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This article is based on the information most people don’t know outside Pakistan, and my prime intention is to show you what is happening behind the closed doors. This article is written on my observations of events and if you want to read one different aspect of CPEC, please read this article till end.The Dawn Article and Long Term PlanCPEC Master Plan is a Long Term Plan (LTP) for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. According to the Pakistani English-language news daily, Dawn, which has accessed the full report, the plan comprehensively outlines the Chinese goals in its ally's territory for the next decade and a half with the main focus being on agriculture. The plan lays out in detail what Chinese intentions and priorities are in Pakistan for the next decade and a half, details that have not been discussed in public far.Formation of the LTP was begun in November 2013 by Chinese Authorities. For the next two years, until December 2015, the Chinese Authorities worked different Government Institutions to develop a detailed plan to be implemented over the next 15 years, until the year 2030 that will open the doors for Chinese enterprises – private and public – to enter every area of Pakistan's economy. The report was first transmitted to the Government of Pakistan in June 2015 and Pakistan met their counterparts in Beijing on November 12th, 2015 and gave their feedback and finalized the draft on Dec 29th, 2015.To keep the report secret, the Pakistani government created two versions of the LTP (Long Term Plan). The full version is 231 pages long and drawn up by the Chinese Authorities in December 2015. The shortened version, dated February 2017, is 30 pages long and “contains only broad brushstroke descriptions of the various `areas of cooperation` and none of the details.” It is meant to be provided to the provincial governments in a bid to obtain their assent. The only provincial government that received the full version of the plan is the Punjab government.I have provided below the summary of CPEC Master plan if somebody interested in detailed report please check the following link.Exclusive: CPEC master plan revealedWhat's new in this report?If you watch any video on YouTube by a searching the keyword “CPEC Master Plan News Discussions”, you observe Pakistani Politicians are quite relaxed discussing this topic. No outrage, no concerns.Because they know the truth that many of these above-mentioned practices are quite old in Pakistan. Same kinds of land acquisition happening for many years with almost the same kind of Tax benefits.[1] Surprise it's a Pakistan Army. They run factories to produce and process Fertilizer, Cement, Meat, Food, Cereal, Seeds almost all the stuff mentioned in the report. They also run and operate Banks, Sugar Mills, Natural Gas, power generation, oil terminal operations, Housing Societies, financial services, healthcare, and education.[2]Pakistan Army runs these business entities under the trusts like Fauji foundation, Shaheen foundation, Bahria Foundation, Army Welfare Trust (AWT) and Defense Housing Authorities (DHAs).[3]Writing about the military in Pakistan can be risky business, almost no one reports against Pak Army inside Pakistan. The daring lady in the photo is Dr. Ayesha Siddiqa, she exposed Pakistan army's business practices and their commercial interests in detail in the book Military Inc.: Inside Pakistan's Military Economy.[4] This book is banned in Pakistan, she was labelled as a traitor, threatened with being tried for treason and practically hounded out of the country into temporary self-exile.[5] Even here on Quora, I have seen some articles got collapsed because they mentioned Ayesha Siddiqa and details of Pakistan Army's commercial interests.Dr. Siddiqa estimates the military’s net worth at more than £10 billion — roughly four times the total foreign direct investment generated by Islamabad in 2007, the army owns 12% of the country’s land, its holdings being most fertile soil in the Western Punjab. Two-thirds of that land is in the hands of senior current and former officials, mostly brigadiers, major-generals, and generals.[6][7][8] But critics said also that the Pakistani military keeps a lion's share of the country's budget and is not answerable to the civilian government over its expenditures.[9]Check this shocking Ronan Christian's answer on Pakistan ArmyIs everyone in Pakistan agreed on this report?As per the report, China initiated creating the draft in 2013, sometimes around Nawaz Sharif elected as a Prime Minister. In May 2015, during the visit of Xi Jinping, CPEC deal was signed[10] and the report was the first draft is transmitted to the Government of Pakistan around the same time in June 2015.There are two different Power Centers exists in Pakistan, Elected Government, and Pakistan Army. If any Govt. Minister or official face any question against Chinese Investments, they simply counter their critics by quoting “If no Chinese Investments, then who else? No one other than China interested in investing in Pakistan”. It might be the same kind of argument presented by Prime Minister to Army General while discussing this