Meeting The Requirements For Timeline Data Presentation - Georgia: Fill & Download for Free

As someone who works in contentious legal matters and a Trump supporter who is convinced the election was won by fraudulent means, and I’ll bring a concrete example below, I’ll explain why the courts haven’t sided, yet, with the Trump team.I’ll start by saying that anyone who thinks that the legal system in their country is impervious to politics is a little naive.President Obama vetoes Samsung patent ban on iPhone 4 and select iPads.So lets go through some reasons the Trump administration has been unsuccessful so far.A first reason is that it is critically important for the legal system to appear just to the people. Therefore, the judges are searching for any reason not to invalidate votes of the people, whether it be standing, or flaws in the cases presented to them.This is very reasonable, and even a conservative judge will indeed be worried about sticking their neck out if it appears that they are interfering with the will of the people.Nobody wants to “disenfranchise millions of voters”. But if the allegations of systemic voter fraud are true, then that is exactly what the judicial system is accomplishing.If one briefly reviews many of the decisions it appears that there are contradictory reasons for rejecting the suits, the sum result of which is that no one can actually challenge an election in court.For example, in the cases filed before an election you can’t prove there was injury, for the cases filed after the election it is considered late-filed in view of an election result that you didn’t desire.In other cases the Trump campaign was rejected as not having standing, and individuals were rejected as their single votes were not significant to overturn the votes of hundreds of thousands of people.There have been numerous “you sued the wrong person” decisions, it isn’t the Governor or the Secretary of State or anyone else in charge, but rather the clerk that carries out the signature check… So no one in charge is actually responsible…A second reason is that there are indeed many judges who are predisposed to allow the Democrats to win, and will happily find reasons to dismiss the case.A third reason is that there is a lack of overwhelming evidence, since the DOJ, FBI and other investigative bodies are not getting involved. Maybe not because of the “deep state” or even political alliances, but that they would also then be acting against the man who they expect will shortly become their boss.To elaborate, the other side is trying:A. To openly and illegally destroy the evidence:Benson memo demanding deletion of electronic pollbook data questionable | Michigan Senate RepublicansBecause we all know that even though there is a disputed election, the “software pollbook data” must be taking up a tremendous amount of warehouse space (#sarcasm).And not only is this suspicious, but as former Mayor Guiliani points out this clearly illegal:Michigan Legislature - 168.811 Election returns, records, and applications; preservation; destruction; time.All election returns, including poll lists, statements, tally sheets, absent voters' return envelopes bearing the statement required by section 761, absent voters' records required by section 760, and other returns made by the inspectors of election of the several precincts must be carefully preserved and may be destroyed after the expiration of 2 years following the primary or election at which the same were used.B. To secretly destroy the evidence:Antrim Michigan Forensics Report [121320] v2 [REDACTED].pdfRegarding the Antrim report, see what happens when you finally file enough cases to get to a judge who is on your side and resistant to intimidation? You can get actual evidence…As noted by the Dominion CEO, those very security logs are what is designed to show unauthorized alteration of the code (starting 201:49)[1]:"Is it your design… to keep security logs that would flag unauthorized alteration of the code?Yes, absolutely.”*See what happens when the Trump team can actually get testimony from the other side? [the above Dominion CEO testimony only being possible through Senate Hearings and not the courts]Video: Richard Baris: Evidence of Voter Fraud Disappears From State NetworksC. To prevent legitimate election integrity checks such as audits:Michigan Secretary of State Refuses to Testify to State Legislature on ElectionMaricopa County Board Votes Against Complying With Subpoenas to Audit Voting MachinesArizona Judge Dismisses Lawsuit to Enforce Subpoenas for Election Record, Opens Opportunity for RefileIf there is nothing to hide, then why not to allow audits? Arizona Senate Could Arrest Election Officials Kelli Ward:“The reason we have paper backups here in Arizona, is that when there’s a question, we can look at them. Right now, those paper ballots are basically being held hostage by attorneys, by judges, while the people of the state and people of the nation are crying out to know whether the results are accurate.”D. Playing the race card (because we all know that is the “real” reason Trump is challenging the election results (Wayne Co. canvassers certify election results after initial deadlock):“"The Republican members of the Wayne County Board of Canvassers put politics above their duty to our residents," Tlaib tweeted Tuesday. "Suggesting that all of Wayne County can be certified, EXCEPT for Detroit, is horrifying racist and a subversion of our democracy."”E. To pull the wool over the public’s eyes with randomized statistical-sample “audit-like” efforts which are really political ploys:Secretary Raffensperger Launches Cobb County And Statewide Signature Match AuditsWhich the recount prophets already told us in advance have a predetermined result Georgia's GOP secretary of state says recount results will show 'no substantial changes'.Also during first recount in Georgia, the media reported a few days in advance that Biden was leading, which is statistically not possible if you consider the winning margin:As Georgia's Hand Recount Concludes, Vote Count Shows Biden Still Ahead“Georgia election officials expect to release the results of a statewide audit by noon Thursday, as a handful of counties finish data entry from a full hand recount of 5 million presidential votes.”Lets put this propaganda in perspective:In an election with almost 5 million votes and a winning margin of ~0.2% (49.5% to 49.3%) the informal results could not statistically be showing a trend of Biden winning.