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Did a lot of people from Great Britain emigrate out of the country after the Brexit vote?

Data published in June 2018, shows there were an estimated 66,040,229 people living in the UK at the end of June last year (2017) — a 0.6% rise on a year earlier (2016) — marking the lowest growth rate since mid-2004.The Office for National Statistics, which released the figures, said the EU referendum was likely to be one of the key drivers of the changes.In the 12 months after the Brexit vote, there was a 9% increase in people leaving the UK and a 12% drop in immigrants coming into the country, the figures show: Immigration statistics, year ending June 2018.Has there been a “Brexodus” of EU citizens since the EU referendum?As the deadline for a final Brexit deal approaches, close attention is being paid to statistics on the numbers of EU citizens living in Britain. In late August 2018, after the Office for National Statistics (ONS) published its latest long-term Provisional Long-Term International Migration estimates, news reports (Net migration from EU to UK at lowest level since December 2012) continued to talk of a “Brexodus” — the exodus of EU citizens from the UK ahead of Brexit. But such commentary, which is mirrored in academic debate (Brexodus of EU citizens from the UK is picking up speed), is overblown and it's symptomatic of the assumptions made about how mobile the EU migrants who've made their homes in Britain actually are.Brexit has provoked high levels of uncertainty about the future rights of EU citizens and their families — Conditioning Family-life at the Intersection of Migration and Welfare: The Implications for ‘Brexit Families’ | Journal of Social Policy | Cambridge Core. While the draft Withdrawal Agreement (Settled and pre-settled status for EU citizens and their families) between the UK and the European Commission may have allayed some of those fears, the first batch of the government's “no deal Brexit” papers: How to prepare if the UK leaves the EU with no deal, was silent on whether this agreement, and the Settlement Scheme: Settled and pre-settled status for EU citizens and their families, that implements it, would still stand in the event of no deal.Around 3.8 million (Population of the UK by country of birth and nationality) people living in the UK are citizens of another EU country, a record number. That's about 6% of the UK population, according to the latest figures covering 2017.That compares to 3.4 million in the year before the EU referendum. Overall, the EU citizen population in the UK has gone up by an estimated 240,000 in the last 12 months, an increase of 7%.This may represent a slight slowing down in the rate of EU population growth, but the available figures aren't completely clear. We know the population of other EU nationals in the UK increased by about 13% between 2015 and 2016, the last period we have data for before the EU referendum.In any case, there's little evidence yet that EU citizen population has changed trend since the referendum vote in 2016.EU net migration to the UK has fallen since the vote, but is still positive — more EU citizens are entering than leaving.In the year before the referendum, net migration of citizens of other EU countries was estimated (Migration Statistics Quarterly Report) at 189,000. In other words, many more EU citizens immigrated to the UK than emigrated from it.In 2017, it fell to an estimated 101,000.If you look specifically at EU citizens emigrating abroad, around 95,000 are thought to have emigrated in the year before the referendum, increasing to 118,000 in the year after, and 139,000 in 2017.So both sets of figures show a marked cooling off in the EU immigration figures, although it remains the case that more come to the UK than leave.According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) the number of EU citizens leaving the UK following the EU referendum has: “Remained stable following a previous increase between the years ending September 2015 and September 2017.”So, we are not seeing a pattern of departures implied by the narrative of “Brexodus.”EU citizen migrants are also applying for UK citizenship in increasing numbers: Immigration statistics, year ending June 2018: data tables — with over 11,000 applications in each of the first two quarters of 2018. This is the highest on record and around 2,000 more than in the respective period in 2017.Research indicates that there is a dissonance between migrants’ experiences and the assumptions being built into migration policy. EU migrants in the UK are rarely continually mobile, and despite the unsettling force Brexit presents to their personal and family biographies, moving on is not necessarily an option: EU citizens in the UK: after the shock comes the strategy to secure status.There are ongoing concerns about the accuracy of these figures.All of the figures mentioned so far come from surveys, rather than physically counting people in and out (Why don't we know how many migrants are entering and leaving the UK?) of the country. This isn't normally a problem — plenty of major and reliable statistics about the UK come from surveys, like employment estimates.The problem with these is that the surveys relating to immigration and population don't agree on what's happening: Has the government been overestimating net non-EU immigration? Coupled with that, they don't tell the same story that administrative data (Population estimates and migration statistics compared - ESCoE), such as the number of National Insurance numbers being issued to EU nationals, is telling.One of these ‘disagreements’ becomes apparent when comparing the previous two charts — the non-eu population of the UK isn't growing, but the net migration of non-EU citizens is positive each year. One recent estimate suggested that, over the past eight years, around half a million non-EU nationals are unaccounted for because of this difference, and a similar discrepancy in the opposite direction applies to EU nationals.More recently, there's evidence from work on the ONS has done comparing its estimates to admin data from the Home Office that the passenger survey may be underestimating (Report on international migration data sources) the number of people who emigrate abroad after coming to study in tbd UK:“This [work] led us to conclude that the International Passenger Survey was likely to be underestimating former student emigration and we therefore concluded that any implied non-EU student net migration figure is likely to be an overestimate.”It's important to remember that different sources of data won't always match exactly, even when they're working as they should. For example, the population estimates exclude people living in communal establishments, whereas there's no reason a passenger survey at an airport would.But with all this in mind, the figures on net migration and particularly any figures on migration for study purposes should be treated with caution.WHATEVER HAPPENED TO THE ‘BREXODUS?’Project Fear turned out to be a dismal failure. The scaremongering of the anti-Brexit campaigners was/is neither politically effective nor economically true.Contrary to all the alarmism of the pro-EU brigade, the vote for Brexit has not resulted in meltdown. Unemployment continues to fall. Industrial output has soared. A recent report showed that the City of London has expanded its global dominance this year (Booming despite Brexit | Angela Bilbow | Featured | CDR Magazine), making a mockery of the dire earnings about ‘Brexodus.’Below are a selection of articles from various news outlets etc debunking the ‘Brexodus’ scare stories:Whatever happened to the ‘Brexodus?’ — Redirect Notice.MIGRANT HIGH — 'Brexodus' fears shattered as number of EU workers surges to record high: the number of Romanians and Bulgarians working in Britain soared by 28% to 364,000, equal to the population of Coventry. Migration Watch insisted there was “no sign whatsoever of workers abandoning the UK” in light of the EU referendum Brexit vote.I fear no City ‘Brexodus’ — I've been to Frankfurt: I fear no City Brexodus — I’ve been to Frankfurt — the German city may be ready to welcome our bankers, but they are in no rush to go.What ‘Brexodus?’ Project Fear DESTROYED by business leaders in shock poll: What Brexodus? Project Fear DESTROYED by business leaders in shock poll — with just six months remaining before Britain's scheduled departure from the EU, the expected mass relocation of jobs from the UK to other countries has failed to happen.“No mass ‘Brexodus' from London,” says city policy chief: ‘No mass Brexodus from London’, says city policy chief | David Sapsted | Relocate magazine — there are few signs of a mass exodus of financial institutions from the City of London because of the uncertainties surrounding the UK's departure from the European Union, the City's policy chief, Catherine McGuinness, has said.Fact check: Reports of an EU staff ‘Brexodus' aren't true — so far. Fact check: Reports of an EU staff Brexodus aren’t true – so far: Far more EU academics have joined Cambridge than have left over the past three years — worries about EU staff numbers at Cambridge can be alleviated by the full statistics. Alarm about the impact of Brexit on higher education continued earlier this year in The Independent, which ran the headline: More than 2,300 EU academics resign over UK university 'Brexodus' — the story used data The Independent had obtained exclusively from freedom of information requests made by the Liberal Democrats. The article was picked up by Politico and various higher education news sources. Predictably, the Liberal Democrat education spokeswoman, MP Layla Moran, slammed these reported effects of Brexit, saying that they were “the latest sign of a damaging Brexodus.” “These valued members of our communities,” she said, were “now voting with their feet.” However, the Liberal Democrats' freedom of information requests neglected to ask