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Is the United States in decline?
I don't think the U.S. is in decline. I'll show you the answers from a netizen on ChinaZhihu's website.Here is the original answer.If there is any problem in translation, please forgive me.美国是否在衰退? - 知乎When everyone sings down the United States, I am not the same. If I disagree with inclusion, I just sing down a few different answers, representing only my personal views. This article may be a lot of charts or analysis data and conclusions. If I don't bother to look at it, I will come to the conclusion that I personally feel that the United States has not declined but is still widening the gap with other countries. If you read this answer carefully, you may take a breath of cool air. However, before answering the question, it needs to be explained that the widening gap in the United States mainly erodes the advantages that developed countries such as Britain, France, Germany and Japan once contended with, even monopoly industries, and also relies on the collapse of the Soviet Union. For the time being, there is no contradiction between the development of the United States and that of China.Here I would like to summarize my own thoughts in advance. I have always thought about why the United States is strong: I once thought that the strength of the United States was based on its financial/dollar hegemony, also thought that the strength of the United States was based on its military hegemony, and also thought that the strength of the United States was based on its military hegemony. Based on his superior geographical position and the view of fire across the shore of World War II, but after thinking about it, I found that the United States had become the world's first industrial country around 1900. Without the large-scale construction of higher education talents, the United States would not be able to absorb and transform the achievements of the European Industrial Revolution.In other words, my core argument is that the logical order of thinking between higher education and talent, combined with my previous thinking, has accumulated the following: Does the United States have financial hegemony - > is it that the United States has a large number of talents in finance, economics, international trade and other fields?The United States has military hegemony to escort financial hegemony - > Is it the United States with military strategy, military command, military equipment manufacturing and other fields of talent?Is the US military equipment leading the escort for US military hegemony - > an enterprise with a large number of military science and technology industries?The United States has a large number of military science and technology industry enterprises escorting military equipment - > Is it the United States military industry enterprises to provide a large number of IC, communications, radio frequency, digital images, materials, physics, chemistry, automation, machinery and other fields of advanced education personnel?American military enterprises provide a large number of higher education talents to escort military equipment R&D - > Whether need to meet two points at the same time: sub-node 1: Is the United States adequate financial allocation in the field of defense? Sub-node 2: Are there enough technological enterprises in the United States to accumulate technology in light and heavy industries?Extension of Sub-Node 1: The U.S. defense sector has adequate financial allocation to escort U.S. military enterprises - > There are enough excellent enterprises in the U.S. to provide huge tax revenue for the U.S. government?Extension of sub-node 1: There are enough excellent enterprises in the United States to provide huge tax revenue for the U.S. government to escort the U.S. financial allocation - > Is it that the United States has Pfizer, Intel, AMD, GE, Disney, Google, Microsoft and other top enterprises to achieve huge revenue in the world market?Extension of sub-node 1: There are enough top-level enterprises in the United States with huge revenue to escort U.S. tax revenue - > Is it possible for top-level enterprises in the United States to recruit top-level higher education talents in pharmacy, chemistry, IC semiconductor, materials, stereo imaging, 3D design, system research and development, drive design and other fields?Extension of sub-node 2: Are there enough technological enterprises in the United States to accumulate technology in light, medium and heavy industries - > Are they top enterprises in the United States able to recruit top-level higher education talents in pharmacy, chemistry, IC semiconductor, materials, stereo imaging, 3D design, system research and development, drive design and other fields?At this point, sub-node 1 and sub-node 2 complete the convergence. Let's continue.The United States has many fields of higher education talent for the United States top enterprises to recruit talent Escort - > Is it to meet the following two points at the same time: Branch 1: the United States has a better educational strength and system? Branch 2: The majority of all higher education graduates in the United States, including local graduates, are willing to stay in the United States for development?Branch 1: The United States has a better educational strength and system to escort higher education talents with many fields in the United States - > Is it the United States has higher education (education ontology research) talents with a sound educational system?Branch 2: Most of the graduates of higher education in the United States, including native ones, are willing to stay in the United States and develop into the escort of higher education talents with many fields in the United States - > Is it the social system in which the United States has higher education talents in social sciences, humanities, law and other fields, including equality between the United States and foreign countries, social welfare and racial differences? If the field of vision can not be perfected absolutely, how can we narrow the gap between foreign students and their home countries as far as possible?Sub-node 1 and sub-node 2 completed a convergence at this time, and I will not continue to enumerate later, starting my arguments and arguments.1. The strength of the United States is fundamental. As one of the most important educational talents in the world, the United States may not have one. It has been building higher education crazily since its founding members. Before the founding of the United States of America, there were only nine institutions of higher learning in the United States. On the 100th National Day, the total number of institutions of higher learning in the United States reached more than 700 (an average of 7 in a year). When the 200th anniversary of the founding of the United States was celebrated, the total number of institutions of higher learning exceeded 2800. Today, there are more than 4810 institutions of higher learning in the United States. In 1862, the United States Federal Government passed the Morrill Land Grant Act, which pushed American higher education into a new dimension of educational support. Soon, the United States absorbed, transformed and re-innovated science and technology from Europe by virtue of the talents of higher education, and rapidly developed to the top. It is these higher education talents who have laid the cornerstone of many American enterprises, such as machinery, electricity, medicine, aviation, aerospace, military industry, automobile, medical equipment, integrated circuits and chips. On the macro level, the economic talents of the United States have established the Bretton Woods monetary system, and the military talents of the United States have established a rapid response. Pan-layout of the global military strategic base and so on.At the end of the last century, Harvard, Yale, Stanford in the United States, Dongda in Japan, Oxford and Cambridge in the United Kingdom, Moscow in the Soviet Union, Paris in France, Munich in Germany, Zurich University in Switzerland, etc. were among the top universities in the world. But now? The United States is almost monopolistic in higher education. Take the ranking of higher education scientific research output that does not include other indicators such as international students as an example:The most frightening is also the extremely high retention rate of talents, that is, a large number of talents who go to the United States for higher education remain in the development of American technology enterprises. In 2015, the United States awarded 55,000 doctorates, 75% in science and engineering, of which 14,000 were foreign nationals, and half were Chinese, Indian and Korean nationals. Statistics on the Intention of Foreign Doctors to Stay in the United States - The number of people who want to stay in the United States is more than three times that of people who want to leave the United States. In 2015, the overall proportion of foreign Doctors in the United States exceeded 70%. The proportion of students who continue to study or work in the United States after graduation is as follows:On the other hand, a data is provided. The source of Undergraduates in seven top science and engineering universities in China (Qingbei + East China Five) is also the reference for the selection of the best group of students in China's higher education.Tsinghua University:Peking University:Zhejiang university:A total of 1 416 undergraduate graduates in 2016 went abroad to study, accounting for 25.21% of the total number of graduates.Shanghai Jiaotong University:Nanjing University :I won't list the remaining two schools. It's a bit painful to translate pictures into