draft. With reduced of coalition fund and very less budget, General also didn't have any choice to accept the proposal.To make plan details secret from Provincial governments, the second draft was created and shared with no essential details. As per the details shared in Dawn article, Punjab government received the full version of the plan, and it might be possible that they took advantage of the situation to make some favorable changes in LTA.To make public happy, massive media engagement was started to promote the CPEC plan and used social media to spread the positive aspects. The promotional video's started floating on YouTube, the campaigns to promote project was started on Facebook and tweeter.Everyone was happy in Pakistan except some media culprits who smell the rat.What will change?In this report, the CPEC projects are often called as ‘demonstration projects', that means until now Pakistan Government is not provided full autonomy to China to purchase land and set up the economic zones by their own. 6500 acres of land allocated for Chinese enterprises to operate their own farms in Punjab doesn't count much, but the availability of water, perfect infrastructure, sufficient supply of energy and the capacity of self-service power, means it is the jackpot for China.It is not the case Pakistan don't have seed's processing and fertilizer plants in Pakistan, but it seems like they don't improve the quality of their farming techniques in last 70 years. If you check Indian side of Punjab, the state is growing enough crops which feed the entire India.[11] With the provision of seeds and other inputs, like fertilizer, credit, and pesticides, China is helping Pakistan to grow crops, it is good for Pakistan.China is doing investments like this in South America and Africa from years, it is a known practice. China is protecting itself against future food supply problems caused by climate change by buying or leasing large tracts of land in Africa and South America. Some experts are also pointing the drawback, is that the Chinese are introducing industrial agricultural practices that damage the soil, the water supply, and the rivers.[12]China will build planting and breeding bases, large storage, Meat and milk production, fertilizer plants, transportation system, fruit juice and jam plants, grain processing, precision fertilization, drip irrigation equipment and planting and harvesting machinery. But if you check Fauji foundation's businesses, they are already doing most of these things mentioned here. It smells like now Pakistani Army Industries are going to compete with Chinese counterparts.Is this a new East India Company?In other economic sectors such as household appliances, telecommunications, cement, and mining, Chinese companies would exploit their presence to expand market share and the plan also called for building infrastructure and developing a policy environment to facilitate the entry of Chinese companies.The project shows great interest in the textile industry, with the focus largely on yarn and coarse cloth. The reason, the plan says, is that the textile industry in Xinjiang has already attained higher levels of productivity. Chinese companies would also be offered preferential treatment with regard to “land, tax, logistics and services” as well as “enterprise income tax, tariff reduction and exemption and sales tax rate” incentives.This is the same kind of approach what British East India Company took centuries ago, get raw material from Pakistan, shipped [to China] for pennies & finished products will be purchased back [by Pakistan].There are no friends or enemies only interests.Taking on industries, a plan is to provide basic infrastructure first with Roads, Railways, Ports and Power Plants. The setup Industrial Base and factories for petrochemical, iron and steel, harbor industry, engineering machinery, trade processing and auto and auto parts. It sounds good for Pakistan.It is quite impressive to any Pakistani, but in reality, you are living in the 21st Century. Gulf Countries like Saudi Arabia, Iran, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are already started diversifying their businesses. They have started investing in their own countries to boost production.[13] If you take one example of Cement Industry which the most Pakistani thinks doing well in exports, Iran is making cheap and quality cement and even in Pakistan, cement manufacturers are urging the government to place anti-dumping duties on the Iranian cement.[14]Gulf countries are investing in India[15], but check why not enough investment in Pakistan. It is not cheap labor matters, skilled labor, regional security and financial capabilities also going to matter when you need investors. Some development indicators pointing that Bangladesh economy will be bigger than Pakistan in the next few years.