Cambridge, or any other university, for the number of EU academics that had ARRIVED! Rise in new EU staff: the number of non-UK EU staff who joined the University has increased year-on-year for three years. Helpfully, Cambridge has provided figures which show that the number of EU academics joining the institution has in fact risen year-on-year in the same period featured in The Independent: 391 joined in 2014/15 (a net rise of 250), 434 joined in 2015/16 (a net rise of 281), and 509 joined in 2016/17 (a net rise of 336). While the full impact of Brexit on higher education is yet to be seen, the academic year following the June 2016 referendum saw the highest rise in the number of non-UK EU academic staff in Cambridge in three years (the University did not provide numbers of resignations and arrivals predating 2014/15).Remainers said that Brexit would lead to the virtual shutting down of our universities once all those clever overseas people decided to either get their education or to teach in the EU — well, it's not quite panning out that way. It turns out that 25% more EU academics came into the UK last year than left: Our great universities are struggling – but not because of Brexit | The Spectator: Robert Tombs says that: “In our larger and more international universities — including Cambridge, Edinburgh, Leeds, the LSE, Queen Mary, Liverpool, Birmingham, Manchester — the trend is even more marked; the number arriving last year was nearly two-thirds higher than the number leaving.” And he says that any university personal problem we have is not caused by a ‘Brexodus,’ but by the unattractive academic careers on offer.BREXIT BOOM UK employment rate hits all-time high as record 32.million now in work — figures show unemployment has fallen to 4.2%, the lowest level since 1975 — despite Project Fear’s scaremongering about huge job losses after Brexit and a ‘Brexodus’ brain drain.UBS Experts Wrong Again — they forecast an economic crash for the UK and an exodus from the City if we voted to Leave the EU, threatening to move 1,000 jobs out of the country as a result of Brexit. It turned out there was no crash and the bank u-turned on its Brexodus scaremongering.“There is no ‘Brexodus'" — Dmitry Leus considers the banks’ approach to post-Brexit planning: https://www.eureporter.co/frontpage/2017/08/08/there-is-no-brexodus-dmitry-leus-considers-the-banks-approach-to-post-brexit-planning — London will always be London and and a major international finance centre. Even after Brexit, London will remain a crossroads between Europe, Asia and the Americas.Did the Brexit vote cause a staffing crisis in an NHS heavily reliant on EU workers? No, this investigation/link proves that the Brexit vote did not cause NHS staffing crisis. Figures released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show that in the third quarter of 2017 there were 2.38 million EU nationals working in Britain — a rise of 112,000 on the same period a year earlier. The data comes on the heel of figures from NHS Digital which put paid to the claim that the NHS is suffering a ‘Brexodus’ of EU staff. At the end of June 2017, there were 3,181 extra EU staff working in the NHS than at the end of June 2016. There were an extra 441 EU doctors, 27 more midwives and an extra 136 ambulance staff. The net number of EU nurses did fall by 289 (a loss of 1.3%) but there is another reason for this — which also explains a much more dramatic fall in EU nurses registering to work in Britain, endlessly repeated by those opposed to Brexit. More stringent language tests introduced in January 2016 for overseas nurses wanting to work in Britain had a huge effect on nurses being registered from July 2016 onwards (the registration process can take up to six months to complete).Net EU migration into the UK is slowing, but overall levels are being offset by greater migration from the rest of the world. ‘Brexodus' remains a threat rather than a reality — the millions of EU citizens living and working in the UK are not rushing for the exit — Brexodus Remains a Threat Rather Than a Reality: UK Migration Figures, July 2018 - Indeed Hiringlab UK.The banking ‘Brexodus' doesn't look likely — there isn't another London in Europe: City spouses block Brexodus.‘Brexodus’ and the lack of a rapid one, despite headlines in the liberal/remainer press: Debunking the ‘Brexodus’ myth | Coffee HouseForget the Remainer doom and gloom: the prospects for Brexit remain bright. Redirect Notice.Has there been an exodus of Britons leaving (or planning to leave) the UK since the EU referendum?The online resource Experts for Expats has seen a rise in the number of people seeking advice about moving to an EU country since the Brexit vote.About 125,000 Brits emigrated in the year to September 2017, according to official figures. In total, 784,900 British citizens live in the EU (excluding the UK and Ireland), with Spain, France and Germany the most popular countries.

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