseph Y. Calhoun of Alhambra Investments, bucks the consensus view of the economy and markets. It takes an Austrian or Neo-Classical view of economics and view markets through a value lens. The blog concentrates on both macroeconomic issues and individual securities or trading. You will also find political commentary, financial market analysis, and daily economic reports, complete with charts, analysis and original reports.New Economist http://neweconomist.blogs.com/describes itself as "musings from a London-based economist and policy wonk". It's written by a London-based economist who has “worked over the years for several governments, an investment bank and a think tank. Issues covered include the UK and US economies, financial markets, monetary policy, labour markets, books and social policy. The blog is particularly strong on coverage of recent conferences, new discussion papers and other economic publications. Labour economics is another major focus. The author tries to eschew personal vitriol in favour of enlightened debate (well, most of the time at least). Launched in February 2005, with four or five posts per week.Newmark's Door http://newmarksdoor.typepad.com/mainblog/is written by Craig Newmark, Associate Professor of Economics at North Carolina State University. The blog's tagline is "Things one middle-aged economist finds interesting". In practice, says Prof Newmark, that means "posts on cars, music, film, sports, food, health, and computers, among other topics". "That said," he continues, "most of the posts deal with current events, with a particular interest in economics. Also, since I'm a university teacher married to a high school teacher, and we have two kids, I'm quite interested in education and there are a fair number of posts about that. My slant is politically and economically conservative." Newmark's Door is distinguished by a pithy, conversational style, short posts, sharp insights and lots of interesting links. Another academic economics blogger recommended it for inclusion in the Economics Blog Resource Page on the basis that it's "short and lively". He's right. Launched in April 2002, with posts daily.Nouriel Roubini's Global Economics Blog's http://www.roubiniglobal.com/author is Associate Professor of Economics and International Businessat the Stern School of Business of New York University (NYU). Roubini covers practical issues in global finance with relevance to traders and investors, such as China's exchange rate, developing country debt restructuring, and the valuation and attractiveness of bonds. What differentiates this from blogs written by investment professionals is its academic rigour and the length of the articles. Post frequency is somewhat erratic; sometimes daily, sometimes one post per week. The posts could be categorized (the blog uses Movable Type) but aren't, and that makes it harder to find Roubini's thoughts by topic.Reasonable Bystanders http://reasonable-bystanders.blogspot.com/is written by Shawn Forbes, Chris Paul, and John Hatem, three finance professors at the Department of Finance and Quantitative Analysis at Georgia Southern University. Not surprising given the authors' field,Reasonable Bystanders is more finance focused than many other economics blogs. Posts often react to articles in the Wall Street Journal and other mainstream media publications, pointing out mistakes or common falacies. Many readers will like that -- it makes the blog topical and relevant. Others may find it too reactive and wish that the professors set more of their own agenda. Launched in September 2005, about one post per week.Samuel Brittan http://www.samuelbrittan.co.uk/index.htmlis an economics columnist for the Financial Times. His blog contains current articles and an extensive archive, and is must-read material on the UK economy.Signature Update http://www.signatureblog.net/is a weekly Economic and Market Commentary distributed to subscribers and others seeking to better understand the trends effecting our market and economy. It provides timely economic and market insights into an all-too-complex world of finance, economic and political policy, and personal decision making. Its content is designed to aide you in making sense of the world around you and strengthen your position in the workplace, home or academia.A Taxing Blog http://taxpolicy.blogspot.com/focuses on tax policy. It's written by Victor Fleischer and Jeffrey Kahn. Fleischer is Research Fellow in Transactional Studies and Lecturer-in-Law, and the Director of the Transactional Studies Programat Columbia Law School.Truck and Barter http://www.truckandbarter.com/is written by a team of four economists. Kevin Brancato is a PhDStudent in Economics at George Mason University, and was formerly ananalyst at the RAND Corporation and the Federal Reserve Bank of NewYork. Ian P. Cook earned an MA in Public Policy from the University of Chicago, and now works at a research/consulting firm in Washington DC. Bob Arne was a trader in Chicago, and is now working towards his economics Ph.d. at Claremont Graduate University. And the final writer is anonymous, and is described by the others as "our correspondent in the non-democratic Muslim state of Maldives; he writes on Maldivan economics and politics. Here's how they describe what they do: "We all cover economics from a heterodox, free-market perspective. Ian covers voting and politics; Paul writes on the Maldives; Bob has wider macro interests; Others contribute when interested."Winter Speak http://www.winterspeak.com/is written by Zimran Ahmed, who spent three years working as a technology consultant and is a graduate student at the University ofChicago Business School studying how government regulation affects telecommunications and networking companies.You should also try the following link for more resources -http://blogs.wsj.com/source/2010/12/30/the-best-economics-blogs/
Do economics courses include econometrics in their syllabi?
A2A.There many ways to cut the economics pie. In one slicing method, we see differences due to the type of College with which the department is associated. The views from a Business College would different from that of a Liberal Arts & Sciences College.Let’s take one, arbitrarily chosen. Northeastern of Boston, MA? Economics is in the College of Social Sciences and Humanities. One can go deeper, but I just looked a this page. Here is the quote:The B.S. degrees require econometrics, a more advanced statistics course, while the B.A. degrees require an economic history class.Then, there are options called electives. If econometrics were not required, one could still take the thing.Now, let’s find a business college. Say, Hendrix College of Arkansas. This page describes requirements for various majors (Economics and Business Degree Requirements). And, econometrics is on the list. I expected that due to the growing quantitative focus of busyness.Same goes for the Liberal Arts & Science approach, where any mathematical focus would include econometrics.—-Mentioning syllabi, one might wonder if courses, such as macroeconomics or microeconomics, might use econometrics for class work. Well, you can expect that in the upper level or graduate courses, when there is some quantitative bent to the work. Why not keep it in the family?
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