words.Reading the first point above,Many of China's top talents have been attracted. What about your country?, you may already have a preliminary understanding of talent cultivation and attraction in the United States. The following is part of the acceleration of industry in the United States due to better higher education talent.2. Pharmaceutical, Medical and Medical IndustriesFirst of all, the top-notch pharmaceutical industry. Among the 24 top pharmaceutical companies in the world, the United States is far ahead with 12. There are 16 top 50 pharmaceutical companies selected by the United States, which can be said to be basically at the top. American pharmaceutical companies are well-known for their high investment in R&D, with an average R&D/income of about 15-25%, compared with Chinese pharmaceutical companies, which generally do not exceed 3% and modern pharmaceuticals do not exceed 10%. In the last century, the Anglo-French Druid Troika could compete with the United States in medicine, especially GlaxoSmithKline, which was once the world's strongest pharmaceutical company. But now:Then the medical equipment industry, the United States in the world's top 10 manufacturers of medical equipment, 7, GE, Medtronic, Johnson & Johnson and other enterprises are very strong, such as Johnson & Johnson disposable ultrasound knife in many developing countries hospitals will be used 5-10 times.Medical industry, needless to say, almost all of the top students in the United States have chosen to study medicine, ranking the world's top medical institutions.At the same time, the United States, with the FDA as its core, has achieved both large-scale double-blind clinical testing and some speed-up for high-quality and cutting-edge drugs. The global proportion of innovative drugs on the market is as follows, which is only 35% in the last century in the United States, of course, the first one at that time. The fundamental reason for this change is that the speed and ability of R&D of U.S. drug companies have widened the gap with other countries. Some people in the industry once joked that the next generation of targeted drugs in the United States has not yet been resistant to drugs. Come out. Here's the world share of innovative drugs in the United StatesOnly six years after the advent of the first generation of ALK drugs, Pfizer has successfully developed the third generation of ALK.By the way, I won't mention the latter. Many countries in Europe, Japan and other countries have realized that the gap between their talents and the United States is widening. Because Europe, Japan and the United States are still in the same camp for the time being, they are also desperately trying to enjoy the dividend of the elite talents in the United States. There are too many reasons. There is a region in the United States called Cambridge, not the British one. The United States has the richest medical resources, because there are Harvard University and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, there are Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical College under the three general hospitals and other top hospitals. In other words, there are the top medical talents here, especially the newly graduated students who have the lowest cost to recruit. As a result, Switzerland's Roche Heavy Gold ($46.8 billion) acquisition of the former American cancer giant Genentech Company, with its cancer research, has tasted tremendous sweetness. It rushed to Top3, the world pharmaceutical company, and continued to set up a pharmaceutical R&D center in Marlborough, Boston, to recruit students. Novartis Switzerland, GSK UK and other companies have also established R&D centers in Waltham, Boston. Safino, France, succeeded in becoming the top 10 in the world by acquiring the former American medical giant Jianzan, and continues to expand its R&D centers here just like Roche. Japan's second tier pharmaceutical companies, such as Takeda, have also taken root here to ensure that they can use American talent to keep up with the first tier of the United States.3. Semiconductor IndustryThe United States has six top 10 companies in the world. In 2017, American semiconductor companies accounted for 46% of global sales. In 2018, U.S. wafer-free chip companies accounted for 68% of the global market share.Without comparison, there is no conclusion about the trend. Here are the changes of semiconductor enterprises in recent decades.4. IT IndustryOperating system aspectDesktop PC Operating System: The only competitor of WIN7 (65%) is WIN10 (17%), the rest are WINXP (12%) and MAC (6%). All of the above are products of American companies.Mobile Operating System: Android and iOS accounted for 98.2%, Windows Phone was the third most expensive but only 0.73%. All of the above are products of American companies. Software servicesA lot of people may not contact, feel that the software does not matter ah, not the system and APP, China also has IQY APP and Fighting Fish ah. How to say, this software is not the other software. A large number of software are used in computing, modeling, industrial design, signal processing, etc. It plays an extremely important role in scientific research and engineering. Take engineering design as an example, everyone knows what civil engineering is, but design can not be separated from ANSYS (USA, FEA) software, ABAQUS (USA, non-linear finite element analysis software), which are the most famous industrial design software. ANSYS software pays attention to the expansion of application fields, covering fluid and electromagnetic fields. There are a wide range of research fields such as multi-physical field coupling. ABAQUS focuses on structural mechanics and related fields. In addition to the non-linear solution software, there are Marc (USA, MSC) and so on.In addition to the above, you may have heard of CAD, MATLAB, Photoshop, PR and other software, all of which are products of American companies. China's chip design includes several large chip factories, which are inseparable from American Cadence and Synopsys. These two relationships are somewhat similar to Intel and AMD. Domestic chip companies buy Cadence and Synopsys. Usage rights are purchased for the longest period of time, that is, fear of being sanctioned by the United States or how.Now you probably understand that software refers to those critical software services that are used in a lot of scientific research and engineering, without which a lot of work can not be carried out.5. Aerospace IndustryAerospace has always been the integration of a country's most sophisticated technology, many years ago, American space is not lonely, Maozi and ESA play with the United States. Now the United States is so bored that it can only play with itself.NASA is undoubtedly the strongest Space Research Institute in the United States. What about engineering?ULA, a joint venture company of Boeing, USA, mainly produces Delta IV rocket, Delta IV heavy rocket and Cosmos 5 rocket. ULA has the strongest hydrogen-oxygen rocket engine RS series (invisible afterwards). The overall success rate of ULA is more than 95%, and that of Delta IV rocket is 100%. Now ULA in the United States is fully developing the next generation of Fire Rocket.Below is the Delta 4 Heavy RocketSpaceX, one of the many companies in the United States, is a technology madman named Musk (the owner of Tesla, if you don't know him). Having Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy Rocket, Falcon Heavy Rocket is the most powerful heavy rocket in the world, but also the cheapest heavy rocket. SpaceX is the only company in the world with large rocket recovery technology.Here's the Heavy FalconULA has the world's best hydrogen and oxygen engine RS series, SpaceX has the world's best methane engine Raptor series, is the world's only full flow staged combustion cycle liquid oxygen engine, SpaceX also has the world's most reliable and inexpensive liquid oxygen kerosene engine Merlin series, SpaceX has been completed in more than two years. It has become a remarkable success in 49 successive launches.The Raptor engine is as followsU.S. Boeing, ULA is a joint venture between Loma and Boeing, and Boeing itself has an aerospace subsidiary. The company is working hard to develop a super rocket, SLS, that surpasses Saturn V. Once the rocket is flying, it will be a milestone for the United States to surpass itself. Here are the SLS under constructionBut it is interesting to note that competition within the United States has become intense. SpaceX is developing a BFR rocket, whose performance parameters surpass SLS in an all-round way. If SLS is 30 years ahead of other countries, the gap between success of BFR is amazing. The thrust of SLS is 4000 tons, but the BFR design target is 8000 tons. BFR:Apart from ULA, Boeing and SpaceX, the blue origin of the United States also has space ambitions.Blue origin in the United States, the current progress of blue origin is slower than the above three, but there are also excellent progress. The new Glen rocket engine BE-4, designed by Blue Origin, has completed full-power test run.Engines are the most difficult part of a large rocket to conquer. Maybe the first flight of the New Glenn rocket will take place in the next two years.In addition, the United States has American Orbital Science Corporation (40% of the interceptor missile market, 55% of the small communications satellite market and 60% of the small launch vehicle market), Sierra Nevada Mountain Company (small space shuttle), Bigelow Space Company (the main product space station, the largest six times the international space station), XCOR Astronautics Corporation. Division (Suborbital Spacecraft), Virgin Galaxy, Rocketlab and so on.