“Yes sir, in each of the handful of counties that finished counting, for every 1000 votes we count Biden is consistently getting exactly two more (495 go to Biden and 493 to Trump).The truth was not that Biden had any sort of consistent county-wide win, but rather the win was due to a few large counties. For example Fulton county alone carried about 400k votes, of which 72% were for Biden, several times his winning margin.F. Big Tech is publicly suppressing distribution of the evidence:YouTube Removes Trump Lawyer's Opening Statement From Senate Committee Hearing“Earlier this month, YouTube announced that it would remove “content alleging widespread fraud or errors changed the outcome of a historical U.S. presidential election.” The Google-owned company said that it would take this action because the “safe harbor” deadline on Dec. 8 in the presidential election had passed.”G. Big tech is delaying release of the evidence to give the other side time to develop spin stories:Twitter Blocks 'Potentially Harmful' Links to Sidney Powell Election LawsuitState Senator Mastriano's personal Twitter account temporarily suspended, Trump reactTwitter Blacklists Mathematician Who Testified at Arizona Voter Fraud HearingYouTube Bans Trump-Friendly OANN For One Week After Network Touted Fake Covid CureH. Witnesses are being intimidated, and punished, for example suspending without pay one of the USPS whistleblowers in violation of the Whistleblower Protections Act’s clause against retaliation (Ely Erlich's post in Everything Republican).Georgia Poll Workers Who Raised Election Concerns Get TerminatedSecretary Raffensperger Condemns Political Firingcalls For Rehiring Of Fulton County Whistle BlowersI. Out of all of the thousands of alleged voter fraud cases the only ones I have seen publicized are Trump supporters/Republicans who allegedly carried out the fraud.Which means that either only Republicans carried out fraud, or the enforcement agencies are only going after Republicans, or the media is created a slanted picture.J. Did I mention delaying the evidence? The law enforcement agencies themselves, those who are meant to protect the people, are overtly delaying damning reports of foreign interference in “the safest election ever”...🚨DNI Report on Election Threat Won’t Meet DEC 18 Deadline. “MASSIVE FIGHT HAS KICKED Off with DNI”…K. I’m sure I mentioned delaying the evidence… the courts too:Supreme Court Fails to Immediately Act on Trump Campaign's Request to Expedite Pennsylvania AppealL. Legal threats are issued to media entities who air expose pieces.Fox Airs Segment Challenging Election Fraud Claims Against Smartmatic After Threat of Legal ActionSo there is a lack of overwhelming evidence, because, like Trump’s Southern border wall which he “didn’t build”, there has been a tremendous opposition to all attempts for discovery, properly signature audits and examining the tabulators.But just like Trump fought for the wall, shutting down the government for it (Trump wall - Wikipedia) he is now fighting both the Democratic Party, large portions of the Republican party, the media, the countries opposing his re-election, and the tech giants supporting them, and the truth is trickling out.M. Wiki is clean of all major allegations of voter fraud.Guess nothing happened at Fulton County, huh Wiki?Fulton County, Georgia - Wikipedia2020 United States presidential election in Georgia - WikipediaOr Antrim County? You even have to click a button for this one, but still no mention of the controversy (Antrim County, Michigan - Wikipedia):N. Legal threats are issued to lawyers who allege fraudMichigan AG May Seek Sanctions for Lawyers Questioning Election ResultsO. Legal threats are issued to politicians who allege fraudhttps://floridianpress.com/2020/12/petition-filed-to-disbar-rep-matt-gaetz/P. And defensive Republicans are saying that while fraud exists in every election it “isn't widespread”.So if is “rare”, you tell me the odds of one of the two key election officials challenging Trump's claim in Georgia having his address used for fraud?Georgia Election Official and Trump Critic, Gabriel Sterling, Says Woman Fraudulently Voted Using His Address(I tried hard not to include statistical arguments but couldn't help myself when I saw that one…)Ok Ely, show me the evidence!Well, in my opinion, the best example of clear systemic fraud was the “widely debunked” publicly visible events at the Fulton County State Arena.What happened there?There were two desperate attempts in this Democratic stronghold counting the absentee, mail in and military ballots, to evacuate the Republican poll watchers from the area.The first was an alleged pipe burst, reported by the media on the night of the election as a breaking news story with an expected four hour delay in counting. The next day it was reported that there was indeed a four hour delay, with Director Barron stating it was a serious leak. Subsequently the official story was that it happened in the morning about 13 hours earlier than the breaking news story. Yet that “doesn’t hold water” because the election officials held a large 20 minute Zoom conference at 10am, mentioning all issues thus far, and didn’t mention a single word about any leak.Then, at about 1000-1030pm they packed up, told everyone to stop work which forced the Republican poll watchers by law to leave, and when the Republican poll watchers left, they pulled out the ballots they had packed away and started counting again in violation of at least two laws designed to prevent cheating.Nice story Ely, now show me the evidence!Enjoy!Below are the events in chronological order of the time they were reported at the State Farm Arena in Fulton County was the location where absentee, mail-in and military ballots were counted:Election Day, November 3, 2020, Tuesday morningAs reported here (It's Complicated: The "Burst Pipe" in Fulton County, GA - UncoverDC) during the 10am Zoom press conference, there was no mention of any burst pipe incident.For convenience, here is the direct link to the Zoom conference: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6l0zBdp4vac&feature=emb_logoIn summary, the 10am conference included 20 minutes of election officials patting themselves on the back for smooth sailing despite minor “glitches”. (For example: 3:45 – Chairman Pitts – "everything going smoothly"; "Overall things have gone smoothly today" – Director Barron, then goes on to mention technical issues, equipment delivered late – nothing about the pipe burst; 6:44 – specifically Fulton county, everything good).Election Day, November 3, 2020, Tuesday nightThe Wall Street Journal reported at 8:55 PM (Georgia Results Likely Delayed by Pipe Burst in Fulton County - WSJ.com; “Georgia Results Likely Delayed by Pipe Burst in Fulton County”):“Election officials in Fulton County, Ga., said results could be delayed Tuesday night after a burst pipe disrupted operations at State Farm Arena in Atlanta earlier in the day, stalling absentee ballot processing by four hours.”A similar “breaking news” story was reported on CBS on election night (watch it before they take it down…):Note that it is dark (night time), and the reporter states that “they have counted 86,000 votes” and this will delay the count for a day or two, also noting the fact that Georgia is now a critical battleground state.A similar story was reported by Forbes (Georgia's Absentee Ballot Count Delayed By Burst Pipe, But Officials Say Results Won’t Be Impacted) at 9:40PM.