[16] They are working very hard work no matter what bad conditions they faced.Few people argue that Once Chinese poor economy provided free land and labor to foreign investors and then suddenly Chinese economy started booming with trade and manufacturing industries. But time is changed since last 40 years, and with the dream of economic prosperity countries like Sri Lanka[17], Myanmar[18], Cambodia[19], Laos[20], Kenya[21], some African countries[22][23] are feeling the heat. China is running their industry on surplus capacity[24] and Chinese will not be going to shift their factory bases in such venerable area. China now dropped One Child Policy, and with increasing Industrial Robotics and Automation they have to ensure Job Security for their people as well.[25] Interestingly, on this Dawn article one wise guy named, IFTEKHAR MAHMOOD, mentioned it in his comment.Because of Free Trade agreement with China and cheaper Chinese goods, local industry in Pakistan already got hit very hard and the trade deficit is all time high.[26] Though I accept that China is providing Pakistan a chance to stand up but at the cost of very high interest rates, which will pass on to Pakistani people and businesses. Now only chance is to pay back the interests and do more hard work than developing countries like Bangladesh and Vietnam which share same business profiles and cheap labor like Pakistan do have.Lot of people in Pakistan pointing toward strategic friendship like production of JF-17, for those please check this Dan Rosenthal's answer on JF-17.Surveillance, Like China?A full system of monitoring and surveillance will be built in cities with 24-hour video recordings on roads and busy marketplaces for law and order is also good initiative, and China has the good experience and doing it for many years to keep an eye on their own citizens.[27] So we wish all the best for Pakistan to have this system with Great Firewall of China.[28] But the question is “Is it part of any big game which is coming soon?”Dissemination of Chinese cultureWhy “dissemination of Chinese culture” needs to distribute over broadcast TV? Does it like to be the same kind of approach taken place in Xinjiang? Pakistan always supports Muslims Rights around the world, but when it comes to China, they will shut their mouth, whenever questions raised. On the issues in Xinjiang like Ban on long beards and veils in Xinjiang[29], suppress Islamic cultural practices[30], Government employees and children under 18 are barred from attending mosques, bans Muslims from fasting Ramadan[31], Uyghur Muslims must pray in mosques that have a government-appointed imam[32], bans Islamic baby names[33], Pakistan always turn their blind eye on them.According to studies, more than 90% of all Pakistanis consider religion to be very important. Meanwhile, China to be the least religious country in the world.[34] It is interesting to imagine how people from both sides will mesh together with these diametrically opposed views on religion, in the religiously charged environment of Pakistan and we must imagine what kind of dissemination of Chinese culture going to spread through Broadcast TV.There are various factors affecting Pakistani politics, such as competing parties, religion, tribes, terrorists, and western intervention. The plan identifies politics and security as its major risks.Why this report is referring “politics and security” again and again, is this kind of conspiracy going on [Chinese Takeover, blah blah blah]. Politics is always affected by competing parties, so does a report suggesting some kind of authoritarian rule going to impose in Pakistan? So many conspiracy theories! Does it indicates China also needs to control Pakistan’s State driven Politics for smooth execution of these projects. Is this beginning to Chinese interference in the regional politics of Pakistan.Gwadar the WonderlandIt is a great plan to have a long belt of coastal enjoyment industry in Gwadar that includes yacht, wharf, cruise, nightlife, hot spring hotels and water sports Gwadar in next 15 years. Before completing these entertainment centers, Pakistan must provide first basic necessities which were they failed to provide in Gwadar in last 70 years. Gwadar is not connected to National Electric Grid so electricity is supplied by Iran, there are severe water shortage problems, people go to Karachi for the treatment of even minor diseases, and there are not enough schools and colleges to educate the youth of the region. [35]The Great Chinese Money CowThe primary financial risk in Pakistan, according to the long-term plan drawn up by China Development Bank, is politics and security. Efforts will be made to furnish free and low-interest loans to Pakistan But, Pakistan's federal and involved local governments should also bear part of the responsibility for financing.Low interests loans for $2 billion, China's maximum annual FDI, $1 billion ceiling for preferential loans and $1.5 billion ceiling for non-preferential loans which equals $4.5 Billion per year that's good for Pakistan.The World Bank in its latest report projected that fiscal deficit was projected to be 4.8 percent in FY2017 sum up to Rs1.24 trillion [$118 billion][36] along with $28 billion Trade Deficit[37] plus $5 billion Interests of current CPEC loans per year[38].For the debt-ridden Pakistan is that the plan clears this is no free ride. The report suggested the inflation will next big risk, which the plan says has averaged 11.6% over the past six years. A high inflation rate means a rise of project-related costs and a decline