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AlabamaBiden will win big. Bloomberg and Bernie will get delegates.2. ArkansasBloomberg is slightly favored but Biden could win it. Sanders will get delegates as well.3. CaliforniaBernie will win. Biden is very likely to get more than 15% i.e earn delegates.4. ColoradoBernie will likely win. It will be shocking if he loses. Biden unlikely to win but never say never. He will get delegates most likely though.5. Dems abroadBernie wins. Maybe no one else gets delegates but small in # so no big deal.6. MaineBernie wins. Warren gets delegates. If Biden gets even one, he is having a fine day.7. MassachusettsIt will be embarrassing for Warren to lose but she is likely to lose to Bernie. Biden may gets delegates as well.8. MinnesotaBernie and Warren will do well. Klobuchar should get a delegate or two here. Biden may get over the 15% mark too (Barely)9. OklahomaBiden is favored but Warren and Bernie are tough to beat here.10. TennesseeThe VP favored. Bernie gets delegates11 TexasBernie slightly favored. Biden can very well win it.12. UtahBernie wins - maybe all the delegates. But Biden could get 15% ie qualify for delegates.13. VermontLets not be silly here14. VirginiaBiden favored. Bernie could win. There is even a chance of two winners. Biden winning more delegates and Bernie winning the popular vote.15. American SamoaCould Tulsi Gabbard win it? She is from there. I would not be shocked if she gets a delegate. But Bernie is favored.

Golden State Warriors: The standing Champions are not losing much this off-season so their dominance should continue.Cleveland Cavaliers: Lebron has won the Eastern conference finals 7 times in a row and shows no signs of stopping.Boston Celtics: The Celtics had the best overall record in the East last year and have the resources necessary to truly challenge LebronSan Antonio Spurs: Have some aging stars, but have been consistently in the top five teams in the West for several yearsHouston Rockets: They were the third best overall last year and they added Chris Paul. However they gave a few valuable players to get him.Washington Wizards: The Wizards had a horrible start last year, however the had one of the best second halfs last season.Toronto Raptors: Not much is changing here. They are usually a pretty good team.Milwaukee Bucks: A great overall team that is continually getting better.Oklahoma Thunder: Hopefully the GM gets some better shooters around Westbrook, either way they should be in the top third of the NBA.Los Angeles Clippers: Losing Chris Paul sucks, but they still have a pretty good roster, and hopefully not fall too far.Overall all I expect the Warriors, Cavaliers, Thunder, Rockets, and the Spurs to stay the same. I expect the Celtics, Wizards, and Bucks to do better. I expect the Raptors and Clippers to do worse.EDIT: Due to the Thunder acquiring Paul George I think that moves them up a few places and I would now replace the Clippers with the TimberWolves due to Jimmy Butler moving there.

I think it was a strong performance. It was clear that Clinton was mollified by Michigan, not because of what it actually did to the numbers but because of the effect it might have, despite what the media says, Sanders does not need to win every state to come by double digits; the Super delegates are not owned by Clinton and, aside from her husband (yes, Bill gets a vote,) could switch sides if it is apparent that Clinton is far from the juggernaut they expected her to be. He got an ovation at the end of his closing speech and Clinton smiled broadly which is a nervous habit of hers. If Sanders wins in Florida then the race is back on for real. But he has to win big. Here's why.There are no winner take all states in the Democratic party mechanics but that is more than made up for by the corrupt system of Super delegates. At any rate, I have a different take on it than the mainstream media does and here’s why.Let’s look at where Hilary has won.Alabama: Safe RepublicanArkansas: Safe RepublicanGeorgia: Likely Republican (They have not voted Democrat since 1992.)Iowa: Swing State. Again, this was a tie, in the Iowa caucuses of Feb. 1, Clinton won, netting 49.9 percent of the vote compared to Sanders' 49.6 percent. She earned 23 delegates to Sanders' 21.Louisiana: Safe RepublicanMassachusetts: Safe Democrat, but Clinton barely won this. Clinton's 50.1 percent of the vote earned her 46 delegates compared to Sanders' 48.7 percent and his 45 delegates.Mississippi: Safe RepublicanNevada: Swing StateSouth Carolina: Safe RepublicanTennessee: Safe RepublicanTexas: Safe RepublicanVirginia: Swing State.Now