“the leak prevented workers from tallying ballots for about four hours”November 4, 2020, Wednesday morning - “the day after”Pipe bursts in Atlanta arena causing 4-hour delay in processing ballotsAt 6:25AM the ABC reported:"A pipe burst in State Farm Arena in Atlanta on Tuesday morning, causing a four-hour delay in processing election ballots, according to deputy Secretary of State Jordan Fuchs.”…“As planned, Fulton County will continue to tabulate the remainder of absentee ballots over the next two days," the officials continued. "Fulton County did not anticipate having all absentee ballots processed on Election Day."November 6, 2020 - “three days after”Trump’s claims about Georgia lacked facts, context“Fulton County Elections head Richard Barron said Wednesday that the pipe dumped a lot of water, soaking the carpeting and hampering work.It looked really like there was rain coming out of the ceiling and the entire carpeting was just covered in water,” he said. “There was no way to go in there and perform work.”Note: The quoted statement above indicates first-hand witnessing of the event (“It looked”), and indicated it was severe (no way to go in there and perform work) and this is the same Director Barron who didn’t mention the incident in the Zoom conference at 10am reporting all election incidents.And after all that, a month later when testifying to the senate that there was no break in the chain of custody, the election officials (who weren’t even there) stuck to the story that it was a morning pipe burst causing almost no disruption (Georgia Senate Election Hearing Transcript December 3 - Rev):Chairman Robb Pitts: (02:20:50)I’m not sure. That thing has taken the life of his own. There was a water, actually, there was a leak. The floor above where we were counting ballots at State Farm Arena, according to Steve Koonin, CEO of Atlanta Hawks. That occurred at 6:07 AM. I forget the exact date. By 8:07 AM, it was-Jessica Corbitt-Dominguez: (02:21:11)It was on Election Day.So were tens of thousands of ballots left unattended?Chairman Robb Pitts: (02:21:31)I was not there, but presumably there were people there because we started at probably seven o’clock, I believe. I’m sure that some people were there.Jessica Corbitt-Dominguez: (02:21:58)And I will say this sir, because the question of chain of custody has been raised. So I have had an opportunity to talk with the staff about that. I was not personally there, but my understanding is just in a room like this, if there was a leak over here, that does not mean that all of you would necessarily leave. And that is my understanding is that the workers who were responsible for those ballots never left the room. They were in the room the entire time. They had to stop working for a period of about two hours and that was the reason it was brought up in the first place is there was a slight delay of a couple of hours where they couldn’t access the entire room, but they did not leave. And the ballots remained in the custody of the sworn workers.To summarize:In the critical room where the alleged election fraud took place, the very room where the absentee and military ballots were to be counted, the so-called Democratic stronghold:1. There venue stated they alerted the election staff of a water leak at 6:07 AM which lasted two hours and delayed tabulating the results (Statement Regarding Absentee Ballot Tabulation at State Farm Arena | State Farm Arena). Note that this report must have at least been at night (if not days after the incident, despite the date of November 3) because they already mentioned that the results of 86,000 counted votes would be reported at night: “Tonight Fulton County will report results for approximately 86,000 absentee ballots, as well as Election Day and Early Voting results. These represent the vast majority of ballots cast within Fulton County. As planned, Fulton County will continue to tabulate the remainder of absentee ballots over the next two days.” ).2. The election staff made a public update at 10 AM making no mention of the delay or leak.3. The media reported at breaking story later that night of the leak of an expected 4 hour delay. Later that night being about 13 hours after the incident was allegedly reported to the election officials, and on election day with the media reporting every semi-newsworthy item they could find.4. The media reported the next day that a four-hour delay in counting had indeed occurred.5. Three days later, an election official who had talked extensively the 10am Zoom conference and yet made no mention of the leak, released a statement that he personally witnessed it and it was severe.6. The leak at some stage became a minor leak in the morning, which did nothing.And that, my dear friends, is only the first incident that happened at Fulton County.The second incident, which occurred about two hours after the breaking news story of the leak is well known to you.The election staff packed up the ballots, yes they did, it’s all on camera. [2]At 3:26 in the linked video, you can clearly see ballots on top left hand corner tables (top right hand corner screen)At 5:26 in the video (real time: 1037 the same desks have been packed up.Then, at 11:09 real-time (11:13 in the video) – the lady in purple who had been wiping down the tables earlier is now processing ballots in the top right hand screen, top left corner.The release of the video showing the ballots being packed away caused the other side to change their story from “the cutters finished their jobs and left, making the Republican Poll Watchers think the work was over” to “everybody thought the work was over and then it was decided to restart ballot counting due to external pressure, just coincidentally after the Republican Poll Watchers left”.Georgia election officials show frame-by-frame what happened in Fulton surveillance video (ironically the same official mentioned above who subsequently found out his address had been used by another voter…)“ At 10 p.m., with the room full of people, including official monitors and the media, video shows ballots that had already been opened but not counted placed in the boxes, sealed up and stored under the table.The reason? Employees thought they were done for the night.