in profits. Plus Pakistan has to pay all the returns to Chinese Currency, there no easy out like printing money.Currently, with 66% of Pakistan's total revenue consume on loan servicing[39], falling exports[40] and Remittances[41], declining Tax Revenue[42], decreasing Foreign direct investment[43][44], forget CPEC loans how Pakistan pay off their existing loans is a big question. Nowadays China is providing vital doses of bailout packages to keep Pakistan Economy alive[45], hope China will bear rest of down payments as well to prove they are the all-weather friend of Pakistan.If you need full details and calculations of CPEC, please refer Nirav Bhatt's answer on CPECWar Mongering MindsetSince the independence, Pakistan adopted National Security State policy which states nation's security comes before all the things.[46] This mindset has been trying to secure the state but in the process has generated tremendous insecurity among the people and leaders. In 70 years nothing is changed, check this example.Check this recent incident, this guy is Khwaja Asif, who is the Minister of Defence of Pakistan. On December 25, 2016, the story broke out, titled “Israeli Defense Minister: If Pakistan sends ground troops to Syria on any pretext, we will destroy this country with a nuclear attack.” Without thinking and confirming the news, defense minister tweeted with a scathing post directed at Israel “Israeli def min threatens nuclear retaliation presuming Pak role in Syria against Daesh,” adding that “Israel forgets Pakistan is a Nuclear state too.” The story turned out to be fake, even got the Israeli defense minister’s name wrong in the story.[47]This is not the one incident, with the North Korean type approach, he threatens to use Nukes multiple times.[48] Any surprise why FDI is not coming to Pakistan.In other hand China is moving away from War Mongering Mindset, they are becoming more focus on trade and development. China never involved in any war against Vietnam in 1979. The fact is any war could impact China's economy with very severe damage. They are too floating through the economic crisis as their economy is slowing down and debt to GDP ratio is now raised to 277%.[49] In one study said that in the case of any war scenario, if weak opponent country [such as North Korea] managed to blow up three gorges dam,[50] it wiped out their massive population with all the developed cities on the shore of Yangtze river. This will take back China to at least 20 years behind and will take a lot of time to recover the economy.Pakistan always needs super powers who protect them to protect them, and they paid a lot of cost of their “War Mongering Mindset”. From years they relied on the United States was there, now on China. To protect their investments China needs to control Pakistan which was the United States failed to do in past. We have to see in future, how these players will play with each other. This interesting game is between the Masters of Trade vs the Masters of Double Game.Why Half Measures?Pakistan has always played the double game with their counterparts, they cheated Americans by making the partnership with North Korea and exchange Nuclear Weapons with Missiles[51], supporting Terrorist group Haqqani Networks in Afghanistan war[52], providing terrorist safe havens in Pakistan.[53] They always remembered for their half measures, and recent track record also states that.This plan might finally arm the Pakistani government with the clout to reduce the religious influence in the society, but the reality is the National Action Plan they have started to reduce religious radicalization is still not implemented on the ground.[54] Despite Pakistani army's recent operations against terrorists, Pakistan still facing terrorist attacks. Many experts raised the questions on the efficiency of these operations.[55] It is also another example of such kinds of half measures, might be the way to counter future Chinese ambitions.Dawn Leaks 2There are a lot of people in Pakistan raising the question about CPEC, especially reporters like Dr. Farrukh Saleem and Khurram Hussain who wrote the same Dawn article. Mubashir Luqman already revealed these details 6 months ago, but everyone's perception was that he is spreading anti-government agenda.[56][57]Reacting to the leak, Pakistan's planning, and development minister Ahsan Iqbal Chaudhry tweeted: “I am appalled by Dawn Leak II. CPEC Long Term Plan story based on working docs 2 distort final draft taken up with NDRC yesterday in Beijing. CDB study referred to as Long Term Plan in Dawn story is factually incorrect. Definite angling in a story to malign CPEC by promoting fears.” [58]What is this Game?With CPEC the situation looks like a flowing river which looks calm and cool on the surface but nobody knows what volatile stuff are going inside. Here the game is played by lots of players; Pakistan Government, Provincial Government, Pakistan Army, Chinese Establishment, Media, State and Non-State Actors.For Politicians CPEC is the opportunity to grab the lot money, in one of the news programs, Pro-Government Reporter like Najam Sethi openly quoted that 10% kickbacks are standard in Pakistan and CPEC projects interest rates are actually higher.