知乎视频6. Aviation IndustryTen of the world's top civil aircraft companies, the United States occupies five. Boeing, as the world's number one airline, occupies more than 50% of the market share, followed by 30% of French Airbus, in addition to the United States there are Gulf Stream, Senas and other small and medium-sized aircraft well-known companies.The United States is the second largest aeronautical giant, and General Motors is in the absolute dominant position in the market. GE9X engine, the landmark product, is the top aeronautical engine at present. General Motors has 40% market share, followed by Ronald Ronald, the United Kingdom, with 22% market share. Pratt & Whitney has a 9% market share, and its F135 engine developed for the F35 in 2005 is probably the strongest engine in fighter aircraft.At the same time, with its terrible industrial manufacturing capability, F135 engines can produce 130 units a year. F135 engines:In the early years, V2500/RB211/D-30KP-2 and other engines in other countries were not significantly weaker than those in the United States at the same time, but now this has fallen into a situation where the gap is widening.Boeing Aircraft with GE9X:F35 vertical takeoff and landing:7. Biological IndustryThe United States continues the momentum of widening disparities in other areas.In the United States, Amgen Enjin, Gilead Sciences Geely, Biogen Idec Biogene, Celgene Sell Gene, Allergan and Regeneron rank in the world TOP10.In addition to bio-research companies, the United States has further expanded its monopoly position in bio-related agents, materials, instruments and other related enterprises, such as Invitrogen, Amresco, Gibco, MP, BD, Pierce, Sigma and so on. Biological equipment: Kodak, Thermo Fisher, Gilson, Bio-rad and so on. Thermo, in particular, has great advantages in centrifuges, quantitative analysis sensors and other fields.Thermo centrifuge:8. Economic aspectsThe United States is the only country with a population of over 100 million in the top 23 GDP per capita, 24th EditionIn finance textbooks, it has been mentioned that the stock market can be used as a barometer of a country's economic strength.9. Military aspectsLet's not go into details in this regard. Two examples are given: years ago, the small partners of F16/F15 included JAS-39, Gripen NG, Rafale, Typhoon, Mirage 2000, MiG-35, Su 30SM, Su 33, Su 34, Su 35, Fighter-10B, Fighter-11B and so on. Now F22 (1997)/F35 (2006) has been produced on a large scale (F22 184 + 8 test machines / F35 totals 380 in the world) for more than 20 years and more than 10 years, which can not be compared with F22 (1997)/F35 in terms of technology and scale.F22:The aircraft carrier Kitty Hawk, serving in 1961:The Kitty Hawk is accompanied by the Kuznetsov at the same level, but over the past 60 years, the United States has developed the first generation of enterprise-class aircraft carriers (94,000 tons full nuclear power in 1961), the second generation of Nimitz-class aircraft carriers (104,200 tons full nuclear power in 1975), and the third generation of Ford-class aircraft carriers (1120 in 2017). There is also no follower, and no other country has the industrial capability to manufacture the 1961 US corporate aircraft carrier.Ford Class Aircraft Carrier Construction in 2017:An aircraft carrier battle group consists of one aircraft carrier, two to three air defense cruisers or destroyers, two to three anti-submarine drive frigates, one to two attack nuclear submarines, and one to two logistical support ships, totaling 7 to 11 ships. There are 11 such aircraft carrier formations in the United States. The military side does not need to elaborate on this area which may be the greatest advantage of the United States. Some countries in the military field have reached the world-class level in some areas, but overall, the gap between China and the United States has narrowed in a small range, such as China's 055 missile destroyer/cruiser, Russia's S series air defense missiles, nuclear submarines, etc. The macro-wide gap is widening.10. Energy industryThe United States accounts for 90% of the world's shale oil production. Thanks to the technology of energy development, the dependence of the United States on overseas crude oil has declined dramatically. In contrast, developed countries and many developing countries are increasingly dependent on overseas crude oil.U.S. Energy External Dependence Curve:The United States has the largest number of nuclear power plants.11. Interesting aspects to noteWhen science and technology develop to a certain extent, it is possible to promote the emergence of new industries. Because manufacturing, integrated circuits, materials, solar energy and so on have been greatly improved. Many technology companies in the United States are beginning to create new industries. For example, when the once-popular VR is temporarily in silence and money in many countries, the U.S. Army intends to cooperate with technology companies to build a simulated battlefield. In the United States, the popularization of VR game equipment in Internet cafes and game halls is widespread. American companies even launch many small VRs. Movies... Of course, following the style of this reply, let's not talk about these "low-end".For a long time, developed countries have been living in a sparsely populated mode. It is very difficult for developed countries to enter their homes with optical fibers. Therefore, the network has become a problem for non-urban residents in developed countries. Later, many American companies have studied satellite interaction on the basis of substantial improvements in manufacturing, integrated circuits, materials and solar energy in recent years. Networking, if it can be achieved through technology, will not only be the domestic satellite user market of the United States, but also include 4.1 billion global air passengers and employees, 300 million seafarers and employees, about 5% - 10% (150 million - 300 million) of the 3 billion people in remote areas, the quality network demanders of the affluent classes, and 300 million times. About outdoor travel explorers and so on, how large can this market industry scale? Conservative estimates are more than $10 billion.The main companies developing this technology tree in the United States are OneWeb, SpaceX, Amazon and so on. They basically use Ka Ku band. OneWeb took the lead in launching several satellites for networking testing early this year, and SpaceX launched 60 technology verification satellites, and Amazon submitted its application to the FCC in time.OneWeb received financial and technical support from Airbus, Qualcomm, Coca-Cola, Soft Court of Japan, Ministry of Defense and other companies. In mid-year, OneWeb succeeded in Satellite Internet in Korea, with a delay of about 30-40MS and 400 Mbps per capita to watch 4K network videos of oil pipelines. This delay and speed is their goal. There are more than enough users.After the successful completion of the perfect test, OneWeb and ESA quickly reached 27 orders for mass launches in an attempt to seize the market. The cheapest large rocket launcher described here is SpaceX, but the two companies are direct competitors on the satellite Internet, so they choose to cooperate with ESA commercial launchers. OneWeb's Florida plant can produce two Internet communications satellites a day.At the same time, SpaceX is unwilling to show its weakness and wants to play a large, direct laser communication between satellites on the basis of OneWeb technology. SpaceX's first 60 verification satellites were launched into orbit in the first half of 2019.According to the news, the production capacity of SpaceX's satellite production line can reach 8 per day. SpaceX has scheduled to launch at least 120 more satellites into orbit twice in the second half of the year. This competition of Satellite Internet lets us wait and see. Of course, there are many technology companies in the United States, especially start-ups. Their daily task is to integrate the current rapid development of basic disciplines and technological innovation, and combine these scientific and technological theories and engineering capabilities to create a new product in a small way and create a new one in a big way. New industries, many familiar NBA stars invest in such enterprises. Summary of the dividing line ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ Physics knows that there is a term called acceleration. The greatest premise of the decline of the United States is that the acceleration of acceleration has disappeared. If the United States has acceleration all the time, even if the acceleration of the United States is decreasing, the speed of development is still increasing from the physical point of view. The acceleration of 10 and 1 is accelerating. As long as there is acceleration, the United States will have a steady stream of nutrients from home and abroad to grow into the next Boeing, Pfizer, SpaceX and other enterprises. SpaceX successfully launched the heavy Falcon in a week, received 10W resumes at home and abroad, a large number of graduates such as Stanford, MIT, this is a good thing. A model of mutual promotion. In the US recession, let's wait until the acceleration of the US is negative before we discuss it.It's all tool translation. I just want you to have a look at different opinions.
How is life in Dubai?