“They were closing things up and getting ready to leave,” Watson said.”And so why did they start counting again, according to the story?“Media and observers left as employees packed up. But Fulton’s election director called a supervisor at State Farm a few minutes later, telling them to keep counting after the Secretary of State’s office called and said they shouldn’t stop counting for the night so early.”Aha, again Director Barron… So the Secretary of State got wind that they were “stopping counting” and intervened to keep counting just a bit longer.Which makes a lot of sense (#sarcasm), since there was still extensive counting to be done and there would be no chance to finish at 1am anyway…Let me make it crystal clear: an instruction from the Secretary of State’s office and election director to not “stop counting” means that it was public knowledge that they were stopping counting, and the video shows they had, indeed, stopped counting, not that the “cutters had finished their part”.Not that I believe the story about the Secretary of State’s office anyway…But rest assured, there was no mishandling of the ballots because “State election investigators have already spent hours analyzing the video” and they couldn’t find evidence of fraud…Because anyone watching this video with distant screens not even facing the ballots or computers can tell if any foul play (digital adjudication etc.) is going on (#heavysarcasm).Pre-emptive responses to the strawman attacks on this evidence:The Trump team in their first presentation of the video stated quite explicitly that they had not had time to review the whole video and that the only thing they could say “for certain” after skimming it, was that it was not typical practice to be pulling ballots out of suitcases stored under the table (this is not where ballots had been coming from the whole day).The fact that it was later found upon further review that the ballots under the table had been put away there at 10:02pm is actually confirmation that it was not normal and that they had indeed been packed away.The Trump team in their first presentation indeed called the boxes with wheels and extendable handles “suitcases” because if you look up the dictionary definition this is a perfectly normal word to use. They didn’t say that “ballots are stored in ballot cases and this was an unusual suitcase which isn’t a ballot case”, this is a red-herring…There is no logical and legal reason election to start up counting again for only an hour and a half in the middle of the night, counting wasn’t close to finishing. This story falls short of basic believability.As explained in a subsequent Trump Team presentation here [3]citing and explaining relevant laws and the points I summarized below (starting at about 1:48:00):The Republican poll watchers were indeed forced to leave, by law they had no right to stay there after it was announced that work had been stopped.It was illegal to restart counting out of the public view. Georgia statute 21-2-483(b).It was illegal to restart counting without a public announcement. Georgia statute 21-2-493.Subsequently, the chief investigative officer told the press that there was no announcement to stop work. Yet ABC clearly reported at 6:30am the following morning that they had been informed that the counting had stopped at 1030am.NEW: The election department sent the ballot counters at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta home at 10:30 p.m., Regina Waller, the Fulton County public affairs manager for elections, tells ABC News. https://t.co/HgCtcXEka3— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) November 4, 2020I hereby call “pants on fire”.The legislature doesn’t require investigators to be able to catch election cheats with 10 witnesses, it is enough to state that counting should be in public view and with public knowledge.To try and avoid being caught violating the above mentioned laws they made up and circulated in the media a lie that the secretary of state sent a non-partisan official (who had to stay anonymous out of fear for his or her safety) and therefore they weren't counting out of the public's view.This is yet another lie debunked by the video who show no such person and apparently the alleged identify was revealed to the senate judiciary committee and testimony was obtained that this alibi was absolutely false (Page 5, first paragraph: Georgia chairmans report).Edit! Update from the Georgia Senate subcommittee hearing on December 30, 2020.Starting at 14:00 the Trump team show two women repeatedly running the same ballots from under the table through the scanners several times!https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=uSfbEiV-UxgTwo incidents with contradictory, changing and prima facie illogical stories, occurred within two hours of each other at one of the counting locations critical to the national election (which had thousands of counting venues), the second event clearly including illegal activity.What are you going to tell me next, that the proud father-in-law of a Jew is a secret neo-nazi sending out messages in “codes”?[4]I tried sending the information about the conflicting timeline of the pipe burst to Sydney Powell, but had a terribly difficult time filling out the report form since the page (Contact) looks like this on all of my browsers:Awful hard to know what to fill in each box (although I did figure it out eventually, I’m quite stubborn).I’m sure it’s just a technical glitch, it happens all the time that contact pages are made virtually invisible...I’ll also add that Fulton County is in Georgia, where Trump votes kept reappearing (“oops!”) in the thousands in Trump strongholds, during the recount. [5]“During this audit, it was discovered that Fayette County had missed tabulating 2,755 votes, Floyd County had about 2,600 ballots that were never scanned, Douglas County failed to include a memory card from an Election Day precinct that included 156 votes, and Walton County discovered a memory card with 284 votes.Of course if there is nothing wrong with the system, why try to fix it?One final note, it has been claimed that the batch processed in Fulton that night had an unusually large Biden vote (unusually large compared to other mail in batches - which shouldn't happen) but I haven't been able to find the realtime Edison data myself.GEORGIA🚨An analysis of the Edison election database shows that Joe Biden received 98% of a 23,487 vote batch in Georgia at 12:18 AM.🔻 pic.twitter.com/eovvLebml9— Kanekoa (@KanekoaTheGreat) December 6, 2020Footnotes[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbegDlTxzMg[2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=keANzinHWUA&t=553s[3] Page on youtube.com[4] Ely Erlich's answer to What factual examples or scientific studies do Trump supporters have that NBC, CBS, or ABC use fake news in their newscasts?[5] 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia - Wikipedia