Hilary did not choose this order of states so it’s not her fault but it clearly conferred a huge advantage upon her in two ways.Her overwhelming support among African Americans in the south could be harnessed2) She could turn the early victories into a winning narrative thus knocking out the competition early in the race.However, what we are seeing here is that Clinton does well in states that will not vote Democrat is a general election. Of her 12 wins to date 7 of them are safe, in most cases very safe, Republican states. One, Georgia is ‘likely Republican. So in a General election, we can ignore 8 of her wins of the bat although she won decisive victories in the Caucuses and Primaries here.We are left with three Swing states.Nevada. Clinton won by 52.6 to 47.3, earning 20 delegates to Sanders' 15.Iowa. As noted this was a tie. Clinton won, netting 49.9 percent of the vote compared to Sanders' 49.6 percent. She earned 23 delegates to Sanders' 21.Virginia: On March 1 Clinton won by nearly 30 points, 64.3 percent to Sanders' 35.2 percent. She earned 62 delegates compared to Sanders' 33. Big victory.Still, these are swing states and Clinton has little to brag about aside from Virginia which, before Obama hadn’t voted democrat since 1964.Now, let’s look at Sander’s wins.Colorado: Swing State, Sen. Bernie Sanders beat Clinton by nearly 19 points in Colorado, 59 percent to 40.3 percent. Sanders earned 38 delegates, and Clinton nabbed 28.Kansas: Safe Republican, Bernie Sanders won the Kansas caucuses on March 5, earning 23 delegates. Clinton picked up 10 delegates.Maine: Safe Democrat, on March 6, Bernie Sanders won the Maine caucuses and with it 25 delegatesMichigan: Likely Democrat, Bernie Sanders upset Hillary Clinton in the Michigan primary and gained 65 delegates. Clinton came away with 58.Minnesota: Likely Democrat: Sanders got 61.6 percent of the vote compared to Clinton's 38.4 percent. Sanders earned 46 delegates and Clinton netted 31.Maine: Safe Republican, Sanders earned 54.8 percent of the vote to Clinton's 45.2 percent.New Hampshire: Swing State, Sen. Bernie Sanders beat Hillary Clinton 60.4 to 38 percent on Feb. 27. Sanders earned 15 delegates to Clinton's 9.Oklahoma: Safe Republican, Sanders won by 10 points.Vermont: Safe Democrat, OK, home field advantage but Sanders won hands down, earning 86.1 percent of the vote compared to Clinton's 13.6 percent. Sanders won all 16 delegates.We have fewer wins here but what we are seeing is that of the two Safe Democrat seats Sanders won both of them. Having said that, they were both ‘local wins’ so it does not help us much. There were also two ‘Likely Democrat wins, Michigan, where every poll was way off the mark and Minnesota where he won by a landslide. The swing states of Colorado and New Hampshire were also decisive wins for Sanders. As for the Safe republican seats, I think they are, as with Clinton’s wins in such states, less relevant.So what can we learn from this picture.The sad news is not much.But then, the reason I’m writing this post is that ‘not much,’ is not the current media narrative we’re hearing.The truth is that Clinton has proven one thing. She does well in the South in states that mostly vote Republican in General elections. Leaving those states behind though, and Clinton is doing badly, very badly. Sanders has won everything North of Oklahoma (including Oklahoma,) with the exception of a tie in Massachusetts, a tie in Iowa, a five-point lead in Nevada and a convincing victory in South Carolina.For Sanders we have yet to see how well he will fare. Breaking even with Clinton in Northern states will not do. He needs convincing wins. He’s had them, but we can’t use Vermont or New Hampshire as litmus tests.So we have to wait. Polling in the USA, is bloody awful. When they tell you that Clinton is for example, ahead 13.5 points in California, that’s taken from polls that stretch all the way back to September. I think the race is much closer than that and Sanders may well take the state by a large margin.Clinton has not won and judging by her demeanor last night, I think she knows it. The tests were supposed to be behind her by now when in fact they are well ahead of her. She looked somewhat defeated last night and I think she knows that if the polls as badly wrong elsewhere with swings of 20 points, Sanders will win. I'm with the Huffington Post on the assertion that Hillary Clinton will not be permitted to win the Democratic nomination using super-delegates. 5 Reasons the Clinton-Sanders Race Is Much, Much Closer Than You ThinkYou can follow me on TwitterGrownmangrumbles (@Grownmangrumble) | Twitter