It honestly depends on your income, just like any other city or country. Few points that could be helpful are stated below. Dubai, like any other big city, has different tiers of population, which are broadly classified as the following.Starting with locals, generally addressed as Emiratis, have a great life in Dubai as 99% of them are rich as per global standards. Government has multiple plans to support their citizens which take care of almost all basic needs of life in a luxurious way. A part of them may choose from the multiple Rolls-Royce in their park, while few others would choose between Mercedes and Patrols. Chances of finding an Emirati with only a Lancer or Sunny is very very rare.The second tier is the upper-white-collar, mostly occupied by Europeans, Americans or highly educated Arabs and Asians. They generally have a good disposable income and enjoy a lavish lifestyle. They could easily spend a few hundred dollars weekly or even bi-weekly for fancy dining without checking the wallet again. Their children study in top-end British Curriculum schools, take international family vacations twice a year and go shopping in Dubai Malls every other day.The third tier is the lower-white-collar, primarily constituting Asians and GCC migrants. Part of them are young, on the way to the second tier. Part of them are 40+ who have been remaining in that tier for quite some time. Most of them can afford a decent life-style, take weekend trips to near by countries once in a year or so and still save up around 20% of income. They would occasionally buy a Gucci bag or perfume and remain happy about it. Their lives are evidently better than their home country and thus they are hopeful and remain in the UAE.The fourth tier constitutes blue-collar workers, mostly Asians & Africans, with limited educational back-up. They are working to make the city look better constantly, despite scorching heat, long working hours and minimal wages. Part of them are treated well, with good quality free accommodation & food provided by their respective companies. Part of them are being abused with poor-quality crowded sharing apartments, limited food and salary. They are the ones who are the actual sufferers of the country. Government had released strict rules and policies for the welfare of these laborers, but abuse still continues. Just like any other city or country, there are always few bad guys who vulture on the helpless ones.Few other metrics listed below:The infrastructure and lifestyle options are better than average for most of the people living in Dubai, except for the ones in the low end of the pipe. However, cost of living is generally high like any other big cities. It can be partly explained by the great infrastructure and high security provided by the Govt. Most often apartment rents take up to 30–40% of your salary. Still, Dubai offers a certain level of affordable luxury to most of the population, which may not be the case in their home country.Dubai has a great range of entertainment options which could easily eat away your pocket. Except for some amazing beaches and parks, almost everything else comes with a price. One needs to keep a constant track of income Vs expenditure flow, whatever tier you are in, else you’d be easily trapped in the luring credit cards or personal loan offers Dubai happily showers you with.Weather is super-hot for five months of the year. People working in construction industry and outdoors find this challenging. But mostly, the first three tiers are always in AC, be it in the office, residence or car.Paychecks depend on the tier you are in. However, most often it is better than what you may get in your home country. The current economic situations of the market is challenging and this is reflected as delayed salaries or even no-salaries for the last two tiers.Quality of Education may not be worth the pay. Most schools are ridiculously expensive in this country.Gender equality is more or less acceptable unlike other Gulf countries. Dubai gives you all the freedom for any gender as long as you aren’t committing any crime. There definitely is a discrimination in regards to pay-check though.Prostitution is illegal but there runs a thousand of these dens in multiple apartments. Being a tourism-oriented country, UAE turns a blind eye to this unless there’s an incident. Alcohol is permitted in legalized pubs and night parties. Non-Muslims can buy alcohol from stores after securing a govt. permit. Muslims are expected to not consume alcohol but many does anyways. Unless you get into harming others, everything is good.Freedom to protest is almost non-existing in UAE. You could walk up to a police station and file a complaint if needed. But you are in jail if you think of hosting a public protest speech or rallies.Public Display of affection is considered offending to respect the local culture. You wouldn’t be able to lock lips with your loved one in a car.Cultural exposure: Dubai offers you a chance to interact with people from diverse culture. Yet, you would struggle to taste the real Emirati culture as they are intensely private.Friendships and Social life: You would meet a ton of people and you have options to party every other day. But, you may find it challenging to keep long deep rooted friendships as most of the expats are here only for a short while.UAE doesn’t offer citizenship. So you are expected to go back one day. This is a limitation for many to invest in this country. Many doesn’t feel home as they know they’ll have to move out.Safety and Security is very high in Dubai. Women can walk around even at 3 am in the night in a bikini and you would still be home safe. Their police force is simply incredible. Crime rates are very very low despite the diverse population.In short, life in Dubai is good if you have a good disposable income. Added to that, if you control the urge to splurge (since Dubai has so much to offer) you are honestly doing good in this city / country. Oh and yes, you got to love the sand.
Why do all long-distance bus companies (Greyhound) act like dinosaurs? For example: poor back-end systems, bad customer support, and difficult refunds.
Because they are dinosaurs. (Not just Greyhound, but all of them.) They hit a series of extinction-level events some thirty to fifty years ago, and the few (including Greyhound) that weren’t killed off were left for dead.And today, the motorcoach industry is so overripe for disruption as a result, that it can't even be considered a 'mature industry' when you think about it.They’re like daily newspapers and hotel franchising companies: they’re what I’d call ‘post-mature’ industries. Everything about them, and their operating model, is so past its prime, so no-longer-workable, and has accumulated layer upon layer of brokenness along the way, that, if — in this case — you wanted to own a nationwide motorcoach carrier, you’d be better off starting one from scratch and getting it right this time around than you would be if you could buy out Greyhound.One way or another, you’d be starting over from scratch, anyway. With a new carrier, you’d be limited to your investment costs. With Greyhound, you’d have to buy it at the current owners’ valuation, then completely gut it — wiping out the value of it in the process — and rebuild it from scratch, effectively paying for it twice (at least), but with a lot of uncertainty as to what value you’d be able to place on the end result.We looked at a hypothetical buyout of Choice Hotels three years ago, and arrived at the same conclusion. No matter how you ran the numbers, first you’d have to buy enough of the stock to get control of the company and its system. Then in order to fix its problems, you’d have to kick more than half of its franchised hotels out of the system — but what would the company then be worth, once you do? And afterward, can you get that many new hotels built, and franchisees signed, to replace them? And meanwhile, over the several years that it would take to do that, where are Choice’s now-existing customers going to go? And will you be able to get them to come back afterward? You’d be better off to just start a new hotel chain, from scratch.It’s like the municipal sanitary sewer system in Tegucigalpa, Honduras after Hurricane Mitch: engineers who went over it as part of an aid program after the hurricane concluded that it was in such bad shape to begin with, even before the storm, that the only way to proceed would be to just junk the entire system and start over.What happened to Greyhound and these other dinosaurs, you ask?The Civil Rights Act of 1964 and associated legislation.I hate to say it, because I don't like assuming the presence of racism in events or occurrences where it is possible that an undesirable event or occurrence may be due to some other cause (some people do do that, and it annoys me), but that seems to be one of three watershed events that would account for it.Whether or not in response, specifically, the simple fact at the time was that the industry had a lot of Southern good-old-boys running it, and it was also at this time that bus travel went from being regarded as a respectable, economical personal travel alternative, to a means of 'hauling' the underclass -- both black and white.The management of many of the carriers anticipated white flight. You won’t be able to get nice folks to choose to take the bus anymore, someone apparently figured, so don’t even try. You had the kind of people running the carriers who assumed that decent white people wouldn’t want to ride on a bus on which the seating wasn’t segregated, and who didn’t know how to distinguish between good black folks and ‘undesirable’ blacks.So, they resigned themselves to the idea that their function in the future would be transportation for the underclass, of whatever race. Instead of promoting family travel and an economical way to get there for college students, single ladies, and retirees, and keeping up their rolling stock and facilities at a level conducive to that kind of customer base as they had always done before; they just planned on taking whoever they could get as passengers, and ‘hauling’ them . . .Even in more recent years, people who take the bus are regarded as losers in life, and no one takes the bus if they have any other way to get there.And when management views its own customer base that way, when you see your own customers as a bunch of animals who deserve no better, bad things happen.They let their terminals run down accordingly. Even when they build a brand new one (often with some public investment, in many places nowadays), they let it start running completely to crap as soon as it opens.The Richmond, Va., terminal, when it was built around 1998, was absolutely impressive. It was clean, there was a nice restaurant with a good selection, and the food was good and was fairly priced. Its one drawback was that it’s comparatively isolated: it’s not within walking distance of anything except the ballpark across the Boulevard from it — as far as location goes, someone was out to get it out of downtown, that’s what they achieved, and they let it go at that.