China versus the world. Think of a face to face aggression like going to your bank and shooting the manager because your interest rate is only paying 20%. In controlled and limited Diplomacy and posturing, progress can be made without making more history.Its true the Chinese were shocked and prompted significant investment in new strategy, tactics and training, along with substantial development of their own weapons. The study of US endeavors in Iraq and Afghanistan gleaned significant knowledge for Russia as well. Being implemented as I write.What one needs to remember is the Chinese very nearly kicked the West's ass in Korea with some relatively simple tactics that although suicide, actually worked very well. Equipment that was generations older, while the West had the wrong weapons for the job and had to build them. (learned this in a US Army course, after years of traditional brainwashing)What we do know from history is the most confident and well equipped military can often lose to a smaller poorly equipped (yet motivated) Militia. Take note of the US Revolutionary War where some colonies defeated the greatest military of the time with help (okay a lot) from France. The French government actually went bankrupt to help America achieve independence and a new government took over.China is building moderate power projection capability, but its long stated use of military is self defense, both near and internal. Until China drops a Nuevo Russian tactic, perhaps we should believe them and plan accordingly. China does not need the resources of the US to fight the likely wars they might indulge in near home. They do have a blue water NAVY, they don't need massive airlift or aerial refueling. (which they do of some capability)What I will point out is it is well known China stole nearly every design to some degree of modern US weapons. The F-22, F-35 and V-22 were completely compromised and over years of often undiscovered access. Ships and other platforms aren't that much safer.The J-20 doesn't look like the F-22 from an original design, but it does fly. Stealth is a misnomer, for which computerized RADAR and low frequency can defeat much of the advantage. Both China and Russia are actively deploying and developing LFR for fire control and detection. Modern Russian fighters are actually dressed up Mig 27/29 models with advanced avionics from Europe, they are not at all stealth nor apparently need to be for India to buy them. Over populated areas, researchers demonstrated how an F-117 can be detected by analyzing mobile phone emissions. There is no silver bullet advantage that doesn't eventually have a countermeasure.The US along with many other governments only recently got on the Cyber defense bus with any real conviction. This allowed a nearly open window for Russia, China and Iran to access a treasure of information and data.Like most recently gifted by Snowjob. (due to lack of defense & audit) Brilliant to go East to West to roll out intrusion detection and access auditing because you didn't want to spend enough to do it in parallel with several teams.A mobile phone is more powerful than the state of the art defense system a decade ago and more computing power than all the Apollo space computers combined. Guess where the Apple and a great deal of other bleeding edge tech products are made. An Android can relatively easily be converted to a missile guidance system in shorter timelines of Western defense acquisition.The US NAVY spent $Bs and decades to develop the Littoral Combat Ship (LCS), while the Chinese haven't copied it and focused on Frigates. LCS sounded good at the time, but the world has changed and LCS cannot deliver and apparently even survive (according to the GAO) in combat. Frigates are designed to keep Sea lanes open and exactly what is needed in the South China Sea in a game of wits. The Pentagon has directed USN to develop Frigates in 2013 and end of life the LCS program, while the last commissioned US Frigate will be decomissioned in 2015. Of course, the US NAVY cannot afford to design and build a new Frigate anytime soon.., oopsIts difficult to say as there are some weapons that are better than the US now. In a Ukraine style insurgent war, tech and modernization account for much less than presence. Large numbers of cheap weapons can very easily overwhelm a force multiplier as modified microwave ovens (they are really good jammers and munitions attractors) foiled HARM missiles in the Balkans. I mentioned this at a large military conference in DC and the audience went silent. (its public knowledge) In Afghanistan and Iraq, insurgency was described as stone age and unable to shoot straight. They certainly held off modern military for a great deal of time.I would think the story is different on the Hill when asking for budget.Super high cost technical weapons can be very effective in a Global War, but in limited geo and agitation conflicts, manpower more often prevails.Western strategy to remove manpower faster than tech can replace it might not be the best strategy for the most likely scenarios. even the remote ones like repelling Russia, the West is almost entirely unprepared for in terms of the modern world. NATO is ill-prepared to face threat from Russia, U.K. lawmakers warnIn the present day, NATO could not stop a fast Russian invasion. Likewise a march into Vietnam or Thailand could be potentially unchallenged as well. US and allies in the region only have a token number of troops. we could evict them, but possibly at a cost, time and effort nobody is willing to make and Mr. Putin knows all too well.If we consider a scenario with China, it might likely