[59]Pakistan Army also has their influence in their National Politics.[60] Through this plan Pakistan Government trying to introduce Chinese influence in Pakistan’s politics. Now the question is, will Pakistan army accept the Chinese hegemony on their National Politics and dominance of Chinese Industries.Provincial Governments are trying to get the more opportunities from China, they are preferring to talk and deal directly with Chinese Regime. It will also reduce the influence of Pakistan Government and Pakistan Army on provinces. Will Government and Army accept this?Pakistan always involved in proxy wars with their neighbours (using bad terrorists and good terrorists policy) to protect their national interests. Does China force Pakistan to stick to their commitments in fight against all form of terrorism to achieve stability?Before signing the deal, during the OBOR summit on 15th May 2017 this report was leaked. Who is responsible for this, why this time was chosen, we have only guesses. But the game is still going on.What is Pakistan Government hiding?Two years ago, we only know that energy and infrastructure projects were going to establish through the CPEC, now information is out on these ‘demonstration projects’. Nobody knows in public what exactly at interest rates are and on what conditions these deals were been made.Now the report is officially out, then also why Pakistani Government doesn't make the final draft public, what is hidden agenda they are hiding?This article shows you the second side of coin, quite unknown to people outside Pakistan. If you like this answer, please share it on social media.Thanks for reading!!Footnotes[1] A spotlight on the Pakistani military's corruption | Asia | DW | 22.04.2016[2] 50 commercial entities being run by armed forces[3] 50 commercial entities being run by armed forces[4] Book on military’s business empire launched[5] IN UNIFORM – AND IN BUSINESS - Asian Affairs[6] The military millionaires who control Pakistan Inc | The Spectator[7] Pakistani army's '$20bn' business[8] Military Inc: An economy within an economy - Times of India[9] A spotlight on the Pakistani military's corruption | Asia | DW | 22.04.2016[10] Economic corridor in focus as Pakistan, China sign 51 MoUs[11] Punjab is set for record rice production this year, but at a heavy price[12] Food supply fears spark China land grab[13] Economic Diversification In The Gulf[14] Local cement industry losing competitiveness[15] India-Gulf Ties in the Spotlight[16] 45 yrs on, Bangladesh beats Pakistan in many indices[17] Sri Lanka's Hambantota Port And The World's Emptiest Airport Go To The Chinese[18] Is China blackmailing Myanmar, like it did with Sri Lanka?[19] Is China blackmailing Myanmar, like it did with Sri Lanka?[20] Laos And China Come to Terms on Loan Interest Rate For Railway Project[21] Is China railroading Kenya into debt?[22] http://africanbusinessmagazine.com/sectors/finance/africas-debt-spree-precursor-new-debt-crisis/[23] How Africa Rising turned into Africa Falling again[24] Making Sense of China’s Surplus and the “Ratchet Effect”[25] US automakers' Chinese factories are now mostly robots[26] Beyond CPEC[27] Big data, meet Big Brother: China invents the digital totalitarian state | The Economist[28] What is the biggest hoax you've ever heard about the CPEC?[29] China Uighurs: Ban on long beards, veils in Xinjiang [30] China's Uighur oppression runs deeper than Islamophobia[31] China bans Muslims from fasting Ramadan in Xinjiang[32] Killings in Xinjiang’s Guma Sparked by Anger at Prayer Restrictions[33] China bans Islamic baby names in Muslim-majority Xinjiang[34] Roads and religion: How CPEC will pit Pakistan against itself[35] CPEC promises the moon but Gwadar just wants water - The Express Tribune[36] Budget deficit surges to Rs1.24 trillion[37] Trade gap widens by 35pc to $20.2bn[38] Pakistan's 'Silk Road' repayments to peak at around $5 billion a year - chief economist[39] Debt servicing eats up 66pc of tax money[40] Falling Exports[41] Declining remittances[42] Low interest rates lead to fall in govt revenues[43] Where’s CPEC in our FDI?[44] Declining FDI[45] China provided $1.2bn in loans to bail out Pakistan: report[46] Pakistan: The Security State[47] Reading Fake News, Pakistani Minister Directs Nuclear Threat at Israel[48] Five times Pakistan defence minister Khwaja Asif bragged about nukes, made outrageous statement against India[49] Stung by debt, China's economic growth to slow to 6.5 percent in 2017: Reuters poll[50] Bombing Everything, Gaining Nothing[51] The Long History of the Pakistan-North Korea Nexus[52] Opinion | Time to Put the Squeeze on Pakistan[53] Pakistan continues to be safe haven for terrorists: Pentagon report says Haqqani Network biggest threat[54] Not really a plan[55] Has Pakistan's Zarb-e-Azb military operation failed? | Asia | DW | 02.09.2016[56] Khara Sach with Mubashir Luqman 19 December 2016 | CPEC Special - Channel 24 News[57] Khara Sach | Reality of CPEC Projects | 11 January 2017 | 24 News HD[58] Ahsan Iqbal slams Dawn's CPEC 'master plan' article, calls it Dawn Leaks II - The Express Tribune[59] Aapas Ki Baat - 16 May 2017[60] Pakistan's Military-Democracy Complex