(Indeed, most of the people who travel through there are transferring passengers. If you take a Greyhound to the Northeast from anywhere in the southeastern quadrant of the United States — and maybe some points west of Texas — you’re going to change buses in Richmond; and board one that will take you straight to Washington, D. C., if that’s where you’re going. Or straight to Baltimore. Or straight to Philadelphia. Or straight to New York, with a rest stop in Baltimore, or straight to Boston, etc. . . . And traveling from any of those Northeastern cities, you go straight to Richmond, and your connection there, to get to anywhere in the Southeast.)Still, Greyhound could come back with terminals like this — if they’d only keep them up.But within two years, the Richmond terminal was filthy, it was as nasty as any bus terminal anywhere, the food was ‘captive audience’ quality at ‘captive audience’ pricing, with not nearly as much to pick from. The one time in my life I got into trouble and tossed into jail for a couple of days, it was cleaner, nicer and while the portions were small, the food wasn’t any worse. And you had undesirables hanging out — winos, panhandlers, homeless people — despite the Richmond terminal’s isolated location within the city: just the kind of people that people avoid taking the bus to avoid being around; but these are people who are taken for granted, even by Greyhound, as the sort of people who hang around bus terminals. Where do they bring these people in from? I know most of them can’t afford a Greyhound ticket. They couldn’t have walked there from anywhere that was within walking distance (the ballpark is across the Boulevard, there’s a convenience store a quarter mile away, and the rest is industrial sites — it’s relatively isolated for an urban bus terminal), you’d have to have something waiting there for you in order to have it be worth the hike. Does the city round them up and dump them there? Walk out the front doors, and there is a line of taxis whose drivers solicit aggressively. Well . . . if you don’t have a ride coming, you have to get away from that voodoo hellhole somehow.What’s even more pathetic than public investment in privately-owned bus terminals (often done with good intention, to encourage public transportation; but sometimes to get them moved to a place where they’d be less of a nuisance, as was probably the case in Richmond)? How about when the city wants to run you out of town, as the city of Riverside, California decided to do with Greyhound? It actually happened: they considered bus riders a potential nuisance. (Frankly, it’s the same as with cheap motels: you don’t have problems on the coaches themselves as frequently as you might wonder; high-profile incidents involving crazies who should be more easily spotted at the terminal notwithstanding. It’s usually the local people who are permitted to hang out at the terminal.) But let’s face it — when the host of The Tonight Show with Jay Leno refers to your bus company as “a bad neighborhood on wheels”, your reputation as a carrier is probably less than stellar.They let their coaches deteriorate — for as long as they owned them. Nowadays, they no longer own them, they lease them, because that’s how ‘disposable’ they’ve become. But when they did own them, they had no shame around how junky they’d let them get and still run them. When I was a teenager back in the seventies, a driver admitted to me that “they keep them and run them until they’ve worn them out ten times” . . . And this was during the good days of Carolina Trailways, and Seashore . . .The industry became ripe for divestment. The goal became, and has been ever since, don’t have any more money invested in this than you have to, and have it continue to run. It’ll run forever and give you a halfway decent income if you keep your costs down, but you don’t want any capital tied up in it.Everywhere they ever had any capital tied up in it, they’ve worked at getting that money out.Two events would occur in the late '70's and early '80's to make large scale divestment, without completely liquidating the company and giving up the income from it altogether, doable. Both were well-intended and an opportunity, but they just did not work well together in the hands of stockholders and management looking for ways to get their capital out and reduce their investment in it.Deregulation.Regulation was getting to be a bit much by the late seventies: if you owned a coach line, the Interstate Commerce Commission had to approve your routes, stops, schedules and fares at the Federal level. Abuse certainly occurred. ICC operating authority, once obtained, was viewed as property: authority to operate on a certain route could be sold between private parties or companies. Some people even acquired operating authority on certain routes, even though they owned no coaches (of course, claiming they’d get some, although they had no intention of actually doing so), and leased it to a bus company (well . . . that’s how they went about getting the coaches). And because you are a common carrier if you own scheduled bus lines, and your license to operate was given to you as a result by a governmental finding — that you asked for — that the service you had in mind to offer is essential to the ‘public convenience and necessity’, it was hard to talk the ICC into letting you discontinue an unprofitable run.For Greyhound and the other established carriers, this kept stability in place — their routes were protected from competition, and the fares that they were permitted to charge assured that most of them would be very profitable — but it also locked in some very bad market responsiveness. They saw a lot of opportunity to be had for themselves if the regulations went away, and they could be free to eat a few competitors’ lunch, oblivious to the idea that new competitors might spring out of the woodwork and want to do the same to them. (Or even swoop down from the sky and do it, as the newly-deregulated, low-cost start-up airlines would do to the bus carriers.) And of course, they could cut some runs: if you weren't going to have but eight people on board for most of the trip, why tie up a 50-passenger coach that, purchased new, cost today’s equivalent of $500,000?They got their wish. Unfortunately, right at the same time, so did the airlines. Routes, stops, schedules and fares would thenceforth be regulated, if at all, at the state level. Once airlines started expanding, and especially as new low-cost carriers all but started popping up out of the ground, you could fly for not much more money than you could take a bus.This caused some disruption and uncertainty, while it lasted. For years, Greyhound had it too good for too long, and didn't mind sharing: the union-represented drivers were paid very well, and you had a professional class of drivers. Now, the unprofitable runs were gone, but so were the high profit margins on the more profitable runs.In late 1983, Greyhound -- in response to the lower margins it had to accept with the new competition from the airlines -- asked the drivers to take a small cut. (From $27 per hour to $25. In 1983 dollars. I know lots of people who wish they could make $25 per hour today.) The union wouldn't go along. They went on strike when the contract ran out, and the strike didn't succeed: Greyhound started cutting runs, and hiring non-union drivers, and ultimately broke the union.The emergence of new financing models.Equipment leasing: Back in the day, carriers had to buy and own their coaches. Equipment leasing, as an ownership model, began to occur in the late seventies.If you owned a bus line and wanted to put a few new coaches on the road, then for not much more than it would take to make the payments if you financed them, you could have the coaches painted in your livery, and you would not have to worry about selling them off when the lease term ran out. When you wore them out or the maintenance and repair costs on them started getting too high, you could just turn them back in and get new ones. Henceforth, Greyhound wouldn't own its coaches: insurance companies and doctors and lawyers with loose money in search of a passive investment would own them, and Greyhound would just pay the rent and operate them on its lines.If you own a bus line, the deal has its advantages. You didn't have to run ten-year-old coaches on your more marginal runs. Since newer coaches are more reliable, not nearly as badly worn, and aren’t so frequently in need of repair, you could eliminate a lot of jobs for mechanics who you’d otherwise need to coax another two years out of a fifteen-year-old diesel engine. And if you wanted to expand and