be on a Pacific Island in the South China Sea or mainland. Why then is the US killing off Amphibious warfare while Japan builds it. (while the Army says they can do this mission) Marine Corps Scraps Tracks for Amphibious Combat Vehicle. part of the reason is balance and a pattern to buy a few select and favored weapons systems that don't address the many scenarios. A Military Industrial complex that is greedy and more recently terrible at meeting schedule or requirements of a fickle DoD. China has none of these issues to hold them back.It took Cheonan to remind the west of a need for ASW and midget subs which are both hard to find and really cheap. North Korean torpedo sank Cheonan, South Korea military source claims. I commented to a SEAL showing a me an SDV, North Korea has those. They all laughed and said, yupIts more likely there will be more limited insurgent and irregular battles than an all out world war as the case of the last 50 years. A reason USSOCOM has grown over 90% since 2000 and despite the tech, its training and tactics. Holding ground means you own it, (ask the Russians) even if it is a robot wearing your flag. Its possible a great tech force multiplier won't be as important as hoped, especially if reluctance and sacrificial (Crimea, Georgia, Moldova, Proxy invasion force) lambs like with Ukraine are the future of modern Diplomacy and warfare. So far mostly the world has accepted it with little action, China will learn from this too. Even the 2013 Overseas basing strategy is mostly out of date for current assessments. An Assessment of Relative Costs and Strategic BenefitsWhat is the true advantage of the US Military ? Professionalism, transparency, reflection of American culture, values and the numerous genders, races and nationalities represented in a well resourced Force that includes a great deal more than just a decade ago. A decade of battle hardened warriors experienced from actual combat. (just as in Korea) These are elements much harder for others globally to replicate. This is strength.Germany is potentially negotiating without moving anywhere near a Sabre. (even strong words for that matter) Germany brokers secret deal with Russia to end Ukraine crisis - Independent.ie We might call this satiation or capitulation, but its what a sovereign does that is very weak, its not a negotiation.Ambassador Samantha Power happens to be the most effective and useful defense weapon the US Administration has that is actionable and a woman Diplomat against the boys club of the world ))) She wasn't developed with a great deal of advanced defense spending or even born in America. She is Irish.A full scale global war is exceptionally remote, because China is more economically interdependent on the West and vice versa. Its not the same equation for Russia. China also progressively owns more of the US. Take note of Russian ownership in UK and its effect on Diplomacy.It isn't the Chinese threatened by us (everyone else) Its a matter of everyone else feeling threatened by China. Its a very different angle of interpretation.In a lesson of the last 10K years, don't underestimate the Chinese.The most likely adversary for China is Russia, and both sides know that while being frenemies.Maybe I just don't know what I am taking about )

STATE OF FEAR by Michael Crichton, A.B. Anthropology, M.D. Harvard with compelling peer reviewed climate science references.THE DANGERS OF CONSENSUS SCIENCEIT JUST TAKES ONE BRILLIANT MIND TO BREAK WITH THE CONSENSUS.Galileo - Darwin - Einstein"Let's be clear: the work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right, which means that he or she has results that are verifiable by reference to the real world. In science consensus is irrelevant. What is relevant is reproducible results. The greatest scientists in history are great precisely because they broke with the consensus..." - Michael Crichton, A.B. Anthropology, M.D. HarvardStrong evidence of a counter consensus is documented by Dr. Alan Longhurst in his tour de force book Doubt and Certainty in Climate Science. I have also collected four key research papers by leading scientists that discredit the GREEN HOUSE THEORY of Al Gore and other politicians. I have also identified > than 30 leading climate scientists who do not accept the alarmist theory of the UN IPCC crusade by Al Gore and James Hansen and the disreputable Michael Mann.https://www.academia.edu/3018314...I think the following insight by Alan Longhurst unravels the alarmist’s failed predictions, as their models are too simple like a one trick pony in a big complex circus -I became troubled by what seemed to be a preference to view the climate as a global stable state, unless perturbed by anthropogenic effects, rather than as a highly complex system having several dominant states, each having a characteristic return period imposed on gradual change at millennial scale.“Precisely the very unscientific folly and bias of the climate-change crowd.Free pdf book is available here -https://www.academia.edu/3557184...Further, the misleading consensus on global warming is crumbling although most main media outlets have ignored this reality. Sea levels are not rising dramatically (the absolute rate of rise is constant and trivial - about 2 or 3 mm/yr, less than one foot per century); polar bears are thriving not facing extinction;Pacific Islands are rising not sinking; winters are not moderate without snow as predicted by the IPCC.I submit these reviews of Crichton’s well researched novel have it right.Erika Borsos5.0 out of 5 starsEntertaining, Infomative Examination of a Very "Hot" IssueJune 19, 2006This is a thoroughly entertaining, frightening, and educational novel about global warming, environmental issues, and sci-fi high tech interference with nature and the weather ... written as a murder mystery. Interspersed throughout the book is a vast amount of scientific data from the 1880s to current times presented in the form of graphs and footnotes that back up the author's viewpoint that the environment is *always* changing and manages to balance itself without outside interference from mankind. Clearly, the author's message seems to be for the most part, left alone nature corrects the problems that arise with everyday modern living. However, the author *does* advocate studying the changes in nature and man's interference, to prevent misuse and destruction. It seems to this reader, the author espouses modern life despite its problems rather than the "back to nature" and more primitive lifestyles of the past ...In this fascinating