your company had a good track record, the upfront cost of acquiring new coaches was much lower.But there's a flipside: you have to pay the lease on the coaches. You have to make the payments every month, no matter how few or how many people ride the bus. This made the breakeven point for many runs much, much higher, and further disincentivized continuing the runs that were more marginal.Leveraged buyouts: This caused Carolina Trailways and Seashore Trailways, the two Trailways carriers that dominated where I grew up, and for which I used to work back in the day, to die a miserable, painful death that was sickening to watch (When you hit the link, scroll down to read the history: the guy who built this website — a blog that was written in HTML back in the days before WordPress — and researched and wrote all the material on it doesn’t organize it very well).I worked for them at a time when their corporate owners, North American Philips, seemed to be committed to some serious reinvestment. Carolina built a nice new terminal in Raleigh to replace the ugly, old, badly designed art-deco barn next to Raleigh’s City Hall: the city wanted to knock the old terminal down and expand the City Hall. Seashore replaced their old terminal in Jacksonville, N. C. — located on a rowdy stretch of what was at the time the city’s infamous Court Street — with a nice facility that had been acquired by the local electric co-op and adapted for use as a bus terminal, complete with overpriced restaurant. They invested in some new MCI coaches, and Seashore acquired its Trailways affiliation.But in the end, it turned out that North American Philips was just shining it up in hopes of finding a buyer.It wouldn’t have been so bad if they’d found a buyer that wanted to run a bus company, but the people that ended up with the two companies promptly recovered their investment and then some by stripping and selling off everything of value, then holding the combined company (they merged the two of them) together with shoestring and baling wire until they were able to get Greyhound to buy it from them.Greyhound itself was acquired by a former Continental Trailways executive, in a deal so badly overleveraged that, even if he had been able to fill every seat on every coach, every run, he still would have not been able to pay the debt on it. He had made the deal to buy it hoping to quickly take it public in an IPO. What he hadn’t considered adequately in advance of making his move is, hey, Greyhound is leasing its coaches instead of buying them nowadays, so all of its assets are gone except for some terminals in questionable downtown locations that are hard to put a value on and may take you some time to sell at a decent price. No one is going to touch this stock with a ten-foot pole at a price that will bring you enough money to get you out of the hole you’ve dug yourself into.Needless to say, this gentleman had to eventually get his debt restructured — and did such a good job of refinancing that he was able to acquire his former company Continental Trailways in a leveraged buyout, as well, and merge the two. The combined company was itself overleveraged (albeit by only 200% instead of 300% as Greyhound was prior to the Continental acquisition), had problems with the drivers unions, and ended up in bankruptcy a few years later.This killed Trailways as a brand, or at least left it to a fate worse than death. Continental Trailways — officially, “Trailways, Inc.” — was the single largest member of the Trailways consortium, larger than all the other Trailways members combined. When Continental was merged into Greyhound, nothing was left of Trailways as a carrier except for some regional member carriers scattered around the country. These surviving member carriers changed the bylaws of the National Trailways Bus System to insure that never again would a Trailways carrier become that dominant, and that ‘too big to fail’ and be able to do that much damage if they went out of business, left the Trailways system, or were acquired — but in doing so, they made entry into the Trailways system so onerous for new carriers that it isn’t worth doing. They effectively insured that Trailways as a brand would survive only in fragmented, disconnected pieces, and can never again be the nationwide carrier that it once was.Trailways is now pretty much a network of charter carriers: less than a dozen of its current 50–60 member carriers have scheduled runs anymore (New York Trailways/Adirondack Trailways in New York state, and Burlington Trailways in the upper Midwest, are the biggest ones: Susquehanna Trailways, which operates along the I-80 corridor between State College, Pa. and Port Authority, is the only other one of any size.). Nearly all the rest that have scheduled service at all are local feeder lines for Greyhound.After a few more corporate owners (one of which took it into bankruptcy again), Greyhound is now owned by a British company that seems intent on restoring some respectability to it: they’ve upgraded the coaches as they replace them, and now have leather seats and free wi-fi. And they’re innovating a bit: they are now partnered with Peter Pan on BoltBus, which keeps overhead low by offering only reserved, curbside service, and a yield-managed pricing model (book it online at just the right time, and you can get your ticket for a dollar).Deregulation, low margins, and debt incurred through leveraged buyouts, has kept Greyhound cash-strapped through most of the last 30–40 years, and there has been very little reinvestment in that time. Upgrading the coaches is easy, if you’re leasing the coaches: all you have to do is rewrite the specs, and they calculate that into the lease payments. The terminals and stations are still . . . bus terminals. Port Authority in New York City, for example, was back in the day considered a typical, nasty, big city terminal that no one liked. Now, it’s about average — even though its condition hasn’t improved that much over the years, and even though it still has some problems. If anything, it has more to offer than most.Greyhound’s problem nowadays is that it doesn’t seem to want to have any money invested in anything. They continue selling off existing, dedicated bus terminals that they own, and placing their company owned (or leased) facilities in smaller locations (e.g., Raleigh), and using overburdened agency stops that draw complaints (e.g., Virginia Beach).Availability of their coaches is spread thin: the last time I took a Greyhound, it broke down in Durham (N. C.), the Durham ticket agent put us all in taxis to the Greyhound terminal in Raleigh to make our connection — which turned out to be another broken-down bus. They had to send another bus up from Fayetteville to replace that one and take us to New Bern after a six-hour wait — where the driver managed to get lost and not be able to find the station there. Not the kind of thing that has me in any hurry to take another Greyhound trip.The union is gone, the pay isn’t nearly that good anymore, and Greyhound will hire anyone who has — or can get — a CDL to drive a coach. That means anyone. On a trip to North Carolina from New York City some years ago, we pulled into Richmond and the bus made an unexpected stop prior to pulling into the terminal and unloading us . . . several blocks from the terminal. The driver got off and went into the store. I was wondering if there was some sort of problem, and thinking it had to be pretty bad if we couldn’t make it the remaining mile and a half to the terminal to deal with it. But there was no problem. The driver re-emerged from the store a few minutes later with a couple cartons of cigarettes. He made a personal stop, on our time, to buy some low-tax Virginia smokes to take back to New York with him.And that’s before we even go there about the one a few years back, out West, who had some sort of mental breakdown, and refused to travel further, quitting her job in some hick town in Utah and leaving a busload of passengers stranded. Twice. On the same run. The first time she did it, the local cops intervened and made her get back on the bus and continue the trip. In the next town, she abandoned the bus and its passengers, and vanished completely.Or the one earlier this year who pulled off into a rest area on I-80 in Pennsylvania, and checked into a motel next door to take a nap, leaving the coach -- full of passengers who had no idea what was going on -- just sit there. Availability of drivers is spread pretty thin, too, and safety issues have been raised over drivers exceeding their allowed hours, working irregular shifts, and not getting enough rest.Ninety percent of automobile drivers rate their driving skills as ‘above average’. And you’re asking people to take the bus instead, while you hire drivers who do things like THAT?But when your customer base is made up of losers in life who have no choices, and deserve no better . . .FirstGroup may be sincere in its desire to turn it around someday, but lots of days can come and go between now and then and in the meanwhile, Greyhound is run by people who don’t give a shit. They’ve long ago reduced the entire company -- the entire industry — to something its users have to use because they have no choice, there are enough of those people that their customer base is assured. Anyone else that might consider taking a bus isn’t going to put up with it, so they’re not making the investment in drawing any other customers. Want to fix it? You’ve got coaches and terminals across the country, and you’ve only got this much money to work with, and that’s all you’ll have each year, if even that much, for however long it takes — where do you start?Greyhound is a post-mature company. Seth Godin used