novel, an impending catastrophe of astronomical proportions for all of mankind is predicted by a group called NERF ((National Environmental Resource Fund) which was founded by lawyers. They present themselves as environmental activists working to save the planet. They expect a 10 million dollar donation from a wealthy philanthropist, George Morton, who since he retired from his business career, has had two main interests, pretty women and making the world a better place to live. The only problem is, George Morton has discovered that NERF plans to use the money to finance a lawsuit against the government for its lack of action against corporations and businesses whom they claim created the problems of rising waters in the Ocean. NERF maintains the island nation of Vanutu, located somewhere out in the Indian Ocean and all its inhabitants will be disappear due to a rise in sea level created by global warming. George Morton has learned the truth, NERF is falsifying data, there is no such threat of rising Ocean levels. He speaks at a major fundraiser for NERF, where he receives their coveted "Man of the Year" award but blows apart their plans by rescinding his planned donation.The story begins in Paris but later chapters takes off in a myriad of directons. In Paris an oceanographic researcher is discovered floating in the Seine River. Peter Evans, one of George Morton's lawyers meets with the head of NERF, after NERF discovers details placed in the 10 million dollar donation contract limits their funding due to specific clauses. Subsequently, George Morton unexpectedly buys a Ferrari and disappears, his bloated dead body washes up on a California beach and is identified by his lawyer and most recent personal assistant, Sarah. Peter Evans finds himself recruited to visit places such as, Iceland, Antartica, the Solomon Islands, and the jungles of Malaysia, as George Morton's representative. He accompanies John Kenner, Ph.D. from MIT who heads the Center for Risk Analysis and Sanjon Thapa Ph.D. a research associate for the Department of Geoenvironmental Engineering. They are tracking the mysterious disappearance of secret high tech equipment from governmental labs throughout the world and their subsequent reappearance in obscure places where their use and abuse could create major ... possibly permanent catastrophic environmental damage.This book is a nonstop exhilarating, exciting reading experience. It is a suspense-filled novel complete with a mesmerzing subject matter that is given a thorough examination in a most intriguing, entertaining and enjoyable manner. An environmental terrorist group accesses the most sophisticated technology with plans to wreak havoc and destruction on innocent people. All this, in order to influence power and control over the nations of the world. They falsify data and tout an untrue philosophy. They have no qualms about killing possibly millions of innocent lives just to win millions of dollars in donations and achieve more control over environmental issues. There are some amusing moments in the book, too. One is where a very attractive athletic female defends herself against the unwanted advances of a vain, shallow, handsome male actor, who is a spokes person for the environmetnal group, NERF. Another is the inclusion of cannibals who end up feasting on an unsuspecting victim ... In conclusion, Michael Crichton has written a phenomenal book which follows in the great tradition of other modern New York Times best-selling authors, Tom Clancy (world threats to mankind, high tech equipment with unusual acronymns), Dean Koontz (frightening threats from unusual sources that are overcome by caring people), and John LeCarre (murder mysteries associated with threatening clandestine groups). Michael Crichton has combined the best of these three novelists in one book. This book is most highly recommended, my plans are to reread it several more times to discover what I missed. It is jam-packed with research and footnotes and enjoyable twists, turns, and surprises. Erika Borsos (pepper flower)Jan 02, 2008Run Reason rated it it was amazing · review of another edition"The threat of global warming is essentially nonexistent. Even if it were a real phenomenon, it would probably result in a net benefit to most of the world." -p407I just finished reading "State of Fear," Michael Crichton's (creator of ER and author of Jurassic Park, Timeline, and many others) latest novel. We discussed this a few months ago but I must say this book really is a delicious slap in the face for ill-informed environmentalists. If you have environmentalist leanings, or think that global warming is important, or even real, do yourself a favor and read this book. It is an entertaining way to lift yourself out of the haze of junk science and histrionic propaganda that is disseminated by the media in order to promote the environmentalist agenda. The book, like all Crichton novels, is thoroughly researched and the result is a sublime mix of science and technology on one hand and suspense, mystery and action driven plot on the other. Moreover, while the book is fiction, the research dicussed therein is real and thoroughly documented with real references. There is a lot to learn from this novel, in more ways than one, it is downright Randian.(less)Oct 18, 2012Arah-Lynda rated it really liked it · review of another edition3.5 starsI can’t believe that I am sitting here thinking about this review while Hurricane Sandy’s imminence is being trumpeted just outside my door.Makes you think…..The story itself is about global warming. It’s a cautionary tale really. On the one hand you have some radical environmentalists/ scientists who are not above manipulating the environment in order to support their fund raising goals. I mean people will dig deeper into their pockets if they have been personally impacted by global warming, right.Attempting at every turn to stay ahead of these ecological terrorists is a filthy rich, environmental philanthropist, his lawyer and Kenner, a professor of geo-environmental engineering at MIT and secret agent for an unnamed national security organization.And the chase is on; as we follow these groups around the world from the glaciers of Iceland and volcanoes of Antarctica, through the streets of Paris to a remote Pacific island crawling with cannibals.As I read this story I really thought that it was Crichton’s voice I heard whenever Kenner was speaking, which he does a lot, while sharing his own views on global warming. It can get a little preachy, but for me the story was