to say the same thing, over and again, about American Airlines until they got bought out: the things about American Airlines that made American a post-mature company are probably the reason it couldn’t hope to continue on its own and had to end up in bankruptcy and be bought out. (And in looking through his material for just one of his blog posts on the subject that would serve as typical and succinct to explain just why Seth felt that way about AMR, two things happened: 1) I just gave up and linked the Google search instead, and 2) I came across this little gem for the first time, and no, despite the fact that Seth is one of my favorite bloggers and the marketing expert I respect most, I swear I don’t recall ever having seen it before I wrote what I’ve written here, that you’ve read thus far.)That’s probably why Greyhound launched BoltBus — of course, competition from Chinatown buses and curbside carriers might have been a factor, and they wanted to have their hat in the ring on that business model; but I’d bet that even Greyhound gets it that they may just have to junk Greyhound and start over.What’s going to happen next?I haven’t completed costing it out, but it’s truly amazing how little the initial investment it would take to completely disrupt Greyhound and the other major carriers.Here’s how I’d go about it:Start in a small geographical region, work outward: Our initial, Winston-Salem, N. C. base, would be capable of functioning as a self-contained regional carrier. Adding a second one in Greenville, N. C. (from which, by itself, we could cover all of the same routes as the now-defunct, Seashore Transportation Company did for several decades) would give us statewide coverage.Additional bases - each the base of a service area having a 200-mile radius - would give us a corresponding increase in coverage. Each additional base also allows a synergy in terms of allowing every station within the operating area of each base to sell tickets to any location within the operating area of any other.Not only does adding bases expand our service area (e.g., Bethlehem, Pa. and Macon, Ga., in the next map), but adding bases within our existing service area (e.g., Charlotte in the next map) allows us to offer more direct runs with fewer connections, simplify our operations at the nearby bases, and add to our driver base (hiring drivers in Charlotte and having them based there would allow us to make do with fewer drivers at the nearby Winston-Salem and Columbia bases).Once we have a base in Bethlehem, a station in Savannah, and stations in most major cities in between, we can offer express runs up and down the entire East Coast that only stop in major cities.From there, it's a simple matter of expanding westward with new bases, and new coaches. (It’s scalable. We will have to buy the first several coaches that we operate, but once we show that we can generate the cash flow consistently, expansion is a simple matter of hiring and training new drivers, establishing the bases and depot stops, and leasing more coaches.)There's no need to 'beat' Greyhound. As we expand, we'll simply render them irrelevant.Smaller coaches: These would give us the flexibility to serve communities that cannot be served profitably by a full-sized coach. Because these smaller coaches are not restroom equipped, we take care to schedule a rest stop every two hours or so en route. I’d bet, however, that communities who’ve been without scheduled Greyhound or Trailways service for ten to thirty years now, would be happy they’re getting a bus at all.The average number of people who are, at any given moment, on board a Greyhound bus is 27 — and that's when you calculate into the average runs in crowded Northeast areas where the bus stays pretty full. So, why tie up a half million in capital for a full-size coach, when you can put that many on board one of these for $72,000?For more heavily-traveled runs, you might want to have a 36-passenger coach available. With a lav — these coaches (the way I submitted the specs) are for longer, busier runs and would come restroom equipped. Still, the investment required to put two Greyhound full-sized coaches on the road would give us five of these to work with:Not quite what you’re used to seeing as prevailing industry standard now. (Or is it? Can you tell the difference by looking? Besides no leather?)But . . . if your typical passenger load is 27 passengers, I have it on pretty good authority that 36 seats isn’t, historically, an altogether bad size for a coach. Basic arithmetic has a little to do with it of course; but anyone my age or older might recall the sixties, when those ubiquitous General Motors 36-passenger coaches like you see below were the backbone of both Greyhound’s and Trailways’ fleets . . . (Both of these are GMC PD-4104’s, built between the early ‘50’s into the early ‘60’s. I think more of that model were produced than any other coach model ever made, before or since. Back then, that size was quite normal.)Be anal about stations and terminals, and the stuff that happens around them: If I appear to have thought about this for some time, and seem to have much of the business plan written up for it already . . . well, yes, I have. I came up with the idea for a bus company nearly twenty years ago; and was inspired to do just that, in the sort of place where some guys go for a different kind of inspiration altogether: a porn shop.That was literally where the Greyhound/Peter Pan station in New Britain, Connecticut was located: a cigar store with a section in the back, quite visible to waiting bus passengers, devoted to pornography; complete with the occasional porn pervert browsing through the material on display. My car was in the shop one week when I was living in Connecticut, and I had to catch a bus into Boston, so I was kind of stuck with it. I recall thinking, I don’t want to be around this shit — and while I'm going on a tear with it, let's look at a few other things I don't want to be around that you see all the time in even 'average' bus stations. Filth and dirt. Overpriced, low-quality food, if there's any food at all. Homeless people hanging out. Panhandlers. Creeps loitering in and around the restrooms. Uncomfortable seating. Location in bad areas of town. All the things that everyone hates about bus terminals, but that even motorcoach operators seem to think is quite normal, that 'goes with the turf', about bus terminals. And it seems to get worse and worse. And now, this . . .And I started making notes and outlining some ideas during the ride to Boston that very day.New Britain, Connecticut: How not to do it.We would only contract with reputable businesses for our agency stops, and insist as part of our agency agreement that they maintain their facilities in accordance with our standards. If you want your establishment to be one of them, it will be listed on TripAdvisor, and we do read your reviews. We’d regularly inspect our agency stops to insure that they are clean, comfortable, have reasonable accommodations for waiting passengers, and are managed in alignment with the way we operate our own stations and terminals.This goes for public facilities (the city-owned bus terminal in Winston-Salem, N. C., was in the news this past week because of a bedbug infestation), and shared Greyhound facilities, too. I’ve seen what Greyhound will let them get away with, and they can be the worst offenders.Not the sort of thing I want to see at my bus terminal.Good security is a non-negotiable. Passengers are absolutely entitled to a safe, comfortable wait, and you don’t see homeless people, panhandlers, or people who have no reason to be there loitering about. If I wouldn't want my fourteen-year-old niece waiting alone for a bus at your location, your location is not going to be a depot stop for my bus company.Good security is not negotiable — and this isn’t what I call good security. If your ticket window requires bulletproof glass, you’re probably selling tickets to people I don’t want as passengers. If that’s what it takes to achieve security in the part of town you’re in, you’re in the wrong part of town.I want it done right. I’m just weird that way. It’s clean, it’s comfortable, it doesn’t smell bad, you don’t mind being there, there is food and refreshments available, and it isn’t too badly overpriced . . .Bottom line: we would rather simply have a roadside or street stop, and provide only curbside service in a town, than to have a bad depot or station. At least, everyone knows to not expect too much from having to wait on the side of the road.Family-friendly: One thing you might pick up on in our advertising is how all of our advertising pics show families? Mommies and daddies taking a trip with the kids, like they do in Europe? Many of us just take it for granted that bus travel is for people who have no other way to get there, and that you're not likely to meet anyone worth knowing if you do have to take the bus for some reason.For this bus company, we'd be resurrecting our own twist on the old "You meet the nicest people on a Honda" blue ocean strategy from the sixties, that opened up a vastly larger market for motorcycles than previously existed among just the Harley riders and their hellraiser wannabes, when Honda motorcycles first made their appearance in the U. S.