solid enough to get past that.There is a chilling taste like people scene that quite effectively raised the hackles on the back of my neck.A cogent theme throughout is the role of politics and fund raising in shaping scientific research.Extremely well researched and hey I enjoyed it.Ottmar Edenhofer, lead author of the IPCC’s fourth summary report released in 2007 candidly expressed the priority. Speaking in 2010, he advised, “One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. Instead, climate change policy is about how we redistribute de facto the world’s wealth.”Or, as U.N. climate chief Christina Figueres pointedly remarked, the true aim of the U.N.’s 2014 Paris climate conference was “to change the [capitalist] economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the Industrial Revolution.”That Paris conference agenda got a useful boost from U.S. government agency scientists at NASA and NOAA who conveniently provided “warmest years ever” claims. Both have histories of stirring overheated global warming stew pots with alarming and statistically indefensible claims of recent “record high” temperatures.http://www.climatedepot.com/2017/05/24/global-warming-is-not-about-the-science-un-admits-climate-change-policy-is-about-how-we-redistribute-the-worlds-wealth/Many recent science papers demolish the Greenhouse Gas theory of man-made global warming. See from China -Identification of the driving forces of climate change using the longest instrumental temperature recordNew research confirms the view of leading climate scientists and scholars that trace amounts of Co2 emissions are not destabilizing the planet. Co2 is essential plant food and therefore green energy.The authors Geli Wang & Peicai Yang and Xiuji Zhou are scientists at the CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCE and Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China 中国气象科学研究院ANTHROPOGENIC (human activity). The driving forces are“the El Niño–Southern Oscillation cycle and the Hale sunspot cycle, respectively.”The title of the study published in the prestigious NATURE Journal is: Identification of the driving forces of climate change using the longest instrumental temperature recordhttps://www.nature.com/articles/...Their study confirms THE DRIVING FORCES OF GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE ARE NATURALThe “driving forces” of climate change are natural and not Co2 plant food emissions. A new Chinese study confirms climate change comes from natural cycles. This research is based on the longest actual temperature data of more than 400 years from 1659 to 2013, including the period of anthropogenic warming.Sunspot intensity correlates with declining solar radiation.Sun Activity Has Collapsed to the Lowest in 9,300 years.AbstractThe identification of causal effects is a fundamental problem in climate change research. Here, a new perspective on climate change causality is presented using the central England temperature (CET) dataset, the longest instrumental temperature record, and a combination of slow feature analysis and wavelet analysis. The driving forces of climate change were investigated and the results showed two independent degrees of freedom —a 3.36-year cycle and a 22.6-year cycle, which seem to be connected to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation cycle and the Hale sunspot cycle, respectively. [Emphasis added]. Moreover, these driving forces were modulated in amplitude by signals with millennial timescales.James Matkin 
This research is very relevant and should make climate alarmists pause in their crusade against Co2 emissions from fossil fuels. Far too much focus on Co2 like a one trick pony in a big tent circus where solar radiation is a more compelling show. The thrust of recent research has demonstrated that climate changes continually and is determined by natural forces that humans have no significant control over. Many leading scientists have presented research of other "driving forces" and cautioned against the arrogance of many that "the science is settled." See Judith Curry of the Georgia Institute of Technology and blogger at Climate Etc. talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about climate change. Curry argues that climate change is a "wicked problem" with a great deal of uncertainty surrounding the expected damage as well as the political and technical challenges of dealing with the phenomenon. She emphasizes the complexity of the climate and how much of the basic science remains incomplete. The conversation closes with a discussion of how concerned citizens can improve their understanding of climate change and climate change policy.
http://www.econtalk.org/arc...https://www.nature.com/articles/...JAMES MATKIN•2017-08-23 10:03 PMThe great failure of the Paris accord is the failure to accept that the IPCC Al Gore hypothesis of anthropogenic warming is not settled science. Indeed, none of the predictions of doom have occurred. New research confirms the view of leading climate scientists and scholars that trace amounts of Co2 emissions are not destabilizing the planet. Co2 is essential plant food and therefore green energy. The “driving force” of climate change is natural and not Co2 plant food emissions. A new Chinese study confirms climate change comes from natural cycles. This research is based on the longest actual temperature data of more than 400 years from 1659 to 2013, including the period of anthropogenic warming. The authors Geli Wang & Peicai Yang and Xiuji Zhou are scientists at the CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCE and Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China 中国气象科学研究院 Their study confirms THE DRIVING FORCES OF GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE ARE NOT ANTHROPOGENIC (human activity). The driving forces are “the El Niño–Southern Oscillation cycle and the Hale sunspot cycle, respectively.” The title of the study published in the prestigious NATURE Journal is: Identification of the driving forces of climate change using the longest instrumental temperature record Identification of the driving forces of climate change using the longest instrumental temperature record This means that climate change cannot be stopped as Paris attendees believed. Co2 is very beneficial plant food and we need more not less. https://www.spectator.co.uk/2013... It is good news for civilization that the Paris targets are not being met around thttps://www.nature.com/news/prov...James Lovelock admits defeat in predicting the climate more than a couple of weeks.