(Besides, we remember when bus travel wasn't just for the riff-raff . . . Maybe I’m getting old, but I come from a time when people remembered what it was like to actually like buses and bus travel. Lots of people still would, if you gave them half a chance. ‘Blogs’ didn’t make their appearance until about ten years ago, yet the web abounds with websites and bulletin boards and user groups made up of people who are into the history of buses.)And our buses, and terminals, must be pretty convenient, safe and comfortable, if families and nice old folks — people who have a choice and would find another way to get there if our fleet and facilities were run down and nasty — choose to use them.The old Southern good-ol’-boys who used to run the carriers in the sixties, and who were so traumatized by the Civil Rights Act of 1964, are all gone, retired or died off by now; but even today the mindset, even by more well-meaning, ‘liberal’ politicians, officials, and bus company executives, is that the bus is for people who don’t have cars.Let’s rethink that: The bus is for everyone. Even people who have a choice — especially people who have a choice. Now, what can we do to have them CHOOSE taking the bus?Instead of wandering the mall, how can we talk some of these retired folks into taking a day trip to the zoo? (Of course, putting the North Carolina Zoological Park on the schedule might help . . .)What kind of attractions are there in Boone that we can perhaps work with so that we can sell day trips there: get some people on a nearly empty outbound bus in the morning, who’d come home on an otherwise nearly empty inbound bus in the evening?I’d put one or two hotel sales people to work on this one.The airport is your friend, not your competitor: Making a point to offer scheduled service to large airports on our lines opens up an opportunity for a businessman in, say, Alamance County, to get to Raleigh-Durham International Airport for his flight.Service to airports opens up another opportunity. As we contemplated service to Newport News, Virginia and were stuck for an appropriate station location, it dawned on us: Newport News-Williamsburg International Airport is one of the few airports of its size, in any city the size of Newport News, that is located right in the middle of the city that it serves. And more to the point, the success and perhaps even survival of Newport News-Williamsburg International depends upon its ability to compete with Norfolk International Airport, which is not that far away. Why not just plan on putting the terminal there if they’ll let us?The airport is our friend, not our competitor. No one who can afford to fly to L. A. or Houston from the east coast is going to take the bus. And if you're not going that far away (say, between Newport News and Norfolk), the bus makes so much more sense.So, we consider not only large airports like Raleigh-Durham, Piedmont-Triad, Charlotte, Atlanta, and the Washington airports as we plan our routes; but also the smaller regional airports, such as Fayetteville Regional, Jacksonville (N. C.), and Richmond. For the opportunity to shag air passengers away from Charlotte, Greenville-Spartanburg should be willing to offer us much better terms and facilities than, say, the bus deck at Union Station in Washington, D. C. ($30,000 per year per 'slip', and I'll buy you dinner if you can prove to me that Greyhound pays that much).To solidify our market position in this area, we will be offering reduced rates from all airports to outlying, larger cities.Greyhound can fuss all they want about ‘competition’ from low-cost airlines. But Southwest Airlines doesn’t fly to North Wilkesboro, or Quakertown, or Waterbury . . .From us, you get the scenic tour: One thing about taking the bus that used to drive people nuts - even in the heyday of buses, at the height of their popularity - is that the bus stopped in every little hick town, which slowed down the trip and made getting where you wanted to go take longer.We can't avoid that: this company was developed and designed to serve smaller communities that Greyhound considers not worth having.So we're going to try and turn that into a selling point, create a new context for it, suggest an alternate way of looking at it. From us, you get the scenic tour. (Note the pics of small town Americana -- within the areas that we serve -- located here and there around our website.)I originally contemplated it as a Trailways carrier, but despite the access to the rich history and Trailways' place in 20th century Americana which we would love to have as part of our own, doing so doesn't appear to be workable.(Trailways now requires of new members — which they don’t recruit very diligently, and seem to not care too much if they never add another one —that your bus company has been in business for at least five years prior to applying for Trailways affiliation. By the time we’ve been in business for five years, we’re going to have so much invested in any brand we use in the meanwhile, that we’re not going to want to give that up, change all the livery and the signage and the website and the promotional material, paint all of the coaches red, and go Trailways. Nor do I like the requirement that if we expand scheduled service into a geographical area, we have to first obtain the consent of any Trailways carrier in that area — most of whom are charter carriers and should have no say in scheduled services. And if a carrier, even a Trailways carrier, who offers scheduled services wants to have his crappy operation protected from competition; well, that’s why Satan invented state utility commissions who regulate competition between motor carriers that operate within the state, and those carriers’ political connections on those commissions. I’m not signing up for something that requires me to suck up yet another layer of such regulation.)Still, anticipation of our market position as a would-be Trailways carrier while it lasted as part of the plan; with Trailways’ historic, Mom-and-apple-pie small town roots, opened up some added appreciation of this particular market position.Don’t be Greyhound-dependent: We'll work with Greyhound, and endeavor to maintain a positive relationship with them wherever possible. We're not going to get sucked into a stand-up fight with them where we can avoid it. It is to the much greater benefit of both us and Greyhound that we work together, and play and get along well together.Greyhound is famous for its ‘running dog’ mascot. We plan to use a black cat.But even if we don’t, the harm will be limited to slowing us down for a few years -- after which, we'll catch up to and surpass Greyhound with a vengeance.We contract our own stations, terminals and depots; and avoid sharing facilities with Greyhound unless: 1) the facilities meet our standards. and 2) we control the ticket counter - or at least don't stand to be hurt badly by Greyhound or a third-party agency engaging in favoritism toward Greyhound or another carrier against us in ticket sales from that location. (Most of our passengers - and ticket sales - to and from places where we’d use Greyhound as an agent, travel to and from smaller cities and towns not served by Greyhound. So if you approach a Greyhound ticket counter in one of those places, and want to purchase a ticket to a town served only by us, guess which carrier Greyhound is going to sell you a ticket on?)We’d have no "pooling" agreements with Greyhound, and do not intend to enter into any. Could we ask as part of such a deal that Greyhound not expand its service or not add any more runs to the area in competition with us? No - that would be illegal under federal antitrust law (unless the Surface Transportation Board okayed it): we'd just have to trust them, and rely upon a built-in disincentive in investing their money, equipment and resources into a line that would produce revenue that would have to be shared with us. With such an agreement in place, could we expand our service within the areas affected by the pooling agreement? Yes -- but why should we make the investment of funds, coaches, drivers and other resources, only to have Greyhound collect a percentage of the revenue even if they choose not to match the investment? Besides, the whole scheme smacks of the dystopian "Railroad Unification Plan" and the "Steel Unification Plan" in Ayn Rand's Atlas Shrugged. Several companies that have gone into pooling agreements with Greyhound -- for example, Carolina Trailways, Seashore Transportation -- have since disappeared, and so have many of their runs.Eight mid-size coaches to start out, at about seventy-five grand a pop? . . . one convenience store (which would be a revenue source in itself), with a rear loading area, to use as a central base terminal? . . . It’s doable.There’s an opportunity in it. Right now, gas in the U. S. is cheap, by contrast to some recent years. And regardless of the price of gas in the U. S., we pay less for it than any other country on earth except Venezuela. Even Canadians pay three to four times as much. How long can that last? Eventually, U. S. gas prices are going to have to get in line with the others. We need to have some more public transportation options at the ready when that time comes.Much of the investment involved would be getting your ducks in a row in advance, just doing the work setting it up. The burn rate for the first year is more of a source of concern to me than the capital outlay . . .Your only competitors are people who don’t want to have any money invested in anything. They’ve already squeezed everything they can out of it, and can’t squeeze it any further without crushing it completely. They feel that doing so won’t expand their customer base significantly. But it’s been the late sixties since they’ve really tried. And since the customer base they’re left with has nowhere else to go — well, they’re not going to be easy to work with about personal needs, and individual attention, and refunds where appropriate.Greyhound and the other carriers have no idea just how vulnerable that they — and their entire business model — are.
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